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14:05 Newcastle - 30 June 2018 - Racecard - Horse Racing - Sporting Life
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14:05 Newcastle

Saturday 30 June 2018

All12:2012:5513:3014:0514:4015:1515:5016:25

Stobart Rail & Civils Northumberland Plate Handicap (Heritage Handicap)

  • 3YO plus  |   Class 2  |   2m 56y  |   Standard / Slow  |   20 Runners  |   Allweather  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 14:09  |   Winning time: 3m 33.56s
The word Sky in blue and Bet in white with a red background.
The word Betfair in black.
The words Paddy Power in green.
Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
Show odds
1
(10)
Horse silk
Higher Power51
Age: 6|  Weight: 9-10| J: T P Queally| T: J R Fanshawe| OR:  108| CD
10/1
Gamely held off Natural Scenery by ½L when winning this race off a 1lb lower mark in 2017 and posted his best effort since when runner up at Chelmsford (1m6f) last month; no back-to-back Plate winner since Tug Of War in 1977/78.
2
(7)
Horse silk
Time To Study14
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-10| J: P J McDonald| T: C & M Johnston| OR:  108| BF
16/1
Not raced on the AW since November 2016 (1-2), so notable that he tries something new after a consistent spell of turf form including in Group contests; stays well, finished just under 9L fifth in the 2m2.5f Chester Cup in May.
3
(5)
Horse silk
Nakeetah50
Age: 7|  Weight: 9-9| J: Callum Rodriguez(3)| T: I Jardine| OR:  107
20/1
2017 Ebor winner (Natural Scenery third) who acquitted himself admirably in the Melbourne Cup at Flemington in November (fifth of 23); sole AW experience came in this race in 2016 when finishing tenth of 20 to Antiquarium.
4
(17)
Horse silk
Prince Of Arran22
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-9| J: Adam J McNamara(3)| T: C Fellowes| OR:  107| D
16/1
50% AW strike-rate (3-6), and arrives here via Meydan, Chester and Belmont Park; beaten just over 1L in the US earlier this month when third to Call To Mind in the Grade 2 Belmont Gold Cup (2m, firm).
5
(13)
Horse silk
Watersmeet50
Age: 7|  Weight: 9-8| J: J Fanning| T: C & M Johnston| OR:  106| D
12/1
Game front-runner; thrives on AW racing (11-22), but has drawn a blank on both previous visits to this track; high in the weights for his AW Championships exploits and unlikely to be strong enough as a result; trainer saddles three runners.
6
(2)
Horse silk
On To Victoryh43
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-8| J: Charles Bishop| T: Eve Johnson Houghton| OR:  106
16/1
Beaten approximately 2L when finishing fourth to Secret Advisor in the 1m6f Melrose at York in August 2017 and has continued to run to a consistent level of form thereafter (Conditions Stakes winner); current handicap mark relatively tough.
7
(20)
Horse silk
Top Tug8
Age: 7|  Weight: 9-7| J: G Lee| T: A King| OR:  105| BF| D
20/1
Again ran well in the 1m4f Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes at Royal Ascot recently (fifth), shaping as if needing a longer trip; 2-3 on the AW (Polytrack) but untried on synthetics since 2016; wide draw tricky, but there are far worse 'outsiders'.
8
(18)
Horse silk
Lord Georgev92
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-7| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: J R Fanshawe| OR:  105| D
20/1
The application of a visor has helped to steer him back on a wayward course, beaten by just a nose on AW Championships Finals Day (Marathon) at Lingfield in March; close up fourth of 20 in this race in 2017 (off 9lb lower).
9
(1)
Horse silk
Arch Villainb275
Age: 9|  Weight: 9-6| J: P Mulrennan| T: Mrs A J Perrett| OR:  104| D
50/1
25/1 winner of a 2m Class 2 Handicap on Shergar Cup Day at Ascot in August 2017 and rated 4lb higher here; off the track since September 2017 but has gone well fresh previously and is 7-13 on the AW (only 18th of 20 in 2016).
10
(19)
Horse silk
Clever Cookiep14
Age: 10|  Weight: 9-5| J: D Allan| T: P D Niven| OR:  103| D
50/1
A tremendous servant to connections over the years, building up a firm fan club along the way, but he's seemingly on the downgrade now at the age of ten; finished ninth of 20 in this race in 2017 (33/1).
11
(3)
Horse silk
Curbyourenthusiasm35
Age: 7|  Weight: 9-4| J: Oisin Murphy| T: D M Simcock| OR:  102
33/1
No win since November 2016 (1m6f, Chelmsford), but broadly consistent this year after a very light previous campaign; 2L runner up to Cayirli in the Class 2 Queen's Prize Handicap at Kempton in April; rates as an unlikely winner.
12
(14)
Horse silk
Natural Scenery91
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-3| J: P Hanagan| T: S bin Suroor| OR:  101| CD
11/2
First start in the UK since wintering at Meydan, but this mare is a force to be reckoned with on her rock-solid 2017 form-lines with Nakeeta (Ebor) and Higher Power (Northumberland Plate); strong record at Newcastle; 1,1,2; leading contender.
13
(4)
Horse silk
Soldier In Action21
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-3| J: J Mitchell| T: C & M Johnston| OR:  101| D
33/1
7lb lower than when making all to score by ½L (Lord George second) over 2m on the Polytrack at Kempton in November, but tough to build a case for him on the basis of his 2018 efforts; trainer saddles three runners.
14
(16)
Horse silk
Island Brave45
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-2| J: B A Curtis| T: H Main| OR:  100| C
18/1
Strong AW performer (6-12; 4-4 on Tapeta). That said, his latest 'win' was somewhat fortuitous, controversially awarded a race by the Newcastle Stewards on Good Friday; up 5lb in a very competitive contest, so probably likely to struggle.
15
(11)
Horse silk
Withholdp259
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-1| J: R Winston| T: H & R Charlton| OR:  99| D
5/1
Not quite 100% this season so deliberately held back since landing a major gamble in the Cesarewitch (2m2f, good) at Newmarket in October with future targets firmly in mind (Melbourne Cup); 12lb higher; only his second ever AW start.
16
(12)
Horse silk
Byron Flyerp21
Age: 7|  Weight: 9-0| J: Fran Berry| T: Ian Williams| OR:  98| D
16/1
Sneaks into the race for a trainer who took the Northumberland Vase in 2017 with London Prize; 2-4 on the AW and could potentially see his recent 2m Haydock form franked by the The Grand Visir and Euchen Glen (1.30pm).
17
(6)
Horse silk
Lagostovegash11(ex 5)
Age: 6|  Weight: 9-0| J: L F Roche| T: W P Mullins| OR:  93| D
9/1
Dual purpose mare who finished 8¾L third to Withhold in the 2017 Cesarewitch (2m2f, good). Scaled new heights when a cosy 1L winner of the 2m4f Ascot Stakes; down in trip carrying a 5lb penalty for AW debut; Mullins first Newcastle (AW) runner.
18
(8)
Horse silk
Amazing Red21(ex 5)
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-0| J: Jim Crowley| T: E A L Dunlop| OR:  93| D
11/2
Carries a 5lb penalty for his emphatic career best 1m6f Newmarket win earlier this month (4lb well in); fairly unexposed despite his age (1-4 on the AW), but on form needs to reach another level in order to follow up in this race.
19
(15)
Horse silk
Sir Chauvelin8
Age: 6|  Weight: 8-13| J: D Tudhope| T: J S Goldie| OR:  97| C| D
12/1
A winner on his last visit to Newcastle in November 2017 (2m Class 2 Handicap) and also ran well in both the 2017 Plate (sixth) and the 2016 Vase (fourth) so evidently well suited by this track; staying on 33/1 second at Royal Ascot recently (1m4f).
20
(9)
Horse silk
Cayirli50
Age: 6|  Weight: 8-13| J: S W Kelly| T: S Durack| OR:  97| D
33/1
Shock winner of the Queen's Prize Handicap at Kempton at odds of 50/1 on his return from an 18-month absence in April (Curbyourenthusiasm second); well beaten 15th of 16 in the 2m2.5f Chester Cup since.

Forecasts

Withhold (5/1), Amazing Red (11/2), Natural Scenery (11/2), Lagostovegas (9/1), Higher Power (10/1), Sir Chauvelin (12/1), Watersmeet (12/1), Prince Of Arran (16/1), Time To Study (16/1), On To Victory (16/1), Byron Flyer (16/1), Island Brave (18/1), Nakeeta (20/1), Top Tug (20/1), Lord George (20/1), Soldier In Action (33/1), Cayirli (33/1), Curbyourenthusiasm (33/1), Clever Cookie (50/1), Arch Villain (50/1)

14:05 Newcastle - 30 June 2018 - Racecard - Horse Racing - Sporting Life

Those who forecast the slow demise of the Northumberland Plate are increasingly silent with the 2018 renewal potentially the strongest for many years. The Cesarewitch winner Withhold is evidently a Group horse in the making and is fancied to confirm that form with Lagostovegas despite the Mullins-trained raider being race-fit from her Ascot Stakes success. However, Godolphin have firmly set this race in their sights over the past couple of years, with 2017 runner-up NATURAL SCENERY seeking to enhance her already fine Newcastle record. While she rates as the selection, a couple of lively outsiders worthy of each-way respect include Sir Chauvelin and Top Tug.
  1. Natural Scenery
  2. Withhold
  3. Top Tug

Previous Winners

2017
Higher Power
Weight: 9-9  |Age: 5
J: T P Queally  |  T: J R Fanshawe
11/2

Prize Money

1st: £92,385.002nd: £27,810.003rd: £13,905.004th: £6,930.005th: £3,480.006th: £1,755.007th: £870.008th: £420.00

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