19:10 Leopardstown

Saturday 15 September 2018

All15:2015:5016:2516:5517:2518:0018:3519:10

Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Sovereign Path' Handicap (Premier Handicap)

Off time: 19:12 | Winning time: 1m 26.38s

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Selected odds by:

(1)

Burnt Sugar²¹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-12| J: Oisin Murphy| T: R Fell & S Murray| OR: 105| CD

6/1

Beaten in a bid for a hat-trick of valuable handicaps at Goodwood last time but not disgraced and should still be able to make his presence felt off this sort of handicap mark. Career best needed but won this last year and can't be ruled out.

Form: 080110

(18)

Escobar^t³⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-11| J: D Tudhope| T: D O'Meara| OR: 104| D

12/1

Won his first two career starts and showed this soft of mark wasn't out of reach when runner-up to a well-handicapped sort at Sandown. Didn't get any luck in running at Goodwood but had no obvious excuse here last time. Needs to bounce back.

Form: 310287

(15)

Mr Scarlet^t1⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: R C Colgan| T: S Lavery| OR: 100

33/1

Losing run mounting up at present and he finished last in a three-runner event at Navan last time out. May need some relief from the handicapper. Wears first-time tongue-tie.

Form: 20-7683

(16)

Spanish Tenor²⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: W J Lee| T: T Doyle| OR: 98| CD

25/1

Hasn't won since his C&D success last year and largely tried in Listed company before his last couple of runs. Respectable effort on AW in handicap last time but more needed in a race this competitive.

Form: 353-783

(13)

Full Moon²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: R L Moore| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 97| D

13/2

Got his head back in front in a Curragh handicap last time and the handicapper has rather leniently only put him up 3lb for that effort, despite being well on top at the line. Should go well again.

Form: 072801

(14)

Surrounding^t¹⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-0| J: R P Whelan| T: M Halford| OR: 93| D

25/1

Inconsistent sort who has disappointed on her last couple of starts. Capable of this sort of mark, as seen when runner-up in a Curragh handicap earlier in the campaign but her in and out profile is off putting.

Form: 510280

(12)

Theobald¹⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: K J Manning| T: J S Bolger| OR: 97| C

20/1

Gained a first win since his debut at Dundalk in December but struggled at pattern level on his next few outings and he's looked in need of relief from the handicapper on recent starts.

Form: 702204

(7)

Danielsflyer²¹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-12| J: O J Orr⁽³⁾| T: T D Barron| OR: 91

9/1

Only narrowly denied in a valuable handicap at Galway last month and not disgraced at Goodwood subsequently when sixth of 17. 2lb drop for that effort looks lenient and not ruled out with a valuable apprentice taking off 3lb.

Form: 406226

(10)

Master Speaker¹⁴

Age: 8| Weight: 8-12| J: C T Keane| T: A McGuinness| OR: 91

16/1

Just one win from 52 starts on turf and that came in 2015. Running well in defeat of late and a combination of a 2lb drop in the weights and the Champion Jockey taking over in the saddle should see him remain competitive.

Form: 727045

(17)

Reckless Endeavour¹⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 8-12| J: C O'Donoghue| T: T D Barron| OR: 91| D

25/1

Well beaten in two starts for this yard and seemingly a little better over a 6f trip. 5lb below his last winning mark though and can't be entirely ruled out.

Form: 007380

(5)

Silverkode^p²¹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-12| J: G F Carroll| T: J G Murphy| OR: 91| D

5/1

Rattled off a hat-trick at the Curragh in 2017 before finishing runner-up in this race in his four-timer bid. Dropped 4lb by the handicapper for a perfectly respectable effort at the Curragh last time and is now 8lb below his mark in this last year.

Form: 299-365

(9)

Zap²²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: C D Hayes| T: R A Fahey| OR: 95| D

20/1

Won the consolation race for the Bunbury Cup at Newmarket back in July and he's produced a mixed bag since. Couldn't get competitive at York when 16th of 17 last time out but the return to this trip should be in his favour.

Form: 071940

(11)

Band of Outlaws³

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: S M Crosse⁽⁷⁾| T: J P O'Brien| OR: 92| D

12/1

Only narrowly denied on heavy ground at Listowel last time but he's effective on quicker ground, as seen when winning at the Curragh earlier in the campaign. May prove a little vulnerable in a race with this much depth though.

Form: 618302

(6)

Katiymann^t¹⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 8-9| J: B M Coen⁽⁷⁾| T: M Halford| OR: 88| C| D

8/1

Won twice on the AW this winter and produced a career best effort in defeat when only finding one too good at the Curragh last time out. Dropped 1lb for that and a reproduction of that effort should see him go close.

Form: 1-64742

(3)

Honor Oak¹⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 8-8| J: W M Lordan| T: T Hogan| OR: 87| D

33/1

Impressive when she was a wide margin win at the Galway Festival on soft ground but hasn't been able to build on that off her revised mark in three runs since. Others preferred.

Form: 721340

(4)

Sirjack Thomas³

Age: 3| Weight: 8-4| J: N G McCullagh| T: J P Murtagh| OR: 87| BF| D

8/1

Justified favouritism on second start for this yard at Sligo but he's been a beaten favourite in three subsequent starts. May need relief from the handicapper.

Form: 2-41274

(8)

Turbine^b1,t¹⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 8-4| J: K J Leonard⁽³⁾| T: D Hogan| OR: 83| D

10/1

Largely consistent sort who has been running well in defeat this campaign but losing run is mounting up and he will need first-time blinkers to bring about a career best.

Form: 454033

Non-Runners

(2)

Safe Voyage⁴¹

Weight: 9-8| Age: 5

T: J & S Quinn J: S P Davis

Waitingfortheday⁵

Weight: 8-4| Age: 3

T: J P O'Brien J: Reserve 1

Dance Emperor³⁰

Weight: 8-4| Age: 3

T: Mrs J Harrington J: Reserve 2

Bucky Larson³⁴

Weight: 8-4| Age: 3

T: G M Lyons J: Reserve 3

Forecasts

Safe Voyage (3/1), Silverkode (5/1), Burnt Sugar (6/1), Full Moon (13/2), Katiymann (8/1), Sirjack Thomas (8/1), Danielsflyer (9/1), Turbine (10/1), Dance Emperor (11/1), Band of Outlaws (12/1), Escobar (12/1), Bucky Larson (12/1), Master Speaker (16/1), Zap (20/1), Theobald (20/1), Waitingfortheday (20/1), Surrounding (25/1), Reckless Endeavour (25/1), Spanish Tenor (25/1), Honor Oak (33/1), Mr Scarlet (33/1)

Last year's winner Burnt Sugar has been better than ever this season and while he holds strong claims again here, he may prove vulnerable to one a little better handicapper. SAFE VOYAGE is a fascinating contender with just a 2lb rise for his latest effort and if he can settle better than he did last time, he may improve past his rivals here. There's no shortage of dangers but Master Speaker makes some appeal after a smart run last time and he gets the hugely talented Colin Keane for company in the saddle.