12:25 Carlisle

Sunday 2 December 2018

All12:2512:5513:2514:0014:3015:0015:30

Smarkets British EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle

Off time: 12:25 | Winning time: 5m 19.7s

Settings

Selected odds by:

Ain't My Fault⁵⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 10-12| J: S Mulqueen⁽³⁾| T: Miss Lucinda V Russell

16/1

Irish point-to-point winner. 15-2 and looked in need of his hurdle debut in October. Should come on for that. Probably has each-way potential.

Form: 64-15

Blaydon^p¹⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 10-12| J: Blair Campbell⁽⁵⁾| T: Miss Lucinda V Russell

50/1

Has not yet threatened to win a race and will need improvement to get competitive in this field.

Form: 37-45

Garrettstown²⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 10-12| J: R Johnson| T: O Murphy

1/1

Heavy ground bumper winner in April. Ran well enough in a better contest than this on hurdles debut at Newbury. A likely improver who should be thereabouts.

Form: 1-6

Huntsmans Jog²⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: J M Quinlan| T: D E Cantillon

11/1

Improved effort on his reappearance in a bumper here last month. Step up in trip should suit for this hurdles debut. Could pick up some prize money.

Form: 24

Salven²²⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 10-12| J: Callum Bewley| T: C Grant

100/1

Pulled up in two of his three point-to-point runs and not easy to make a case for him on this rules debut.

Form: P3P-

The Con Man²¹⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 10-12| J: B S Hughes| T: D McCain Jnr

3/1

Maiden Irish point-to-point winner on debut. Cost €70,000 in August. Closely related to a 2m/2m1f hurdle winner; half-brother to three winners. Dam well held in a bumper. In good hands and can probably make good debut.

Form: 1

The Sting^h²⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 10-12| J: Billy Garritty⁽¹⁰⁾| T: Micky Hammond

40/1

Completed in just one of four point-to-point starts. 150-1 but made respectable rules/stable debut here (soft) last month. Not ruled out under 10lb claimer.

Form: F5-PP5

Cushy Butterfield^t¹¹

Age: 6| Weight: 10-5| J: Colm McCormack⁽³⁾| T: Mrs S Walton| OR: 72

250/1

Has shown next to nothing so far. Can only watch.

Form: 0/PP8P

Paper Promise²³⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 10-5| J: Callum Whillans⁽³⁾| T: D W Whillans

3/1

Dual bumper winner who is related to a number of winners over hurdles. Looks a useful recruit to this sphere and should be capable of being involved.

Form: 2117-

Terminal One^h¹⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 10-5| J: Harry Reed⁽³⁾| T: T Reed

200/1

Third in a moderate bumper at Sedgefield in March. Well beaten on recent hurdles/stable debut at Newcastle. Not easy to fancy.

Form: 3-6

Non-Runners

Hitman Fred²

Weight: 10-12| Age: 5

T: R Dobbin J: Craig Nichol

Forecasts

Garrettstown (1/1), The Con Man (3/1), Paper Promise (3/1), Hitman Fred (8/1), Huntsmans Jog (11/1), Ain't My Fault (16/1), The Sting (40/1), Blaydon (50/1), Salven (100/1), Terminal One (200/1), Cushy Butterfield (250/1)

The Con Man and Paper Promise are both very interesting newcomers who could go well here, but the experience of GARRETTSTOWN sways the verdict his way. Ain't My Fault, Huntsmans Jog and The Sting are others to consider.