15:35 Newmarket

Friday 12 October 2018

All13:5014:2515:0015:3516:1016:4517:2017:55

bet365 Fillies' Mile (Group 1)

Off time: 15:36 | Winning time: 1m 38.8s

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Selected odds by:

(1)

Antonia De Vega⁴⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Harry Bentley| T: R M Beckett| OR: 100

5/1

Beat Zagitova in a hot July festival maiden here over 7f on debut before powering to success after initially hitting a flat spot in a 7f Goodwood Group Three. Up in class again but step up to stiff 1m a huge help and rated a leading player.

Form: 11

(5)

Beyond Reason²⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: W Buick| T: C Appleby| OR: 107

9/1

Three-time winner including most impressive success in a French Group Two over 7f penultimately. No obvious excuse however next in Group One Moyglare where she was behind both the O'Brien pair so has a bit to find here.

Form: 214116

(3)

Hermosa¹²

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: D O'Brien| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 108

5/2

Stable third string when an excellent third in Group One Moyglare penultimately over 7f and readily followed up in Naas Group Three. Bred to be better still upped to 1m and yard won this three straight years before close second in 2017.

Form: 41631

(7)

Iridessa²⁷

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Wayne Lordan| T: J P O'Brien| OR: 98| D

14/1

1m Killarney maiden winner split Hermosa and Zagitova next when fifth in a Curragh Group Two over 7f. Third latest in a 7f Leopardstown Listed race another fair effort but while returning to 1m will suit she still has plenty to find.

Form: 153

(8)

Layaleena²⁷

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Jim Crowley| T: Sir Michael Stoute| BF

20/1

Went into many a notebook when impressive on debut on the July course over 7f but disappointed next at Lingfield (1m, AW) under a penalty when fifth as an odds-on favourite. Better than that but this still a tall order.

Form: 15

(4)

Pretty Pollyanna¹³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: D Tudhope| T: M L W Bell| OR: 117| BF

7/2

Showed true potential when routing the opposition in Group Two Duchess of Cambridge over 6f before following up in Group One Prix Morny in France. Hot favourite but only fourth here in Group One Cheveley Park. Up 2f and huge chance if she stays.

Form: 15114

(6)

Shambolic³⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: L Dettori| T: J & T Gosden| OR: 90| D

14/1

Shamardal filly impressed on the July course on debut over 7f and followed up next at Ascot over 1m under a penalty. More needed but all-conquering yard won this four times since 2000 so can't be dismissed.

Form: 11

(2)

Zagitova²⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: J A Heffernan| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 104| D

5/1

Chased home Antonia De Vega on debut before winning readily at Cork. Third next in Curragh Group Two before fourth in Group One Moyglare where behind Hermosa although she was the more fancied. 1m stamina probable and yard record in this incredible.

Form: 2134

Forecasts

Hermosa (5/2), Pretty Pollyanna (7/2), Zagitova (5/1), Antonia De Vega (5/1), Beyond Reason (9/1), Iridessa (14/1), Shambolic (14/1), Layaleena (20/1)

Aidan O'Brien has won this race five times and after a hat-trick of successes his September went down by a nose last year to the exceptional filly Laurens. His duo are pretty closely matched overall but HERMOSA came out on top the last time the pair met and she also looks set to appreciate the extra 1f more than Zagitova on breeding and form so far. Antonia De Vega was impressive at Goodwood and looks sure to improve considerably now upped to 1m so she merits respect. Pretty Pollyanna undoubtedly has the best form on offer so if she stays 1m will be hard to beat but that is far from certain it must be said.