16:50 Navan

Saturday 13 July 2019

All13:2513:5514:3015:0515:4016:1516:5017:25

Come Racing September 7th Handicap (45-65) (Div 1)

Off time: 16:51 | Winning time: 2m 8.04s

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Selected odds by:

(11)

Red Avenger²²

Age: 9| Weight: 10-0| J: Colin Keane| T: D English| OR: 62| D

11/1

Dropped to handy mark but recent form has a shaky feel to it. 7lb lower than his last winning mark but has become too inconsistent to forward with more than tepid confidence; especially under top weight.

Form: 7845-80

(6)

Red Sole Diva²⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: D O'Brien| T: J P O'Brien| OR: 64| BF

6/1

Still relatively early days but a poor effort last time out is disconcerting. The step up in trip might help. The betting can guide.

Form: 654930

(3)

Stealth^p¹⁴⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: S Foley| T: A McCann| OR: 54

25/1

Mixed form lately and no apparent excuse for a poor run on the AW last time. Best watched on first start on turf since a reasonable effort over C&D last September. Best when able to dominate but has had trouble holding onto a lead in recent times.

Form: 7308-20

(13)

Arctic Blaze⁴⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: R Coakley| T: J C McConnell| OR: 63

20/1

Has some course experience but her latest start left a bit to be desired. However, she's on a very fair mark for her handicap debut so feasible she can improve. Worth a betting check.

Form: 067

(18)

Crinkell³⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: Ben Coen⁽⁵⁾| T: M A Gunn| OR: 53

25/1

Not shown much in just four starts so far and a big step forward from her handicap debut run is needed. Yet to start a race at odds below 50/1.

Form: 00-89

(1)

Lady Rosebud²⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 8-13| J: G M Ryan⁽⁷⁾| T: P Martin| OR: 47

11/2

Best form has been on the AW but ran highly encouragingly - albeit at a modest level - at Sligo last time. Lightly raced over this trip too. Can go well at fair odds.

Form: 661742

(9)

Boynagh Prince⁹⁷⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 8-11| J: M A Gallagher| T: J Barcoe| OR: 45

66/1

Very hard to make any sort of case for backing the gelding who has been out of action since November 2016 and hardly ever beat a horse to the finish line in five start for his former yard. Others much more appealing.

Form: 0000/

(15)

Heavens Align^v1²⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-11| J: Nathan Crosse⁽⁵⁾| T: W McCreery| OR: 45

11/1

Tries this trip again after slight improvement shown over a mile but has generally been disappointing and certainly not one for maximum faith.

Form: 00-5004

(10)

House Limit^b,t⁴⁴

Age: 10| Weight: 8-11| J: C D Maxwell⁽³⁾| T: J Larkin| OR: 45| D

66/1

Has won on turf but not since the summer of 2015 and poor run of results last year spilled over to his reappearance effort at Fairyhouse in May. Easy to rule out.

Form: 95/U0-00

(4)

Mzuri²⁷³

Age: 7| Weight: 8-11| J: R P Cleary| T: A McGuinness| OR: 45

50/1

Been on the sidelines since last October and this long-standing maiden has only snippets of form that give her a chance of making the frame. Has gone well at this course but a big leap of faith is required after the long lay off.

Form: 044580-

(17)

New York Lady^t²⁸⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 8-11| J: A J Farragher⁽⁷⁾| T: A Murray| OR: 45

50/1

Another that is coming back from a long lay off and even though she's not fully exposed, she's not shown anything to merit supporting her on her return to the fold.

Form: 8/7070-

(2)

Quite Subunctious²⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 8-11| J: D P McDonogh| T: K H Clarke| OR: 45

14/1

Well behind Lady Rosebud at Sligo last time and no evident reason why the filly should be up to reversing the form. The wait for her to break her maiden looks most likely to continue.

Form: 207507

(5)

Shoofly²⁰

Age: 6| Weight: 8-11| J: K J Leonard| T: N Lupini| OR: 45

6/1

Only one win from 27 previous starts but has plummeted in the ratings and there have been signs that she's turning the corner lately. Last two starts have been her most promising for a while. Worth considering in a poor race like this.

Form: 9-97644

(19)

Arcland⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: A J Slattery⁽⁵⁾| T: H Rogers| OR: 51

11/2

Showed promise on his seasonal debut in April but not so effective in two starts over this sort of trip since. Hard to recommend this time too.

Form: 000-370

(16)

Quare Lucky^b1¹⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: N G McCullagh| T: Peter Fahey| OR: 50

12/1

0-7 so far and only a fair effort when tried over an extended 1m1f last time out; dropped 4lb since but a much more determined performance is needed.

Form: 939-006

(12)

Finsceal Rose⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-5| J: G P Halpin| T: G P Cromwell| OR: 49

10/1

Ran well over a mile last time and she's a sister to a winner over this trip, so possible the filly will improve for the extra distance. Her yard is going great guns and support in the betting ring would be persuasive.

Form: 009702

(7)

Grace To Grace^p1,t⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-5| J: L F Roche| T: J P O'Brien| OR: 49

5/1

Just behind Finsceal Rose at Bellewstown 10 days ago but possible she lost the race by being unruly before the start; her previous effort was more encouraging and the return to this trip is in her favour. Highly respected in the first-time headgear.

Form: 504-054

(8)

The Lady's Bid⁴⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 8-4| J: A C Persse⁽⁷⁾| T: P M Rogers| OR: 48

50/1

Out of the weights and shown very little in her four previous starts to merit even the hint of a suggestion that she can improve. Readily opposed on these terms.

Form: 500-0

Non-Runners

(14)

Figure It Out⁴¹

Weight: 8-11| Age: 4

T: Ian O'Connor J: P B Beggy

Forecasts

Grace To Grace (5/1), Lady Rosebud (11/2), Arcland (11/2), Shoofly (6/1), Red Sole Diva (6/1), Finsceal Rose (10/1), Red Avenger (11/1), Heavens Align (11/1), Quare Lucky (12/1), Quite Subunctious (14/1), Arctic Blaze (20/1), Crinkell (25/1), Stealth (25/1), Figure It Out (33/1), The Lady's Bid (50/1), Mzuri (50/1), New York Lady (50/1), House Limit (66/1), Boynagh Prince (66/1)

A lot depends on whether GRACE TO GRACE behaves herself in the preliminaries but she's got the raw ability to figure strongly at this lowly level and she's forwarded in the hope that stepping up in trip will enable her to reverse recent form with Finsceal Rose; the fitting of cheekpieces can help the selection to focus this time. Shoofly is handily weighted and heads the shortlist of alternatives; closely followed by Arctic Blaze and Lady Rosebud, who look the pick of the remainder.