15:30 Tramore

Tuesday 1 January 2019

All12:0012:3513:1013:4514:2014:5515:30

Tom Carroll Memorial Handicap Chase (0-102)

Off time: 15:30 | Winning time: 6m 4.7s

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Selected odds by:

Rocky's Silver¹⁹

Age: 6| Weight: 11-12| J: Rachael Blackmore| T: J Dullea| OR: 101| CD

4/1

33/1 maiden hurdle winner followed up over fences next over C&D when winning virtually on the bridle. Handicapper takes few chances with a 16lb hike in the weights but still highly unexposed so could go close again.

Form: 2F0511

Loch Luatha^p¹⁰

Age: 9| Weight: 11-7| J: H Morgan⁽⁷⁾| T: L Young| OR: 96

12/1

3m½f win last time out his first in 30 career races. C&D fourth the time before also a sound effort but 6lb higher now so will do well to improve on that finishing position.

Form: 37U341

Allduckornodinner⁶

Age: 9| Weight: 11-6| J: G N Fox| T: G P Cromwell| OR: 95

9/2

Gained first career win when successful over 2m4f at Down Royal last time out. Handicapper raises him 9lb for that win so more needed but likable performance means he remains of each-way interest.

Form: 6/60-071

Una's Pleasure³³

Age: 10| Weight: 11-6| J: A McCurtin⁽³⁾| T: J J Walsh| OR: 95

33/1

Poor strike rate overall and yet to make the frame in four chase starts. Soundly beaten in a Thurles handicap last time and again looks up against it here.

Form: R-90076

Perfect Leader¹⁴

Age: 9| Weight: 11-4| J: T N Brett⁽⁷⁾| T: Ms M Mullins| OR: 93

14/1

Long-standing maiden has made little impact since switching to chasing and can be of very little appeal here after latest heavy defeat.

Form: 9-48958

Ticket To Ride^h⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 11-3| J: D N Russell| T: G Elliott| OR: 92| BF

2/1

Favourite but had to settle for third behind Allduckornodinner last time out at Down Royal. 7lb better off with that rival here for 3¼L defeat and didn't jump as well as he might have there so can improve and turn the tables.

Form: 4227-83

The Horsechesnut^t¹⁹

Age: 11| Weight: 10-11| J: J J Slevin| T: D M O'Brien| OR: 86

5/1

Failed to complete in six of last seven for previous yard so stable debut second to Rocky's Silver over C&D was a pleasing and surprising effort. Won off mark of 120 over hurdles in past so massive danger off this mark now seemingly revitalised.

Form: 5P/PPP-2

Gotaway¹⁹

Age: 7| Weight: 10-8| J: P T Enright| T: R Tyner| OR: 83

14/1

Unplaced in seven starts under rules and 33L behind Rocky's Silver latest (The Horsechesnut second). Hard to be optimistic here.

Form: 317-U08

Mountain Philip^b¹⁹

Age: 10| Weight: 10-6| J: A Ring| T: Diarmuid P Ryan| OR: 81

66/1

Lone win came back in 2015 and amasses more letters than numbers by his name these days. Looked beat behind Rocky's Prince latest when unseating and now over a year since he last completed.

Form: 564P-PU

Kilderry Prince¹⁹

Age: 11| Weight: 9-10| J: Miss S Ahern⁽⁷⁾| T: A J McNamara| OR: 71

20/1

15 race since his lone career score and unplaced in all of them. Pulled up behind Rocky's Prince last time out and likely to again struggled from 5lb out of the handicap.

Form: 5F0P4P

Taboo^p⁶

Age: 10| Weight: 9-10| J: J M Moore| T: P J Rothwell| OR: 71

50/1

18-race maiden only completed one of last six starts and well behind rivals here in last two including when unseating latest. 7lb out of the handicap so faces extremely tough task.

Form: P/P3P-PU

Forecasts

Ticket To Ride (2/1), Rocky's Silver (4/1), Allduckornodinner (9/2), The Horsechesnut (5/1), Loch Luatha (12/1), Gotaway (14/1), Perfect Leader (14/1), Kilderry Prince (20/1), Una's Pleasure (33/1), Taboo (50/1), Mountain Philip (66/1)

THE HORSECHESNUT was no match for Rocky's Silver last time out but with a 19lb weight pull he has a great chance to turn the tables and given his smart hurdles form earlier in his career there is plenty of evidence to suggest that 20/1 run was not a one-off. The manner of the latter's success however means that reversal is far from certain and Rachael Blackmore's mount is certainly among the more likely sorts again. Ticket To Ride is taken to reverse with Allduckornodinner now with a handy weight pull but he must jump better.