12:55 Ffos Las

Sunday 11 November 2018

All12:5513:2514:0014:3015:0515:3516:10

Welsh Horse Racing Awards November 22nd Handicap Chase

Off time: 12:55 | Winning time: 4m 17.4s

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Selected odds by:

Billy Hicks¹⁷

Age: 7| Weight: 11-13| J: David England| T: S Drinkwater| OR: 106| D

9/2

Well held on his last two starts and has dropped to a handy mark. Goes well on soft ground. Needs to bounce back, but interesting if supported.

Form: 1/2645-4

Shrewd Tactics^t⁵⁹¹

Age: 7| Weight: 11-13| J: Adam Wedge| T: Evan Williams| OR: 106

5/1

Acts on soft. Went close at Taunton (2m2f, good) last time, in a first-time tongue tie, from 2lb lower. However, returns here after missing 20-months, so will have well being to prove first and foremost. Market check to gauge expectations.

Form: 279842/

Alf 'n' Dor^b,t¹⁵²

Age: 7| Weight: 11-12| J: James Bowen| T: P & M Bowen| OR: 105| C| D

7/2

Two of his three wins have come here, both over further. The latter was a selling chase success in April. Returns from a break on a competitive mark, though there has to be some concern over the drop in trip.

Form: 51-2326

Le Coeur Net^t²¹³

Age: 6| Weight: 11-12| J: Rex Dingle⁽⁷⁾| T: A J Honeyball| OR: 105

13/2

Scored on soft at Plumpton (2m1f) in January, when 9lb lower. Has run respectably from similar marks to today's since then. Returns from a break since April and will need to improve again to pick up another win.

Form: 7122F2-

Bredon Hill Lad^p,t²²⁴

Age: 11| Weight: 11-12| J: Lucy Gardner⁽³⁾| T: Mrs S Gardner| OR: 105| CD

10/1

Dual C&D winner on soft ground, including this race last year from 5lb lower, when fresh. Went on to win from just 1lb lower at Fontwell, so if he is at his best here after a break again, he could go very close.

Form: 4/11P33-

Lerichi Belle^h⁴⁴

Age: 7| Weight: 11-10| J: Aidan Coleman| T: M Keighley| OR: 103

5/1

13-race maiden, but second on six occasions, including from this mark at Towcester in May. More needed, but not ruled out of the frame.

Form: 222P-26

Air De Rock³⁶⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 11-5| J: Charlie Deutsch| T: Miss V Williams| OR: 98

9/2

Couldn't get fully competitive on his chase debut at Chepstow (2m, soft) about a year ago and has not been seen since. Has dropped a handy-looking 7lb since then ahead of this reappearance. Interesting. Market check suggested.

Form: 30F75/5-

Aza Run¹⁸⁵

Age: 8| Weight: 10-10| J: J M Quinlan| T: S A Harris| OR: 89| D

20/1

Goes well with cut in the ground, but is not the easiest to catch right. 2lb lower than his most recent win, but recent efforts none too encouraging.

Form: 16354-9

Run Don't Hide^t²¹⁵

Age: 7| Weight: 10-1| J: James Best| T: P Henderson| OR: 80WS

25/1

0-14. Returns from wind surgery on a mark from which he could prove competitive if fully wound up. Not ruled out.

Form: 003P3P-

Forecasts

Alf 'n' Dor (7/2), Billy Hicks (9/2), Air De Rock (9/2), Shrewd Tactics (5/1), Lerichi Belle (5/1), Le Coeur Net (13/2), Bredon Hill Lad (10/1), Aza Run (20/1), Run Don't Hide (25/1)

The market should prove informative here, with the likes of Billy Hicks, Run Don't Hide and Air De Rock runners who could all have cases made for them if there was any warmth in that respect. Le Coeur Net, Lerichi Belle and Shrewd Tactics are others in with a squeak, while Alf 'n' Dor is not written off. However, BREDON HILL LAD won this when fresh last year and may be capable of repeating that.