18:00 Kempton

Monday 5 November 2018

All16:3017:0017:3018:0018:3019:0019:30

32Red Floodlit Stakes (Listed)

Off time: 18:03 | Winning time: 2m 29.02s

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Selected odds by:

(10)

Atty Persse^t⁷²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: James Doyle| T: H & R Charlton| OR: 103| BF| DWS

6/1

Won three of first four starts before finding Group races beyond him last season. Two good placed runs in handicaps before something clearly amiss last time when he was last and nearly pulled-up. Had a wind-op in subsequent break but AW an unknown.

Form: 196-327

(9)

Crowned Eagle⁴³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: G Mosse| T: M Botti| OR: 110| C

13/8

1m3f winner here this season has run several other sound races albeit without success. Midfield in the Ebor followed by latest second in a Swedish Group Three. Winner there a Group Two winner and Group One placed so form outstanding.

Form: 126202

(6)

Dragon Mall²⁴⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: S Donohoe| T: R Menzies| OR: 93

100/1

Dual AW winner at Chelmsford has come up short at this level by and large and returns for new connections after a long layoff so others appeal more.

Form: 0-35127

(2)

Kasperenko^b⁴⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: M Harley| T: B G Powell| OR: 98| D

16/1

Impressive Chelmsford handicap winner on penultimate start was slightly less effective next time in a warmer race at Newbury. Seems to favour AW so better expected here but remains to be seen if he's pattern class.

Form: 683-717

(8)

Watersmeet⁷⁵

Age: 7| Weight: 9-4| J: J Fanning| T: C & M Johnston| OR: 93| C| D

20/1

13-time winner, 11 on AW disappointed the last twice on turf after an excellent fourth in Northumberland Plate (2m) at Newcastle on AW. Trip here on sharp side but form on AW is excellent so could easily bounce back.

Form: 139400

(3)

Architecture³⁷³

Age: 5| Weight: 8-13| J: Jason Watson| T: H Palmer| OR: 102

9/2

Only won once (11 starts) but five times placed at stakes level. Below par when last seen albeit behind a subsequent triple Group One winner and makes her return here after a long absence and on AW for the first time. Capable if ready.

Form: 236/430-

(5)

Colonial Classic^t²⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 8-13| J: Charles Bishop| T: J R Fanshawe| OR: 88| D

25/1

None from eight at pattern level (unplaced in all). Struggling the last three times and overall looks short of this level although she won her only previous AW start.

Form: 45-3757

(7)

Dubai Dunes^t1⁵⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: L Morris| T: J Reynier| OR: 76| D

66/1

Five-time winner in France including three on AW but well short last three times there in Listed contests on soft ground. This surface may be more suitable but looks a stiff task overall.

Form: 501757

(4)

Podemos^h³⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: Harry Bentley| T: R M Beckett| OR: 89| C

7/2

Appreciates this surface as shown with last two starts where he landed back-to-back 1m3f handicaps. Improving sort but taking a huge step up in class from class 4s and likely to struggle.

Form: 425511

(1)

Mystic Meg⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: R Havlin| T: H Palmer| OR: 81

25/1

Three-time winner is effective on AW but was far too keen at Lingfield just last week over 1m5f where she faded into ninth (of 11). Career best needed to be involved here.

Form: 421419

Forecasts

Crowned Eagle (13/8), Podemos (7/2), Architecture (9/2), Atty Persse (6/1), Kasperenko (16/1), Watersmeet (20/1), Colonial Classic (25/1), Mystic Meg (25/1), Dubai Dunes (66/1), Dragon Mall (100/1)

It would be safe to say this isn't the strongest Listed race you will see so CROWNED EAGLE who chased home the high class Thundering Blue latest stands out and Marco Botti has found an excellent opportunity for him here. Architecture was a smart filly last season and if she is fully wound up must be a danger while Atty Persse could also be a threat if his recent wind-op does the trick.