20:15 Chelmsford City

Saturday 13 October 2018

All17:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:1520:4521:15

Bet In Play At totesport.com Handicap

Off time: 20:15 | Winning time: 1m 38.06s

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(14)

Ertidaad^b²⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 9-6| J: Joey Haynes| T: Emma Owen| OR: 49| CD

25/1

A C&D winner but just three successes from 38 starts and remains 2lb higher than the last of them in February. Well held the last twice including on stable debut following an absence and others preferred.

Form: 458270

(16)

Camaradorie^p1¹²⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: J Mitchell| T: Mrs L Pearce| OR: 49

33/1

Remains a maiden after 10 starts and hasn't built on early promise. Two runs earlier this year were regressive and hard to know what her best distance is.

Form: 9570-90

(7)

How's Lucy^p²⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: Abbie Wibrew⁽⁷⁾| T: Jane Chapple-Hyam| OR: 48

25/1

Still a maiden after 20 starts and needs to lift on recent form. This C&D suits and will be suited by a return to handicaps off career-low mark but overall profile remains unconvincing.

Form: 82P535

(10)

Pick A Little³³

Age: 10| Weight: 9-5| J: William Cox⁽⁵⁾| T: M Blake| OR: 48| D

50/1

Has dropped to 14lb lower than career win number 17 but has really lost his way this year and remains readily opposed.

Form: 090086

(15)

De Lesseps¹⁵

Age: 10| Weight: 9-5| J: Nicola Currie⁽³⁾| T: H A Mcwilliams| OR: 48| CD

33/1

Veteran who has clearly had his problems in recent times with big absences between runs. Not disgraced on recent run over a trip too short at Newcastle but needs to find plenty.

Form: 838/0-06

(1)

Safrani^t²⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: M Harley| T: D O'Meara| OR: 50

5/1

Had been very disappointing in three runs since debut but shaped with more promise at Beverley on second start since wind surgery. Didn't get a clear run late and although he needs to find extra that isn't out of the question.

Form: 40-007

(8)

Guardiola⁷⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Hayley Turner| T: M L W Bell| OR: 50| BF

7/2

Bit disappointing on his last two starts after previously showing potential. Looks the type to improve when learning to settle better and stable in good form. Possibilities down to this grade.

Form: 882376

(6)

Jeremy's Jet^t⁵¹

Age: 7| Weight: 9-4| J: Tom Marquand| T: A W Carroll| OR: 47

8/1

Just the one win from 26 starts on the Flat and hasn't been in the best of form over obstacles this summer. The distance will suit back on the AW but probably needs some help from the handicapper.

Form: 432664

(3)

Vodka Pigeon³⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: P Mathers| T: A West| OR: 49

16/1

Yet to win in 16 starts and was well beaten in her last three starts, including in headgear (removed) the last twice. Suited by step back up in trip but others look in better form.

Form: 273650

(2)

Mr Potter^v¹⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-3| J: Philip Prince⁽³⁾| T: R C Guest| OR: 46| C

8/1

All three wins from 56 starts have come at 7f with two at this track, however does stay this trip. Didn't get a clear run and was much better here last time and remains on a very handy mark. Rates a contender.

Form: 609963

(9)

Innstigator²⁴⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-3| J: Joshua Bryan⁽³⁾| T: Mrs S Gardner| OR: 46

11/2

First place from 10 starts came here over 7f on last run for previous trainer Didn't look suited by the track and flashed his tail and that remains a concern in a big field on stable debut.

Form: 0849-53

(5)

Itsupforgrabsnow^h1¹⁶⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: J F Egan| T: H Chisman| OR: 49

12/1

Well held at long odds in all three starts to date. Up a furlong but hard to recommend in first-time hood on handicap debut.

Form: 786

(11)

Carolyn's Voice^h1,t⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Rossa Ryan⁽³⁾| T: S C Williams| OR: 48

33/1

Well held in first three starts and then tailed off on both handicap runs. Needs to find massive improvement and easy to oppose.

Form: 08-080

(12)

River Rule⁷⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Hollie Doyle| T: A Wintle| OR: 48

50/1

Eight-race maiden after four starts four Stuart Williams and four for Tony Carroll. Last two runs were poor and now tried at another new trip.

Form: 5-56279

(13)

Bond Angel^p1³⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: H Crouch| T: P D Evans| OR: 48

20/1

Maiden following seven runs but had been shaping with promise in a couple of starts at Chepstow before disappointing the last twice. Possible easier ground on turf suits and this surface does pose a question.

Form: 58-3245

(4)

Molten Lava^p⁹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-2| J: L Morris| T: S Gollings| OR: 45| D

5/1

On a long losing streak and yet to show he can take advantage of lower AW mark. Inconsistent in five starts for new stable and looks a risky proposition.

Form: 0-62037

Forecasts

Guardiola (7/2), Molten Lava (5/1), Safrani (5/1), Innstigator (11/2), Jeremy's Jet (8/1), Mr Potter (8/1), Itsupforgrabsnow (12/1), Vodka Pigeon (16/1), Bond Angel (20/1), Ertidaad (25/1), How's Lucy (25/1), Carolyn's Voice (33/1), Camaradorie (33/1), De Lesseps (33/1), River Rule (50/1), Pick A Little (50/1)

A low-grade handicap lacking depth despite the sizeable field. Safrani needs to improve again but has to be respected for a leading stable following a much improved performance. Guardiola also represents a yard going well and may bounce back to form at this level. MR POTTER doesn't win often but likes it here, didn't get a clear run a furlong out last time and is well handicapped.