18:30 Newcastle

Monday 18 February 2019

All17:0017:3018:0018:3019:0019:3020:00

Follow Top Tipster Templegate At Sun Racing Novice Stakes

Off time: 18:31 | Winning time: 1m 28.34s

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Selected odds by:

(8)

Desai¹³

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: G Lee| T: N Wilson

22/1

Refused to race on AW debut over C&D in January and although faring better when upped to 1m (fifth of nine) 13-days ago still rates as a risky proposition.

Form: R5

(1)

Savlad¹⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: P Mulrennan| T: S A Harris

150/1

£800 yearling; started at massive prices on each of his first two outings and has shown precious little in the way of promise for the future either.

Form: 76

(5)

Picture Your Dream⁴⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: Nathan Evans| T: S Spencer

40/1

£800 yearling; started 66/1 when a well beaten last of seven in a 2m AW bumper here last month; now with Seb Spencer for Flat debut.

Form:

(9)

Beresford²⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: Barry McHugh| T: R A Fahey

5/1

6,000gns juvenile; slowly away and never able to challenge when finishing seventh of 13 to Sparkle In His Eye on debut over 1m here last month; capable of better with that experience banked.

Form: 7

(7)

Brahma Kamal¹⁸⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: Andrew Breslin⁽⁵⁾| T: K Dalgleish

40/1

14,000gns yearling; failed to beat a single rival in two starts as a juvenile for Brian Barr (5f); dam a 6f winner; upped in trip on debut for Keith Dalgleish.

Form: 75-

(10)

Conaglen

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: P Hanagan| T: J D Bethell

4/1

30,000gns yearling; fifth foal; dam was a 5f-6f winner (including in a Group 2); half-brother to the winners Alpine Dream (6f-7½f) and Infamous Lawman (1m2f).

Form:

(12)

Kingdom Of Dubai³¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: L Morris| T: R Varian

5/4

€82,000 yearling, €50,000 juvenile; has looked to be short on natural pace in both starts at Kempton (7f-1m) but those races were stronger than this one on paper; leading form-based contender with Luke Morris in the plate.

Form: 44

(2)

Muhallab

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: A Mullen| T: Adrian Nicholls

5/1

€21,000 juvenile; second foal out of a fairly moderate dam (Andrea Bellevica); surprising if he's sharp enough to make a winning debut.

Form:

(13)

Mustadun²⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: J Fanning| T: C & M Johnston

12/1

8,000gns yearling; 8,500gns juvenile; well beaten fourth of five to Havana Rocket on debut over C&D last month; plenty of improvement required.

Form: 4

(11)

Parker's Pride²⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: Jamie Gormley⁽³⁾| T: B Rothwell

100/1

From a 1m4f winning dam; remote last of five to Havana Rocket (Mustadun fourth) on debut over C&D last month; unconsidered.

Form: 5

(6)

Simul Amicis²⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-1| J: Cam Hardie| T: Mrs Dianne Sayer

80/1

4,500gns yearling; started 200/1 and soon beaten on debut over 1m in the maiden won by Sparkle In His Eye here last month (finished 11th of 13); stablemate of Vita Vivet.

Form: 0

(3)

Vita Vivet

Age: 3| Weight: 8-1| J: J P Sullivan| T: Mrs Dianne Sayer

50/1

5,000gns foal, 10,000gns yearling; seventh foal; half-sister to three winners including Rhagori (7f-1m2f); stablemate of Simul Amicus.

Form:

Non-Runners

(4)

Divied¹⁸

Weight: 8-6| Age: 3

T: J & S Quinn J: P Mathers

Forecasts

Kingdom Of Dubai (5/4), Divied (7/2), Conaglen (4/1), Muhallab (5/1), Beresford (5/1), Mustadun (12/1), Desai (22/1), Picture Your Dream (40/1), Brahma Kamal (40/1), Vita Vivet (50/1), Simul Amicis (80/1), Parker's Pride (100/1), Savlad (150/1)

Strong on numbers but not so in terms of likely winners, therefore the sound advice is to stick with the Roger Varian-trained KINGDOM OF DUBAI. Although appearing to be short on natural pace on both of his previous starts at Kempton those efforts were in more competitive races than tonight's (on paper). The switch to this more galloping AW track should prove favourable and with the dynamic Luke Morris in the saddle, he's fancied to respond well to his riders urging's and get the better of the possible improver Beresford.