16:05 Nottingham

Wednesday 17 October 2018

All13:3014:0014:3015:0515:3516:0516:4017:15

TBA thisfillycan Fillies' Handicap

Off time: 16:05 | Winning time: 3m 13.09s

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(8)

St Mary's²⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: William Cox⁽⁵⁾| T: A M Balding| OR: 88| CD

16/1

Weighted to turn the tables on Fire Jet on running in this 12 months ago, but needs to halt a downward slide with her yard not firing on all cylinders.

Form: 552258

(9)

Fire Jet²¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: J Quinn| T: J Mackie| OR: 88| CD

7/1

Tough mare with a good record here. Beat St Marys in this 12 months ago and significantly worse off, but arrives in much better shape than that rival. Still has to reverse Goodwood form with Elasia and that may be a tougher ask.

Form: 473632

(10)

Elasia²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: R Varian| OR: 93| D

11/4

Progressive mare who beat Fire Jet at Goodwood. Appeared to have something in reserve and will take all the beating here.

Form: 51121

(5)

Hillcrest Fire³⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: S Donohoe| T: S Edmunds| OR: 83

12/1

Winning hurdler whose sole Flat win came over 1m2f. Doubts therefore she has the stamina for his and she looks poorly handicapped at present.

Form: 64/313-7

(6)

Di Alta²⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: Fran Berry| T: E Walker| OR: 78

8/1

Consistent, reasonably handicapped, handles the ground and stays. Biggest question is whether she has the gears to come from off the pace in a race as strong as this.

Form: 5-23342

(3)

Tarte Tropezienne^h²⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 8-9| J: R Havlin| T: Ian Williams| OR: 73

6/1

No win since taking a 1m4f Ripon maiden for William Haggas in August 2017. Down to a reasonable mark but she has failed to stay this far on three previous attempts.

Form: 553643

(4)

Fannie By Gaslight¹⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: B A Curtis| T: M R Channon| OR: 79

9/2

Wide margin winner at Goodwood has proved that to be no fluke on both starts since. A further 3lb rise for her latest defeat demands a career best in her toughest assignment to date.

Form: 515123

(1)

Jedhi¹¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: Jason Watson| T: H Morrison| OR: 78

5/1

Half-sister to yard's smart stayers Marmelo and Vent de Force so interesting moving up to this trip. Needs to improve as current mark has looked beyond her on two latest starts.

Form: 332134

(2)

Arthenia⁴⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-2| J: N Mackay| T: C Hills| OR: 70

66/1

Has been campaigning in lower grades than this and her last three runs have been below the standard required.

Form: 451557

Non-Runners

(7)

Sea Youmzain³⁹

Weight: 8-13| Age: 3

T: C & M Johnston J: F Norton

Forecasts

Elasia (11/4), Fannie By Gaslight (9/2), Jedhi (5/1), Tarte Tropezienne (6/1), Sea Youmzain (6/1), Fire Jet (7/1), Di Alta (8/1), Hillcrest Fire (12/1), St Mary's (16/1), Arthenia (66/1)

Fire Jet took this 12 months ago and would be expected to confirm placings with St Marys. However, she may have more difficulty in reversing recent Goodwood form with ELASIA. Roger Varian's progressive filly appeared to have a bit in reserve that day and may have got away lightly with a modest rise in the weights. Di Alta looks more fairly weighted than others in the field, but she is beginning to look one paced and Jedhi may be more of a threat with the longer trip in her favour.