14:00 Tipperary

Sunday 6 October 2019

All13:3014:0014:3014:4015:0015:3016:0016:3517:10

TheTote.com Handicap (70-100)

Off time: 14:01 | Winning time: 2m 6.55s

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Selected odds by:

(2)

Onlyhuman³⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 10-0| J: T P Madden⁽³⁾| T: Mrs J Harrington| OR: 96| D

8/1

Carries top-weight in this after finishing last of 25 runners in the Irish Cambridgeshire at the Curragh (1m; good to yielding). This is a return to calmer waters, and he did finish third in 'Listed' company prior to that blowout. Respected.

Form: 121830

(7)

Aussie Valentine^p,t¹⁶

Age: 8| Weight: 9-3| J: S M Mooney⁽⁷⁾| T: A McGuinness| OR: 85| CD

12/1

Failed to land a significant blow when fifth of six at Dundalk (1m2f; standard) on the AW last month. Only 1lb above last winning mark, but is struggling for consistency at present and is subsequently opposed.

Form: 037025

(6)

Breaking Story¹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: Robbie Colgan| T: S Lavery| OR: 89

20/1

Yard/jockey combo struggling for winners at present, and he has not progressed since switched to handicaps as one would have expected. Finished last of five in the contest Ideal Pal was second in most recently, and is difficult to make a case for.

Form: 176-65

(4)

Cyrus Dallin^p²⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 9-2| J: James J Doyle| T: D Hogan| OR: 84

4/1

Successful at Listowel (7f; soft) over slightly shorter last month, which was his second win in his last three starts. Been handed another 7lb rise by the handicapper, but has to enter calculations when in such good form.

Form: 383121

(8)

Master Speaker^t⁸

Age: 9| Weight: 9-2| J: Colin Keane| T: A McGuinness| OR: 84

14/1

In and out of form this year. Been in a quiet mood since winning at Killarney (1m; good) in July due to a subsequent 8lb rise for that victory. Signs of a comeback two starts ago, but another disappointing effort most recently. Can only be watched.

Form: 100730

(11)

Ideal Pal¹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: Ben Coen⁽⁵⁾| T: M Mulvany| OR: 85| D

9/1

Followed up promising C&D third with a respectable half-length second to Bowerman at Gowran Park (1m; soft) last month. However, he is 8lb higher than for both of those runs now though so he is slightly up against it.

Form: 103832

(9)

Great Grey²¹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-12| J: K J Manning| T: L Comer| OR: 80| C

10/1

Underwhelming last time when only managing to beat one rival at the Curragh (1m2f; good to firm). Had previously finished a fine second at Leopardstown (1m2f; good) the time before that, so does have it in him to run well. Risky proposition.

Form: 0-72520

(10)

Insane Bolt^p¹³

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: N G McCullagh| T: J P Murtagh| OR: 78

9/2

Hard to knock his consistency this season, and only narrowly failed to make the frame when fourth at Fairyhouse (1m2f; yielding to soft) last month. Vulnerable for win purposes, but is a solid place contender once again.

Form: 252254

(3)

Art Of America^b²⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 8-5| J: L F Roche| T: N Meade| OR: 73| D

33/1

Poor efforts the last twice, both on the level and over hurdles. This represents his first run on the flat for four months, and he has a bit to prove. Still 8lb above last winning mark.

Form: 110-368

(5)

Askerana³⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-5| J: Chris Hayes| T: D K Weld| OR: 77

6/1

Did it nicely when winning on debut at Roscommon (1m2f; heavy) at the start of last month. Open to plenty more improvement now switched to this sphere, and should make a bold bid to retain unbeaten record and make it 2-2.

Form: 1

(1)

Dare To Flare⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-4| J: A J Slattery⁽⁵⁾| T: A Slattery| OR: 76

5/1

Has risen 13lb in the handicap this year. Posted a rare below-par effort last week when midfield at the Curragh (1m; soft), but is turned out quickly again and has to hold place claims given his consistent profile overall this year.

Form: 193128

Forecasts

Cyrus Dallin (4/1), Insane Bolt (9/2), Dare To Flare (5/1), Askerana (6/1), Onlyhuman (8/1), Ideal Pal (9/1), Great Grey (10/1), Aussie Valentine (12/1), Master Speaker (14/1), Breaking Story (20/1), Art Of America (33/1)

This is a decent quality handicap, and despite having to concede weight to every one of his rivals, Onlyhuman is afforded plenty of respect as he drops in grade. Cyrus Dallin is in the form of his life at the moment, and is a serious player after following up his Curragh second when going one place better at Listowel. Also worth a mention is Insane Bolt who rarely runs a bad race, & only just failed to make the frame last time out. However, the one with the most appealing profile in this contest is ASKERANA who made a winning debut in fairly easy fashion last month, & she should claim this after being given a lenient mark to start off in handicaps with.