16:30 Kempton

Wednesday 5 December 2018

All15:5516:3017:0017:3018:0018:3019:0019:30

32Red Casino/British Stallions Studs EBF Novice Stakes (Div 2)

Off time: 16:30 | Winning time: 1m 13.24s

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Selected odds by:

(10)

Eye Of The Water⁴⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-9| J: David Probert| T: R Harris| OR: 50| D

50/1

Ffos Las winner in September and not disgraced over this C&D since, but surely asking plenty to concede a 7lb penalty here. Others preferred.

Form: 404183

(6)

Lucachangretta¹⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Paddy Bradley⁽³⁾| T: L Carter

100/1

No impact in pair of novice events at Lingfield and here (both over 7f) and easier to look elsewhere once again seemingly.

Form: 80

(5)

Push Back

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: L Morris| T: G Peckham

25/1

Kyllachy gelding. Half-brother to two-year-old 5f-6f winner Tulip Fever. Fetched 72,000 gns as a yearling and certainly commands a close look on first start.

Form:

(9)

San Carlos

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Liam Jones| T: S L Keightley

66/1

Cost £32,000 as a two-year-old and dam was AW scorer. Worth noting, though yard not exactly noted for sending out first-time winners.

Form:

(4)

Scorched Breath

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: S Donohoe| T: C Fellowes

5/1

Bated Breath gelding is a half-brother to 7f/7½f winner Venus Marina and useful 1m-1m2f winner Chiefofchiefs. May want a bit further.

Form:

(3)

Te Amo Te Amo¹⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Tom Marquand| T: S Dow

16/1

Attempted to make all over C&D last time (second start) but eventually faded to be remote fourth of 13. More called for this time.

Form: 74

(1)

Total Commitment²⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Adam J McNamara| T: H & R Charlton

6/1

Only minor promise shown in two starts so far, including over 6f here on debut. Chunk of improvement required to be competitive.

Form: 66

(7)

Al Messila¹²

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: S M Levey| T: R Hannon

11/4

Toronado filly, beat all bar the favourite when runner-up over 7f here on second start. Drop to 6f should suit and further improvement surely sees her go close.

Form: 32

(8)

Magic Image

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: M M Monaghan| T: S bin Suroor

13/8

Half-sister to multiple winners and makes plenty of appeal on paper. Daughter of Dubawi could be well up to this level on first run.

Form:

(2)

Meghan Sparkle

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: H Crouch| T: C G Cox

12/1

Showcasing filly cost connections €130,000 as a yearling and is a half-sister to useful 7f winner. Makes debut and another with claims on paper.

Form:

Forecasts

Magic Image (13/8), Al Messila (11/4), Scorched Breath (5/1), Total Commitment (6/1), Meghan Sparkle (12/1), Te Amo Te Amo (16/1), Push Back (25/1), Eye Of The Water (50/1), San Carlos (66/1), Lucachangretta (100/1)

The betting will be informative, with newcomers Magic Image and Meghan Sparkle both offering plenty of appeal no pedigree. Strong support for either would have to be noted. AL MESSILA found only one too good here over 7f on her second start and could easily go one better with a drop in distance to suit.