18:40 Bath

Wednesday 3 July 2019

All18:1018:4019:1019:4020:1020:4021:10

SARSAS Listening Believing And Supporting 'Confined' Handicap

Off time: 18:42 | Winning time: 1m 9.1s

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(8)

Harry Hurricane^p⁷

Age: 7| Weight: 10-0| J: Josephine Gordon| T: George Baker| OR: 81| BF

11/2

The long losing run (29) is a negative although there are some creditable starts in amongst that group of outings. Took second again last time (suited by the emphasis on speed) but was again beaten a length or less; travels well but hard to win with.

Form: 623252

(6)

Blaine⁷

Age: 9| Weight: 9-10| J: T E Whelan| T: B Barr| OR: 77| D

5/1

Given a chance by the handicapper in his last two starts (headgear removed) he's yet to take advantage but came close to doing so over C&D last time. Kept on the same mark for now a repeat of that run would see him go close; can start slowly.

Form: 5U-8042

(4)

Peace Dreamer¹¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: Dylan Hogan⁽⁵⁾| T: R M H Cowell| OR: 76| CD

12/1

C&D winner who ran well on his reappearance over the minimum trip here just failing to beat a well-treated rival who had the run of the race. As in 2018 she went the wrong way from that promising start; not easy to see her bouncing back.

Form: 4/156-27

(2)

Mutawaffer²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: R Kingscote| T: C Hills| OR: 80| D

3/1

Yet to really get going this year spoiling his chance over 5f here last time with a slow start (left poorly placed). Takes on his elders again here but not without his quirks and those need to be kept under control if he's to match his juvenile form.

Form: 102-868

(3)

Cool Reflection^p1⁴¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: Tom Marquand| T: P & O Cole| OR: 79| D

10/1

Won his last start as a juvenile (6f, AW) after which he had his second wind op which indicates he's a fragile sort. Offered little in his two runs this year one against his own age group, last time versus his elders; cheekpieces now on first-time.

Form: 2821-96

(7)

Jack Taylor^b²⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: Angus Villiers⁽⁷⁾| T: R Hughes| OR: 72| D

13/2

Unreliable sort who often finds little in a finish and remains hard to win with of late (beaten at single-figure odds on his last 11 starts). Slipped well below his last winning mark (by 6lb) but his overall record means that caution is advised.

Form: 234-445

(5)

Our Lord¹⁷

Age: 7| Weight: 9-5| J: Cieren Fallon⁽⁷⁾| T: M J Attwater| OR: 72| CD

20/1

Three-time C&D winner partnered by a good 7lb claimer but he ended last season out of sorts and a long break doesn't look to have provided any refreshment. Turned in a despondent effort at Salisbury on his return; can only be watched for now.

Form: 25900-7

(9)

Delagate This Lord⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 9-2| J: Charlie Bennett| T: M J Attwater| OR: 69| C| D

12/1

Stablemate of Our Lord; back-to-back 5f course winner in 2017, those two victories completing a hat-trick. Not really shown much passion in his four starts this year including here over 5f; long losing run to cope with like his stable compatriot.

Form: 30-5500

(1)

Powerful Dream^p⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 8-12| J: K T O'Neill| T: R Harris| OR: 65| CD

11/2

Plenty of form over sprints trip here (two-time C&D winner); last five starts have come here running with credit on most occasions. Grade a little bit tougher than she's used to (0-7, Class 4); not totally out of this given her love of the course.

Form: 652373

Forecasts

Mutawaffer (3/1), Blaine (5/1), Harry Hurricane (11/2), Powerful Dream (11/2), Jack Taylor (13/2), Cool Reflection (10/1), Delagate This Lord (12/1), Peace Dreamer (12/1), Our Lord (20/1)

The conditions of this race state it is for horses that haven’t won a race this year and all of these have had no trouble fulfilling that condition this year. One of the leading contenders Harry Hurricane has been particularly difficult to win with although he never gets beaten by far. Mutawaffer has struggled to hit top form this year but it remains early days for him and a return to his two-year-old form would see him in the thick of this. BLAINE hasn’t tasted success since 2017 but he’s now been given a chance by the handicapper and his last two starts have hinted his turn is not far away. This class may prove a little tough for Powerful Dream but her course form drags her into this.