19:40 Kempton

Wednesday 10 October 2018

All17:4018:1018:4019:1019:4020:1020:4021:10

32Red On The App Store Handicap

Off time: 19:42 | Winning time: 2m 19.29s

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Selected odds by:

(8)

Grapevine⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-8| J: Oisin Murphy| T: C Hills| OR: 78| C

10/1

2m course jumpers' bumper winner for Nicky Henderson in March, but moved on over the summer, and finished tamely on Flat AW debut (sixth) over C&D last week.

Form: 5576-86

(1)

In The Red¹⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-8| J: A Kirby| T: Martin Smith| OR: 78| C

40/1

Notched a second AW win when scoring over 7f at Lingfield in March (1lb higher tonight), but not in the same form over the past couple of months and looks to be a dubious stayer beyond 1m.

Form: 838559

(10)

Thunder Speed²³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: J R Fanshawe| OR: 77

9/2

Won as a juvenile in Ireland (7f, Dundalk) for the late Tommy Stack and finished placed on most starts last term for his son, Fozzie; beaten two necks (third) by Dragon Mountain over C&D on his penultimate start.

Form: 234-334

(5)

New Agenda¹¹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-7| J: Fran Berry| T: P R Webber| OR: 77

33/1

16/1 when finishing a close-up fourth to Villette over C&D in June, but has been well beaten twice since, including at Listed level over hurdles at Market Rasen; more realistic assignment.

Form: 3-96340

(13)

Pipes Of Peace^t³⁵⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: M Harley| T: S Durack| OR: 77

66/1

Eight-race maiden; runner-up on second AW start over 1m at Dundalk (for Aidan O'Brien) in October 2017; fair mark for stable/handicap debut, but is drawn wide and has fitness to prove.

Form: 54/5672-

(6)

Keswick^t¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: David Egan| T: H Main| OR: 76

4/1

Ex John Gosden-trained 1m2f Lingfield winner (January 2017) who was sold cheaply for £4,000 in September 2017; back to form in no uncertain terms when bolting up by 3¾L at Lingfield (1m2f) latest; 7lb higher on first Kempton start.

Form: 470761

(2)

Lawn Ranger²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Kieren Fox| T: M J Attwater| OR: 80

10/1

No win since his debut at Lingfield (1m novice) in December 2017, going off the boil a fraction from April onward; handicap mark slowly easing, but stamina to prove decisively over this new trip.

Form: 376430

(9)

The Eagle's Nest¹⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: David Probert| T: Rae Guest| OR: 74

16/1

Two-time AW winner, including over 1m2f for Richard Fahey at Newcastle in October 2017; capable of proving competitive from this kind of mark (if staying); finished just over 2½L fourth of nine to King Of Nepal (1m) latest.

Form: 672084

(12)

Dragon Mountain¹⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Josephine Gordon| T: H Palmer| OR: 79| CD

6/1

Arrives seeking a hat-trick following a couple of recent course wins (1m2f-1m3f); 6lb higher than when beating the re-opposing Thunder Speed by two necks over C&D in August; wide draw needs to be overcome.

Form: 464811

(11)

Floria Tosca²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Jason Watson⁽³⁾| T: L M Cumani| OR: 79| BF

12/1

Cost 260,000gns in December 2017; won a couple of modest staying fillies' handicaps at Leicester (1m4f) and Bath (1m3½f) prior to her latest third placed finish at Yarmouth; mildly interesting to see what she has too offer on the AW.

Form: 353113

(7)

Victory Chime^p1¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Harry Bentley| T: R M Beckett| OR: 77

8/1

Races off the same mark as when gamely fending off Rotherwick by ½L at Chepstow (1m2f, good) in August, but has twice disappointed in more competitive races since; cheekpieces applied for his second career AW start.

Form: 9-16150

(4)

Anchises⁵¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Tom Marquand| T: R Hannon| OR: 77

16/1

Beaten at short odds on his penultimate start at Ffos Las, but possibly found the extended 7f trip on the sharp side; switched to the AW for handicap debut; stablemate of Brexitmeansbrexit.

Form: 324

(14)

Brexitmeansbrexit³⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Rossa Ryan⁽³⁾| T: R Hannon| OR: 77

14/1

0-4 here (7f-1m), but clearly handles the surface and has progressed on turf; 7lb higher than when winning well at Brighton (1m2f) on her penultimate start, and not disgraced over 1m6f behind the improving Altra Vita latest; chance despite the draw.

Form: 342212

(3)

Majrooh^b1,t³⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 8-13| J: L Morris| T: G Peckham| OR: 69

20/1

Fairly consistent performer off his current mark of 69, but the handicapper probably has his measure unless the first-time blinkers can muster some extra improvement; no trip/surface worries.

Form: 674226

Forecasts

Keswick (4/1), Thunder Speed (9/2), Dragon Mountain (6/1), Victory Chime (8/1), Lawn Ranger (10/1), Grapevine (10/1), Floria Tosca (12/1), Brexitmeansbrexit (14/1), The Eagle's Nest (16/1), Anchises (16/1), Majrooh (20/1), New Agenda (33/1), In The Red (40/1), Pipes Of Peace (66/1)

A tricky assignment from stall 12 for the hat-trick seeking Dragon Mountain, who is far from certain to confirm C&D form with Thunder Speed. Floria Tosca cost a whopping 260,000gns in December, but she's now a dual turf winner who could have more too offer on the AW from a rising handicap mark. Keswick bolted up at Lingfield (1m2f) latest, and shouldn't be dismissed from a 7lb higher mark with Heather Main having a potentially useful horse on her hands for a bargain £4,000 (ex John Gosden). However, in a open race, a consensus is reached with BREXITMEANSBREXIT. She handles the Kempton Polytrack well, and lost little in defeat to Altra Vita (1m6f) latest.