15:00 Newmarket

Friday 28 September 2018

All13:5014:2515:0015:3516:1016:4517:15

Shadwell Rockfel Stakes (Fillies' Group 2)

Off time: 15:00 | Winning time: 1m 25.3s

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Selected odds by:

(8)

Ajrar³⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: W Buick| T: R Hannon| OR: 95

16/1

Impressive winner on debut at Lingfield (AW) before a good second in a Sandown Listed race upped to 7f. Only managed fifths the last twice upped to Group Three level and now takes another step up in class.

Form: 1255

(9)

California Love⁴⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: T P Queally| T: R Spencer| OR: 81| D

50/1

Built on debut promise when scoring in a 7f novice race on the July course here but was tailed off when stepped up to Group Three next at the same course. Surely better than that but evidence not compelling.

Form: 417

(2)

Canton Queen¹⁷

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Tom Marquand| T: R Hannon| D

10/1

Overcame greenness when an impressive winner of her second start, a 7f Leicester novices event. Will need significantly more here but open to improvement as she learns the game.

Form: 81

(6)

Dandhu²¹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: G Mosse| T: D R C Elsworth| OR: 85| D

12/1

Progressed with each of her three starts and got off the mark latest when switched to AW at Kempton where she was more than impressive. This however a huge step up in class so would do well to make the frame.

Form: 641

(3)

Dutch Treat¹⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Oisin Murphy| T: A M Balding| OR: 95| D

13/2

One of the more experienced fillies in the line-up, having raced six times and winning once. Listed second penultimately at Newbury (7f) represented her best run so far. Midfield since in Group Two May Hill over 1m. More needed.

Form: 542125

(1)

Just Wonderful¹²

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: R L Moore| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 107| BF

7/2

Impressive winner of a 1m Group Three at the Curragh in penultimate start but found out next at Group One level when dropped back to 7f. Suspect this is on the sharp side for her but can't be ruled out given connections, yard won race twice.

Form: 10317

(5)

Main Edition¹²

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: L Dettori| T: C & M Johnston| OR: 107| D

15/8

Winner of four of her six starts including twice at Group Three level. 5L fifth of ten latest in Group One Moyglare at the Curragh saw her 5L ahead of leading rival Just Wonderful. Leading claims here for jockey bidding for hat-trick in the race.

Form: 111715

(4)

Model Guest^p1²⁰

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: J P Spencer| T: G G Margarson| OR: 93| BF

25/1

Five-race maiden, placed on four occasions. Best run when 3¾L behind Main Edition in a Group Three but that rival was carrying a penalty so reversal seems very unlikely.

Form: 82232

(7)

Yourtimeisnow²²

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: S De Sousa| T: R Varian| OR: 102

5/1

All four races to date over 6f and won the last twice building on a Newbury novice success when making all in a Salisbury Group Three. Both sides of pedigree suggests she should stay at least 7f so deserves maximum respect here.

Form: 3911

Forecasts

Main Edition (15/8), Just Wonderful (7/2), Yourtimeisnow (5/1), Dutch Treat (13/2), Canton Queen (10/1), Dandhu (12/1), Ajrar (16/1), Model Guest (25/1), California Love (50/1)

MAIN EDITION ticks the most boxes and this tough front-running filly typical of her yard's best runners has plenty of class too. There are few better at controlling the tempo here than Frankie Dettori so if he can get her on the front again she will take an awful lot of passing. Main danger may prove to be Yourtimeisnow who is clearly on the up and likely to appreciate a step up to 7f. The fact she has made all the last twice means something has to give. Just Wonderful stays strongly and could be the beneficiary if the aforementioned duo take each other on.