19:15 Kempton

Monday 1 October 2018

All17:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:1520:4521:15

32Red Casino EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10) (Div 2)

Off time: 19:17 | Winning time: 1m 40.11s

Settings

Selected odds by:

(6)

Al Thoorayah

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: F Norton| T: C & M Johnston

5/1

$220,000 half-brother to a winner in the US, out of a half-sister to US Grade 2 winner/Kentucky Derby fourth Pulpit. Appeals on paper, although powerful yard only 1-32 with juveniles over C&D in recent years.

Form:

(8)

Dutch Republic¹²

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: T P Queally| T: R Brisland

100/1

25,000gns son of Garswood out of a 1m4f winner in France. Well held in two starts at up to 7f, and while longer trip will suit, he looks one for middle-distance handicaps next season.

Form: 00

(7)

El Picador²⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Jim Crowley| T: Sir Michael Stoute

9/2

Dansili colt out of a 1½m handicap winner in France. Has needed the experience when down the field in 7f maidens at Newmarket and Ascot, but will improve, and type to do better granted time and distance.

Form: 88

(5)

Knowing³⁰

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: George Wood| T: J R Fanshawe

9/4

Son of Pour Moi who wasn't knocked about when third of 12 to Fragrant Belle in 1m novice at Lingfield (AW), and is another who ought to build on the promise of that debut.

Form: 3

(4)

Mon Frere⁹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: L Morris| T: Sir Mark Prescott

33/1

Pour Moi half-brother to useful 2-y-o 7f winner Dark Acclaim out of a 1¾m winner. Well held in 1m½f novice at Wolverhampton recently, and likely to find this coming too soon in his development.

Form: 7

(1)

Ours Puissant⁶⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: James Doyle| T: H Palmer

3/1

By Kodiac out of an unraced mare, and didn't show much when making his debut at Newmarket in July, dropping away tamely. Plenty to prove, for all he should be more clued up now.

Form: 0

(9)

Thorny Time

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: S W Kelly| T: D R Lanigan

14/1

Full-brother to useful 2-y-o 1m½f winner Amedeo Modigliani, out of a daughter of Nassau & Sun Chariot Stakes winner Last Second. Ought to win races given smart pedigree, but yard's newcomers rarely fully clued up.

Form:

(2)

Times Past

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Edward Greatrex| T: A Watson

6/1

Dandy Man half-brother to 2-y-o 6f winner High On Love and 1m1½f winner Intent. Cheaply bought compared to some of these, but yard has a near 30% strike-rate with juveniles this year, so can't be ignored.

Form:

Non-Runners

(3)

James Park Woods¹⁷

Weight: 9-2| Age: 2

T: R M Beckett J: Harry Bentley

Forecasts

Knowing (9/4), James Park Woods (11/4), Ours Puissant (3/1), El Picador (9/2), Al Thoorayah (5/1), Times Past (6/1), Thorny Time (14/1), Mon Frere (33/1), Dutch Republic (100/1)

James Park Woods didn't deliver what was expected on debut at Doncaster, but still shaped well, and it's interesting that connections reach for a tongue tie now. He should go well, but preference is for KNOWING, who looked promising when third at Lingfield, and will improve for that experience. Times Past is most interesting of the newcomers due to his trainer's excellent strike-rate.