16:35 Newbury

Friday 17 August 2018

All13:2013:5014:2514:5515:3016:0016:3517:10

John Smith Lifetime In Racing British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10)

Off time: 16:36 | Winning time: 1m 15.22s

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Selected odds by:

(2)

Alhakmah¹⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: R L Moore| T: R Hannon| BF

4/7

420,000gns yearling by precocious first-season sire No Nay Never ran an excellent race on debut when narrowly touched off in second (of 17) at Goodwood. Should improve on that effort so outstanding claims here.

Form: 2

(3)

East Coast Swing

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: J F Egan| T: George Scott

8/1

Unraced daughter of Exchange Rate cost connections €400,000 at May breeze-up sales. Obviously moved with promise there so not ruled out although trainer not known for winning debutants.

Form:

(8)

Heritage

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: A Kirby| T: C G Cox

10/1

Newcomer by Group One heavy ground winning sprinter Garswood out of an unplaced dam who was out of a Group One winner. Trainer's two-year-olds tend to need the run but market support would be significant.

Form:

(7)

Isabella Red¹⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Rob Hornby| T: C Hills

40/1

Dark Angel filly was last of 17 and showed precious little on debut at Goodwood in the same race where Alhakmah finished second. Hopefully fare a little better here but inconceivable she can reverse with the Hannon filly.

Form: 0

(6)

Medoras Childe¹⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: S W Kelly| T: H Main

100/1

Ordinary efforts in two starts to date over C&D first time up and latest at Leicester. Looks the sort for lower end handicaps after this so best watched here.

Form: 07

(1)

Munaajaat¹⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: M Dwyer| T: B J Meehan

10/1

Tamayuz filly hinted at potential on debut at Sandown despite running greenly but couldn't make significant strides next up at Goodwood and was 4½L behind Alhakmah there. Place potential here but big improvement needed to reverse with the top horse.

Form: 50

(4)

Song of The Isles⁵³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Finley Marsh⁽⁵⁾| T: H Main

66/1

Tailed off and only beat one home in 16 runner contest on debut at Windsor. Given time off since so hopefully show a little more but can't be considered from a betting perspective.

Form: 0

(5)

Stay Forever

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Oisin Murphy| T: A M Balding

12/1

Harbour Watch newcomer out of a 1m2f winning dam who is well related to a couple of Group winners over middle distances. Trainer has a 17 per-cent strike rate with two-year-olds so this filly the most appealing debutant.

Form:

(9)

Yourtimeisnow¹⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: R Varian

4/1

120,000gns yearling by Charm Spirit ran with promise on debut when third at Newmarket before finishing ninth at Goodwood in a race where Alhakmah was second. A little unlucky there so chance to get a bit closer but turnaround unlikely.

Form: 39

Forecasts

Alhakmah (4/7), Yourtimeisnow (4/1), East Coast Swing (8/1), Heritage (10/1), Munaajaat (10/1), Stay Forever (12/1), Isabella Red (40/1), Song of The Isles (66/1), Medoras Childe (100/1)

Richard Hannon's ALHAKMAH looks to have an exceptional chance here based on her most promising debut second in a big field at Goodwood where she had three of these rivals well behind her. Such is her superiority over those with race form the only viable option to oppose is with a newcomer and Stay Forever rates the most likely of the debutants given her nice pedigree and top connections. Heritage is the other newcomer worth considering for Clive Cox.