14:10 Lingfield

Wednesday 10 July 2019

All14:1014:4015:1015:4016:1016:4017:10

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Off time: 14:11 | Winning time: 1m 52.39s

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Selected odds by:

(4)

London Pride²³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: T E Whelan| T: J G Portman| OR: 59

20/1

Very modest form on AW but little to crow about in two starts on turf and has yet to reach a place in six combined start. Dropped 4lb following latest 1m2f effort at Windsor last month and has plenty to prove.

Form: 0946-08

(9)

Dear Miriam²²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: S De Sousa| T: M R Channon| OR: 59

5/2

Not beaten far when fourth over 1m6f at Bath penultimate start and stayed on well when second at Beverely (1m4f) time before. Faded at Brighton latest, eased 1lb and interesting at this much shorter trip.

Form: 7-60246

(5)

Ragstone Cowboy³⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: L P Keniry| T: G & J Moore| OR: 58

7/1

Showed a little ability in first four starts for Richard Hughes but didn't progress last two outings for Murty McGrath. Debut for shrewd new yard stepping up 2f and eased 4lb. Worth a market check for any interest.

Form: 5050-08

(3)

Invincible One¹³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: Jason Watson| T: S Kirk| OR: 58

16/1

Not disgraced in juvenile novice events last year at 6f but has cut little ice in handicaps this term looking very one paced. No surprise to see him step up in trip. Jockey has good 21% strike rate for this yard.

Form: 55-4098

(7)

Cromwell^t²⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: F Sweeney| T: L A Dace| OR: 56

8/1

Mostly disappointing and dropped 12lb since he went handicapping last autumn. Best effort this campaign came over C&D though when fith of 14 off 3lb higher mark penultimate start and found soft ground against him latest at Newbury.

Form: 365750

(6)

Sukalia^p1¹³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: David Probert| T: A King| OR: 56

8/1

Fair fourth over a mile at Leicester penultimate start and didn't get run of the race last time on return mission. Dropped 2lb, first-time cheekpieces applied, and doesn't have to improve much over this extra furlong to be a contender.

Form: 64-7945

(8)

Risk Mitigation^v1¹⁰⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: J F Egan| T: P D Evans| OR: 55

16/1

First-time visor added after three starts in novice company. Handicap bow here having done better latest stepped up to around this trip and is open to improvement being less exposed than most.

Form: 095

(10)

Dance To Freedom^t¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Oisin Murphy| T: S C Williams| OR: 52

14/1

Yard been among the winners of late and jockey (who won this last year) has 24% strike rate on their 3yo's. Hasn't shown much at all in five starts but top man replaces apprentice so looks like better is anticipated.

Form: 97-580

(12)

Nabvutika⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: S W Kelly| T: J Butler| OR: 51| BF

5/2

In decent form of late and was good second at Chesptow (1m2f) last time having been well backed following improved run when third at Yarmouth over a mile time before. Intermediate trip now and should be thereabouts off same mark.

Form: 009-032

(2)

Bumblekite²⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: Toby Eley⁽⁷⁾| T: Steph Hollinshead| OR: 51

20/1

Left previous poor form behind when 33/1 second in Wetherby mile handicap in May before starting slowly and seeming unsuited by softish ground last time at Carlisle off 3lb higher. Better surface her may help the cause.

Form: 900-920

(1)

Tattenhams²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: Thore Hammer-Hansen⁽⁵⁾| T: A West| OR: 46

50/1

Very modest filly who has shown next to nothing in all four racecourse appearances and looks to have a mountain climb despite lowly mark. Can't be fancied.

Form: 7-800

(11)

King of The Ring²⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: Nicola Currie| T: P F Nicholls| OR: 45

33/1

Top jumps trainer always respected but will really have to wokr his magic with this gelding who has done nothing in three starts to suggest he'll repay his £47,000 price tag. Handicap bow off poor plater's mark.

Form: 00-0

Forecasts

Dear Miriam (5/2), Nabvutika (5/2), Ragstone Cowboy (7/1), Cromwell (8/1), Sukalia (8/1), Dance To Freedom (14/1), Risk Mitigation (16/1), Invincible One (16/1), Bumblekite (20/1), London Pride (20/1), King of The Ring (33/1), Tattenhams (50/1)

A very low grade affair to start proceedings but there are a few interesting contenders. DANCE TO FREEDOM has a top jockey booked and wouldn't have to find too much improvement to go very close here, while Nabvutika has been knocking on the door of late and this trip might suit her well. Risk Mitigation is the least exposed and hasn't been disgraced in novice company, and Bumblekite, Dear Miriam and Sukalia can't be ruled out either in a race where the market may prove most informative..