19:15 Kempton
Wednesday 12 September 2018
All17:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:1520:45
32Red.com Breeders Backing Racing EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes
- 3YO plus | Class 4 | 1m 3f 219y | Standard / Slow | 8 Runners | Polytrack | Weighed In
- Off time: 19:16 | Winning time: 2m 32.95s
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Showed some ability on debut in an AW bumper but has not built on that since. Efforts to date make it unlikely she has the pace to trouble the main contenders.
Well beaten here on debut and outclassed at Brighton on return two years later. Faces another stiff examination in a race that is stronger in depth.
Looked green on Newbury debut but shaped with plenty of promise. Back from 11 months on the sidelines, but at a time when the yard's horses are going well.
By Dansili out of Lancashire Oaks fourth Wannabe Loved. Travelled well for a long way on debut but failed to see it out and now has to tackle an extra 2f. In form trainer retains the hood.
Third to the useful La Ti Dar on April debut. The runner-up is now rated 87 and a line through the fourth gives her an edge over Birch Grove. Subsequent absence raises some concern and the market may help further.
Has a couple of German Derby winners in her pedigree but there were few positives to be taken from her debut when last of four. Entitled to improve, but so are the majority of these.
A reproduction of either of her first two starts would make her hard to beat. Her latest run has been boosted by the third, but a lack of runners for the yard in recent weeks is somewhat disconcerting.
Has only had one behind her on both starts to date and she has been beaten more than 20L on each occasion.
Forecasts
Quicksand (5/6), Wohileh (9/4), Loved So Much (9/2), Birch Grove (7/1), Salve Helena (33/1), Y Fyn Duw A Fydd (66/1), Far Cry (66/1), Seaesta (66/1)
Some promising types line up for this but all of them carry a question mark of sorts. Wohileh should soon be going one better, but the yard have shut down operations recently and that raises fitness concerns. Birch Grove returns from 11 months off having looked a winner in waiting on her debut, however a form line through the second gives her something to find with QUICKSAND. Hughie Morrison's filly shaped well behind Lah Ti Dar and Arcadian Cat on debut and that looks better than anything her rivals have achieved. She has been on the sidelines for five months since, but the booking of Richard Kingscote suggests a big run seems likely.
- Quicksand
- Birch Grove
- Wohileh
Prize Money
1st: £6,469.002nd: £1,925.003rd: £962.004th: £481.00
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