13:55 Thurles

Monday 12 November 2018

All12:5013:2013:5514:3015:0015:3516:05

www.thurlesraces.ie Maiden Hurdle

Off time: 13:55 | Winning time: 3m 53.3s

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Selected odds by:

Jake Peter¹⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 11-7| J: J S McGarvey| T: P J Flynn| OR: 100| D

5/2

Could never get competitive in three hurdle races earlier in the year but in fine form since on the flat winning twice and following up with two seconds. Flat form suggests he may benefit for further but improved form of late makes him of interest.

Form: 807

Apocalypse^t1

Age: 4| Weight: 11-2| J: S W Flanagan| T: N Meade

6/1

Newcomer by Mahler cost €70,000 as a son of a bumper winner from a fair jumping family. Market may reveal expectations but certainly expecting a positive start given top yard who can ready them early on.

Form:

Bythesametoken²

Age: 4| Weight: 11-2| J: R Loughran| T: Peter Fahey

9/2

Showed little in three bumpers so 23L ninth of 22 on hurdles bow at Naas was overall a fair start. More needed again if he is to get seriously competitive here but at least latest was a step in the right direction.

Form: 7-009

Castle Valley¹⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 11-2| J: S A Mulcahy⁽⁷⁾| T: L Young

100/1

Tailed off in lone bumper and well beaten when pulled-up after being badly hampered at the last on hurdles bow at Galway. Hopefully build on that now but hard to be confident.

Form: 8P

Convara⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 11-2| J: C A Landers⁽⁵⁾| T: A Slattery

8/1

Shown some level of ability in all three starts to date with latest ninth of 24 at Cork a slight step up on his first hurdles effort at Wexford. Will need another step up to be heavily involved but could sneak a place.

Form: 469

Four Country Roads

Age: 4| Weight: 11-2| J: D F O'Regan| T: M Hourigan

28/1

Newcomer by Arcadio went unsold for €9,000 at auction last year. Half-brother to a bumper and hurdle winner out of a 3m1f chase winning dam. May need further and likely end up over fences down the line.

Form:

Load Up Time

Age: 4| Weight: 11-2| J: J W Kennedy| T: G Elliott

7/1

Newcomer by prolific jumps sire Stowaway out of an unplaced mare in bumpers from a smart jumps family. Top yard has a 24 per cent strike rate here and more than capable of readying newcomers so leading claims on debut.

Form:

Ostaiocht⁶⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 11-2| J: A E Lynch| T: B W Duke

33/1

Very poor flat maiden with a rating of 33. Showed little more in recent hurdles debut when unseating at the first and is very hard to make any case for.

Form: U

Uno Momento^h,t⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 11-2| J: D J Mullins| T: T Mullins

12/1

11-race maiden on the flat has improved by one place in each of his three hurdle starts with latest eighth of 24 at Cork under front-running tactics a fair effort. Another step up needed but has a chance of making the places.

Form: 098

Vinnwarr^h1⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 11-2| J: D P Maxwell⁽⁷⁾| T: C Byrnes

25/1

Fell at the fourth on debut and was detached throughout next at Cork as he came in 23rd of 24. Hood added but unlikely to see him competitive.

Form: F0

Yarraman¹⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 11-2| J: L P Dempsey| T: P J Flynn

33/1

Ordinary flat maiden, unplaced in seven starts but showed some ability when midfield in lone hurdles start at Roscommon despite a terrible blunder two out. More needed but scope for improvement.

Form: 9

Janeymac¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 10-9| J: D E Mullins| T: Ms M Mullins

7/1

Improved on remote bumper start when a never nearer fourth of 14 on hurdles bow at Wexford last time out. Plenty to build on there for the future and now expectant of her to make a bold bid.

Form: 04

Maysonette¹⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 10-9| J: S J Gray⁽³⁾| T: A Slattery

25/1

18-race maiden on the flat although better than most of these who ran on the level as she proved competitive numerous times off marks in the low 60s. Certainly one of the better newcomers but only just got 1m on the level so stamina a doubt.

Form:

Forecasts

Jake Peter (5/2), Bythesametoken (9/2), Apocalypse (6/1), Janeymac (7/1), Load Up Time (7/1), Convara (8/1), Uno Momento (12/1), Vinnwarr (25/1), Maysonette (25/1), Four Country Roads (28/1), Yarraman (33/1), Ostaiocht (33/1), Castle Valley (100/1)

Those with form whether it on the level or over hurdles are not compelling so Gordon Elliott's newcomer LOAD UP TIME is chanced given that the vast majority from his yard achieve at least a level good enough to win races like this. Comfortably the best recent form comes from Jake Peter and he should convert that to hurdles now after wins over 1m4f and 2m recently on the level. Janeymac finished fourth in her first race over hurdles and that form gives her realistic claims in this race lacking strength in depth.