17:25 Navan

Saturday 13 July 2019

All13:2513:5514:3015:0515:4016:1516:5017:25

Come Racing September 7th Handicap (45-65) (Div 2)

Off time: 17:26 | Winning time: 2m 6.54s

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Selected odds by:

(9)

Royal Admiral^v⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 10-0| J: B M Coen⁽⁵⁾| T: A McGuinness| OR: 64| D

8/1

Just 3lb above his last winning mark and respected as one that is holding his form well. Strong claims than most and top weight not an insurmountable burden in a low key race like this.

Form: 201204

(11)

Shamad⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-13| J: S Foley| T: Peter Fahey| OR: 63

4/1

Ahead of Royal Admiral at Limerick last time but 2lb worse off at the weights; made ground up late on that occasion, so this drop in trip is a concern though.

Form: 0-83272

(14)

Cautious Approach⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-12| J: D W O'Connor⁽³⁾| T: R O'Brien| OR: 62

12/1

Sole win came over 1m at Dundalk but her best effort on turf came at this course on her final start last year. Stayed well enough on her only previous try at this trip so merits consideration again here.

Form: 183387

(12)

Lusis Naturea¹²⁰

Age: 8| Weight: 9-12| J: O J Orr| T: Paul Traynor| OR: 62

12/1

Been in good heart on the AW and over hurdles; with the bonus that he's handily weighted in comparison now he's back on turf. Another who will do well to uphold form with Royal Admiral on the revised terms.

Form: 0/76824

(6)

War Advocate¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-11| J: L F Roche| T: A Keatley| OR: 61

25/1

Modest form so far and needs to improve out of all recondition now he's upped in trip. Others look more convincing.

Form: 8-73500

(2)

Ragtime Red^t¹¹³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: N M Crosse⁽⁵⁾| T: A McCann| OR: 57| BF

33/1

Respectable efforts since winning at Dundalk in January but has been off since March and is 0-5 on turf; posted two poor efforts when tried at this course before now.

Form: 63-1034

(8)

Navajo Ridge^b,t¹⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: C T Keane| T: G Keane| OR: 54

25/1

Modest effort on his handicap debut last time needs to be improved upon; still has scope but doesn't stand out as one that is particularly well treated even at this level.

Form: 49-98

(17)

New Vocation²³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-1| J: G M Ryan⁽⁷⁾| T: J S Bolger| OR: 51

10/1

Likely candidate for cutting out the running and is better than she was allowed to show last time out (the filly eased after being hampered and might have got closer to the leaders with a clearer passage). Now 0-10 on turf though.

Form: 514039

(10)

Eyeoweyou^p,t⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: W J Lee| T: J Davison| OR: 60

9/2

Last two starts have been his most encouraging yet and very feasible the step up in trip will bring more out of the gelding now the penny's dropped. Shortlisted.

Form: 570733

(15)

Popsicle²³

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: R Coakley| T: J Larkin| OR: 49

33/1

Won over 7f at Wolverhampton last August but been well below that level in three starts this term. Plenty to prove now he tries this longer trip for the first time.

Form: 195-006

(4)

Ally Cay^v⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: G F Carroll| T: G P Cromwell| OR: 58

7/1

The first division of this race will shed a good light on the worth of the filly's victory at Bellewestown 10 days ago and the betting market will be informative. Her previous form says she has a bit to find with Shamad though.

Form: 00001

(1)

Macaban City^p²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: K J Leonard| T: D Bunyan & G O'Leary| OR: 58

33/1

Well beaten in all three starts so far and makes limited appeal on her handicap debut after weakening very tamely at Down Royal last time out.

Form: 058

(16)

Footsteps At Dawn^t¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-11| J: T P Madden⁽³⁾| T: S Nolan| OR: 47

25/1

One win (over a mile at Dundalk) to her name so far and latest performances have seen a notable dip; rated higher on the AW and her latest start at Naas did little to disprove that theory.

Form: 522079

(18)

Light Breeze⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: D P McDonogh| T: J P O'Brien| OR: 57| C

8/1

Pulled off a bit of surprise when winning over a mile here in June but soon reverted to type and has been brushed aside twice since; couldn't get into the argument at Tipperary latest and looks one to be wary of over this trip.

Form: 005108

(5)

Barbie O'Conor⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 8-10| J: A J Farragher⁽⁷⁾| T: D Kinsella| OR: 46

50/1

Well beaten in three maidens before making a very inauspicious handicap debut earlier in the month. Dramatic improvement is required for her to even make the frame.

Form: 060-9

(19)

Final Endeavour⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-10| J: G P Halpin| T: H Rogers| OR: 56

16/1

Best effort so far when posting a solid run on her handicap debut at Naas eight days ago. Very possible he can build on that but this is no easy task for the three-year-old against more seasoned campaigners.

Form: 0-004

(13)

Paddytheirishman⁶

Age: 9| Weight: 8-9| J: R P Cleary| T: G T Lynch| OR: 45

33/1

A long-standing maiden (0-41) and only has snippets for form that give him claims. However, he has shown a liking for this course so is no forlorn hope of making the frame. Needs to bounce back from two poor runs though.

Form: 760409

(7)

Road To Oz²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: N G McCullagh| T: C O'Brien| OR: 55

33/1

Makes her handicap debut after three low key performances; not much to take from any of them and this daughter of Dawn Approach makes very little appeal from a punting perspective.

Form: 000

(3)

Fescue⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-4| J: A J Slattery⁽⁵⁾| T: J C McConnell| OR: 50

8/1

Latest start was a promising run and gives cause for hope now the filly has proved her stamina over this trip. She's still unexposed but has a stiff test in racing from out of the weights against her elders.

Form: 07095

Forecasts

Shamad (4/1), Eyeoweyou (9/2), Ally Cay (7/1), Royal Admiral (8/1), Light Breeze (8/1), Fescue (8/1), New Vocation (10/1), Lusis Naturea (12/1), Cautious Approach (12/1), Final Endeavour (16/1), Navajo Ridge (25/1), War Advocate (25/1), Footsteps At Dawn (25/1), Popsicle (33/1), Ragtime Red (33/1), Macaban City (33/1), Road To Oz (33/1), Paddytheirishman (33/1), Barbie O'Conor (50/1)

The weaker of the two division of this race can go to ROYAL ADMIRAL who is more consistent than many of his rivals and will rarely be presented with an easier task of carrying top weight to victory. Shamad was ahead of the selection the last time they met but has stamina to prove over this trip, so it might be down to Lusis Naturea to throw down the sternest challenge this time around. Ally Cay won with plenty in hand last time but is another whose stamina will come under more scrutiny today.