19:00 Chelmsford City

Friday 15 March 2019

All16:4017:2018:0018:3019:0019:3020:0020:30

Bet totetrifecta At totesport.com Novice Stakes

Off time: 19:01 | Winning time: 1m 26.26s

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Selected odds by:

(2)

I'm British^h¹³

Age: 6| Weight: 10-0| J: Rossa Ryan| T: D E Cantillon

12/1

Well-held in two bumpers for Sarah Humphrey and returned from a 555-days absence to finish tailed off in that sphere on stable debut. 66/1 and well held here over 6f on flat debut last time.

Form: 5

(8)

Middlescence^t⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 10-0| J: Poppy Bridgwater⁽⁵⁾| T: L Egerton| OR: 56

16/1

10 race maiden that has limited ability on the flat. Will be vulnerable to anything with ability here today and is opposable once again.

Form: 44-8972

(1)

Noel²²

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: F Sweeney| T: D & C Kubler

50/1

By Requinto out of an unraced mare, 50/1 and never on terms on debut here over 1m three weeks ago. Needs to improve bundles on that to go close here.

Form: 8

(9)

One Last Hug¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: Phil Dennis⁽³⁾| T: J S Goldie

50/1

Always in rear when finishing tenth in the Brocklesby of 2017. Didn't shape too badly when returning from over 700 days off at Newcastle two weeks ago and is entitled to come on for that.

Form: 0/6

(4)

The Wire Flyer^p1⁴²²

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: J L Flint

100/1

Champs Elysees gelding who cost £26,000 as a yearling. Failed to beat a rival in two starts either side of Christmas 2017. Off for well over a year and cheekpieces now added.

Form: 0/7-

(5)

Jack Berry House^t1¹⁴⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: S Donohoe| T: C Fellowes

11/4

A shock 80/1 winner on debut at Newcastle for Mick Easterby back in October. Starts life for a new yard today having not been seen for five months. Interesting to see if that was a fluke or if he can build on that now.

Form: 1-

(6)

Aquarius Miracle⁵⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: E J Walsh| T: George Scott

33/1

Son of Iffraaj who is already gelded and was well held on debut at Kempton (1m) in January. Should know more this time but needs to take a step forward.

Form: 0

(7)

Assimilation²⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: L P Keniry| T: E Walker| OR: 75

2/1

Finished a short-head runner-up over this trip on each of his last two starts. That's clearly the best recent form on offer here and should take all the beating today.

Form: 8-22

(3)

Lestrade^h²⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: Callum Shepherd| T: W Jarvis

6/4

65,000gns yearling who is half-brother to German 1m3f winner Night Of England and French 1m winner Normandie, out of a 1m3f German winner. Shaped with lots of promise on debut with a fast finishing 4th. Player if building on that.

Form: 4

Forecasts

Lestrade (6/4), Assimilation (2/1), Jack Berry House (11/4), I'm British (12/1), Middlescence (16/1), Aquarius Miracle (33/1), One Last Hug (50/1), Noel (50/1), The Wire Flyer (100/1)

It will be interesting to see if there is any interest in Jack Berry House returning from a break having caused a surprise on debut. Assimilation should take all the beating here having gone so close the last twice. With his cramped odds it may be worth having a stab at LESTRADE who shaped with plenty of promise on debut.