17:50 Windsor

Monday 8 July 2019

All17:5018:2018:5019:2019:5020:2020:50

Horse Guards London Dry Gin Saul Apprentice Handicap

Off time: 17:54 | Winning time: 1m 12.07s

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Selected odds by:

(3)

Kinglami^p¹⁴

Age: 10| Weight: 9-12| J: Kate Leahy⁽⁷⁾| T: J G M O'Shea| OR: 64| CD

9/1

Three-time C&D winner who was a close third at Chepstow (6f, good) on latest start. This trip and distance looks to bring out the best in him and only 1lb higher for his Chepstow effort. Dangerous to rule out.

Form: 429-753

(4)

Princess Keira¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-12| J: Seamus Cronin| T: M Quinn| OR: 64| D

6/1

Rewarded for consistency when just held on to land Newmarket handicap (5f, good to soft) 17 days ago. Raised 3lb in the handicap for that win and this looks to be the toughest race she's contested, but merits respect.

Form: 313-321

(1)

Harry Beau^t,v⁴⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-12| J: Scott McCullagh⁽³⁾| T: P D Evans| OR: 64| D

9/1

Put behind some below par efforts when a 2l fifth in similar Salisbury handicap (6f, good to firm) when last seen. Has fallen down to a likeable handicap mark (11lb lower than last win) and enters calculations if back to his best form.

Form: 306-095

(6)

Top Boy⁴²

Age: 9| Weight: 9-12| J: Darragh Keenan| T: A W Carroll| OR: 64| D

9/2

Veteran who performs well over sprint trips. Stamina was stretched when last of 14 in 7f Chelmsford in May. Only 1-53 on turf and makes first start for new stable. Best watched.

Form: 577650

(11)

Swanton Blue¹⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 9-11| J: Poppy Bridgwater| T: E De Giles| OR: 63| D

11/1

Hasn't threatened to land a blow in four starts this season, most recently when 10th in 6f Chepstow handicap. Eased 2lb in the handicap since and on a workable mark on his best form, but has a bit to prove now.

Form: 37-4080

(13)

Cent Flying^t¹³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-10| J: Pierre-Louis Jamin⁽³⁾| T: W R Muir| OR: 62| D

8/1

Versatile gelding who has been running with credit this year. Not beaten far in fifth in 5f Newbury handicap when last seen and down 1lb to last winning mark for that run. Drops in class for this and worth a betting check.

Form: 8-56245

(12)

Global Hope^p,t¹¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Cieren Fallon⁽³⁾| T: Miss Gay Kelleway| OR: 59

7/2

Best form so far has been on quick ground when third in Lingfield novice event but hasn't progressed since then, including when fifth at Nottingham (6f, good to soft). Eased 2lb and back on likely optimum ground here. Place claims at best.

Form: 5-0375

(7)

Cuban Spirit^p1¹⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: Georgia Dobie⁽³⁾| T: L Carter| OR: 54| D

40/1

Only one AW win to show from eight starts and showed little on stable debut in 6f Lingfield handicap last month. Cheekpieces on to try and find a spark of form but likely to find this contest tough.

Form: 981-708

(9)

The King's Steed^b,t¹⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 9-1| J: George Rooke⁽⁷⁾| T: S Lycett| OR: 53

12/1

Good AW performer but hasn't won on turf since October 2017. Disappointed when seventh in 7f Wolverhampton handicap on latest start, but now dropped 5lb from previous winning mark. Unsure if sprint trip will suit.

Form: 340477

(2)

Dalness Express^b,t³³

Age: 6| Weight: 8-11| J: Theodore Ladd| T: J G M O'Shea| OR: 49| D

10/1

Poor strike rate (1-27) and ran well below form in 6f Nottingham handicap in early June but ran well in two starts before then, including when second over C&D. Merits place claims if replicating that effort.

Form: 858228

(10)

Hold Your Breath²³⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 8-7| J: Elisha Whittington⁽⁵⁾| T: A W Carroll| OR: 45

33/1

Nine-race maiden and hasn't shown level of form required to be handy in this, including when seventh at Kempton (6f, standard) in November. Off seven months and makes little appeal.

Form: 506787-

(8)

Hellofagame¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 8-7| J: Aled Beech⁽³⁾| T: R J Price| OR: 45

100/1

Lightly raced but never a factor when last of 14 in 5f Chepstow handicap in late June. None of his form suggests he'll be competitive and can be easily discounted.

Form: 09-070

Non-Runners

(5)

Daring Guest¹⁸

Weight: 9-5| Age: 5

T: Tom Clover J: Gianluca Sanna

Forecasts

Global Hope (7/2), Top Boy (9/2), Daring Guest (9/2), Princess Keira (6/1), Cent Flying (8/1), Harry Beau (9/1), Kinglami (9/1), Dalness Express (10/1), Swanton Blue (11/1), The King's Steed (12/1), Hold Your Breath (33/1), Cuban Spirit (40/1), Hellofagame (100/1)

Cases can be made for a bunch of horses in this trappy contest, but the versatile CENT FLYING can take advantage of the drop down in class in this contest. His last win came in the forecasted quick conditions and is the one to beat off his workable mark. The veteran Kinglami has been running with consistency all season and is expected to run his usual race, while cases can be made for the progressive Princess Kiera - who may become esposed in this grade - and Dalness Express, who can't be discounted on his last run over C&D.