15:20 Ayr

Tuesday 1 October 2019

All13:5014:2014:5015:2015:5016:2016:5017:20

Book Your Christmas Party At Ayr Racecourse Handicap (Div 1)

Off time: 15:21 | Winning time: 1m 37.61s

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Selected odds by:

(1)

Cameo Star^p¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: S P Davis⁽³⁾| T: R A Fahey| OR: 62

9/1

Gained his second career win at Hamilton (6f, good to firm) in June 201 but winless in 16 runs since. Hard to summon great confidence.

Form: 655338

(7)

Bea Ryan⁵⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: D Nolan| T: D Carroll| OR: 60

6/1

Filly remains a lightly-raced maiden and was a respectable fourth of 13 in handicap at Catterick (7f, good) in August. Has scope for better.

Form: 4-844

(11)

Khazix²⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: Sean Kirrane⁽⁷⁾| T: J F Levins| OR: 59

13/2

14-race maiden, has been around the houses with different trainers. Made pleasing start for this handler at Navan (5½f, good to firm) last month and should be more at home over this trip.

Form: 925606

(13)

Evolutionary¹¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: P Mulrennan| T: I Jardine| OR: 61

33/1

Didn't get home over a mile here last month having made running. Remains a maiden though best form has come over 7f with give in the ground so not totally discounted.

Form: 596490

(2)

Chaplin Bay¹¹

Age: 7| Weight: 9-4| J: J P Sullivan| T: Mrs R Carr| OR: 57| CD

10/1

Twice scored in August, including over C&D, on testing surfaces. Well held on AW since from much higher mark but entitled to plenty respect back on turf from what looks a good spot.

Form: 750110

(12)

Rince Deireanach¹⁰⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: G M Ryan⁽⁵⁾| T: J J Lambe| OR: 55

12/1

Hasn't gone on since fine Leopardstown second on his seasonal reappearance, including 7L ninth in 1m Gowran Park handicap last time. Regressive and a bit to prove now but has gone well off a break before.

Form: 000-269

(8)

Retirement Beckons^h⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: Ben Robinson| T: Miss L A Perratt| OR: 52| C

3/1

C&D winner on heavy ground in August, has made the frame in two of three starts since. Should be suited by conditions here and goes on shortlist.

Form: 131302

(4)

Sienna Dream^h1⁵²

Age: 4| Weight: 8-9| J: Andrew Breslin⁽⁵⁾| T: A C Whillans| OR: 48

15/2

Maiden (0-10) who sports a newly applied hood; 25-1, but shaped encouragingly when a staying on third to Chaplin Bay over C&D (heavy) in August; not ruled out.

Form: 9040-93

(5)

One Last Hug¹¹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-7| J: P Mathers| T: J S Goldie| OR: 46

25/1

Yet to convince in five starts, though handicap debut at Newcastle (6f, AW) last month off a break wasn't a bad effort and there may be more to come with that run behind.

Form: 0/6797

(6)

Stoneyford Lane^b¹⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 8-7| J: Jamie Gormley| T: Steph Hollinshead| OR: 45

17/2

Without a win since 2017 and all three successes coming then at 5f. Hasn't exactly been threating in nine starts on turf/AW so far this year.

Form: 700565

(3)

Leeshaan¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-7| J: Phil Dennis| T: Rebecca Bastiman| OR: 45| D

10/1

Just a single career win, went close here over C&D (good to soft) in July but hasn't replicated that effort in two runs since. Not the easiest to trust.

Form: 6734P9

Non-Runners

(9)

Let Right Be Done²

Weight: 8-7| Age: 7

T: Miss L A Perratt J: A Mullen

(10)

Laoise²

Weight: 8-5| Age: 3

T: Miss L A Perratt J: Nathan Evans

Forecasts

Retirement Beckons (3/1), Bea Ryan (6/1), Khazix (13/2), Sienna Dream (15/2), Stoneyford Lane (17/2), Cameo Star (9/1), Leeshaan (10/1), Chaplin Bay (10/1), Rince Deireanach (12/1), One Last Hug (25/1), Let Right Be Done (25/1), Evolutionary (33/1), Laoise (50/1)

With conditions inching towards heavy, previous C&D scorer RETIREMENT BECKONS looks set to hold excellent claims, with his August success coming on testing ground. He has made the frame in two of three starts since, both on this sort of ground, and looks the solid option. Maiden Sienna Dream has also handled cut in the ground here and can improve to close the gap on Chaplin Bay, twice a winner here in August. Bea Ryan is another possible improver, though with the ground an unknown.