20:30 Newbury

Thursday 4 July 2019

All17:4518:2018:5519:2520:0020:3021:00

Lumber's Bartholomew Gin Distillery Handicap

Off time: 20:33 | Winning time: 2m 7.29s

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Selected odds by:

(8)

Sudona⁴²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Oisin Murphy| T: H Palmer| OR: 74| D

11/2

Now 9lb higher than when winning a lesser Yarmouth handicap over 1¼m in October. Has run creditably in defeat at Lingfield and Sandown this season, and this represents a slightly easier task.

Form: 5941-35

(11)

Prevent^p³⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Jim Crowley| T: Ian Williams| OR: 74

16/1

Just one creditable effort in four starts this season, and again below form turned out quickly at Doncaster last time. Most of his runs have come over 7f, and has stamina to prove over further.

Form: 75-0050

(5)

Balmoral Castle²⁷

Age: 10| Weight: 9-7| J: Tyler Saunders⁽⁷⁾| T: J G Portman| OR: 74| CD

20/1

Veteran who is lightly raced these days. Ran well when third at Windsor on his reappearance, and may have found the ground too soft when well below form last time, but he's vulnerable to younger legs even if bouncing back.

Form: 08/03-30

(6)

Dangerous Ends^p⁹⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 9-6| J: Seamus Cronin⁽⁵⁾| T: B R Johnson| OR: 73| D

25/1

Still 4lb higher than when winning at Windsor (1¼m) last May, and handicapper slow to release his grip despite some patchy recent form. Better than bare result at Wolverhampton last time, but others still appeal a little more.

Form: 2168-44

(1)

Carp Kid^p²⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: Finley Marsh⁽³⁾| T: J L Flint| OR: 73| BF

5/1

Got tired in soft ground last time, but had run well to be fifth of 15 over 1½m here in May, and had won at Chepstow prior to that. Gives the impression he will appreciate the drop back in trip, and is one for the shortlist.

Form: 94-7155

(9)

High Acclaim⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 9-5| J: Jason Watson| T: R A Teal| OR: 72

7/1

Running consistently in recent months without looking like making a breakthrough, and his losing run now stands at 15. On a fair mark based on past form, but he flatters to deceive, and isn't one for maximum faith.

Form: 726444

(4)

Anif²⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 9-5| J: Kerrin McEvoy| T: P D Evans| OR: 72

9/2

Has won twice at Wolverhampton this year, and proved as good as ever when short-head second to Gloweth in an amateur handicap at Goodwood (1m1f, soft) last time. Up 4lb for that, but placed off higher in the past and should give a good account.

Form: 614132

(7)

Cogital^h⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-1| J: K Shoemark| T: Mrs A J Perrett| OR: 68

4/1

Has caught the eye on his last two starts, meeting trouble at Sandown and staying on from well off the pace at Windsor on Monday. Needs things to drop right, but every chance if over those exertions.

Form: 393-384

(3)

Shufoog³⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 8-13| J: Ellie Mackenzie⁽⁷⁾| T: M D I Usher| OR: 66| D

8/1

Last Flat win came in 2016 but twice a winner over hurdles last year. Third at Lingfield in May, and ran one of her better races over hurdles when second at Warwick last time. Needs to back that up returned to the Flat.

Form: 0/7367-3

(10)

Nordic Flight¹³

Age: 4| Weight: 8-12| J: Ryan Tate| T: J M P Eustace| OR: 65

20/1

Hasn't progressed since a promising debut, although weakened only late at Windsor (1¼m) in May. Handed a stiff opening mark on balance, and just a respectable fourth at Newmarket (1m) on first try. Down 2lb for that, but it doesn't look enough.

Form: 53-04

(2)

The Lords Walk^p²⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 8-9| J: George Rooke⁽⁷⁾| T: W G M Turner| OR: 62| D

11/1

Awarded a race in the stewards room at Leicester in April, and while he ran creditably next time, he's gone back into his shell on recent starts, and has plenty on his plate in this higher class.

Form: 471477

Forecasts

Cogital (4/1), Anif (9/2), Carp Kid (5/1), Sudona (11/2), High Acclaim (7/1), Shufoog (8/1), The Lords Walk (11/1), Prevent (16/1), Nordic Flight (20/1), Balmoral Castle (20/1), Dangerous Ends (25/1)

ANIF was at least as good as ever when pulling clear with another rival at Goodwood last time, and the return to quicker ground shouldn't be a concern. He's preferred to Sudona, who ran creditably until fading late at Sandown last time, and Carp Kid, who has been running well over further, but might be even better over this trip on recent evidence.