19:15 Kempton

Wednesday 23 January 2019

All16:4017:1517:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:15

32Red.com Handicap

Off time: 19:16 | Winning time: 2m 23.6s

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Selected odds by:

(11)

Unit of Assessment^t,v⁸^{(ex 6)}

Age: 5| Weight: 10-3| J: A Kirby| T: W J Knight| OR: 71| C

7/2

Confirmed previous promise when scoring in good style over 1m4f at this venue eight days ago. More to do under his penalty, but has to be respected.

Form: 5163-21

(6)

Ilhabela Fact¹⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-11| J: L Morris| T: A W Carroll| OR: 71| BF| CD

15/8

Stamina ran out when well behind subsequent winner Blazon over 2m at this track earlier this month. Had previously scored over C&D off 5lb lower and return to this shorter trip is a big plus.

Form: 98131-7

(2)

Esspeegee¹⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 9-7| J: Darragh Keenan⁽⁵⁾| T: A Bailey| OR: 67

66/1

Scored over 1m4f at Brighton last May, but five displays since have been disappointing. Bit to prove for the time being despite falling handicap mark.

Form: 17600-7

(8)

My Brother Mike¹⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-6| J: P J McDonald| T: K Frost| OR: 66| CD

11/2

Second career win in 21 starts when scoring over C&D last time. Up 4lb, but won nicely on that occasion and may be competitive again

Form: 05440-1

(7)

Gendarme¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: Rossa Ryan| T: R Hannon| OR: 66

16/1

Maiden who has been placed only once in eight starts, lattely in handicaps. Behind My Brother Mike over C&D and needs to show more.

Form: 05858-7

(5)

Singing Sheriff¹⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-3| J: L P Keniry| T: E Walker| OR: 65

25/1

Disappointing last of 11 on handicap bow over 1m at this venue earlier this month. Breeding suggest this longer trip may suit and 3lb lower mark should also help.

Form: 882-0

(3)

Baasha^b²⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: R Havlin| T: E A L Dunlop| OR: 64

7/1

Off the mark at the 11th attempt when scoring over 1m2f at Chelmsford at the start of this month. Shaped as though the extra furlong of this race may suit and 3lb rise is fair.

Form: 54399-1

(10)

Sir Prize¹⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: R Winston| T: D K Ivory| OR: 64| C

5/1

Second run in a handicap and fifth start in all when scoring over 1m4f at this course earlier this month. Going the right way and should be on the premises off 2lb higher rating.

Form: 5077-1

(9)

Petra's Pony¹⁰⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: M Dwyer| T: B J Meehan| OR: 62

33/1

Has finished seventh, beaten quite a long way, on all three starts in maiden/novice company, latterly over C&D. May do better now he is handicapping and is worth a check in the betting.

Form: 77/7-

Non-Runners

(1)

Royal Goldie¹⁴

Weight: 9-2| Age: 4

T: Mrs L Richards J: David Probert

(4)

Make Good¹⁸

Weight: 9-0| Age: 4

T: David Dennis J: L Morris

Forecasts

Ilhabela Fact (15/8), Unit of Assessment (7/2), Sir Prize (5/1), My Brother Mike (11/2), Baasha (7/1), Make Good (14/1), Gendarme (16/1), Singing Sheriff (25/1), Petra's Pony (33/1), Royal Goldie (50/1), Esspeegee (66/1)

An open contest. Make Good and Sir Prize have claims at the lower end of the handicap and Unit Of Assessment has to be feared under his penalty. However, the vote goes to ILHABELA FACT, who failed to stay 2m last time, but had previously scored over C&D off 5lb lower. A host of other dangers are headed by My Brother Mike and Baasha, while Petra's Pony would be interesting if the market spoke in his favour.