15:05 Newcastle

Thursday 28 June 2018

All13:3014:0014:3015:0515:4016:1516:5017:20

London Southend Airport Novice Stakes (Plus 10)

Off time: 15:09 | Winning time: 1m 14.65s

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Selected odds by:

(4)

Almufti⁴⁰

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: D Tudhope| T: H Palmer

6/4

Toronado colt, cost 62,000 gns as a foal and 120,000 gns as a yearling. Was well fancied when needing the run in a strong Newbury contest and looks the one to beat.

Form: 6

(2)

Champagne Clouds¹³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: B A Curtis| T: B Ellison

50/1

Withdrawn on debut after breaking out of the stalls and then not fancied and well beaten on eventual debut. Best watched.

Form: 8

(9)

Daafr¹⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: R Havlin| T: J & T Gosden| BF

2/1

Son of Invincible Spirit who cost €350,000 as a yearling. Shaped on debut as though he'd need further but still respected for leading stable.

Form: 7

(5)

Dream Poet

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: J Garritty| T: Jedd O'Keeffe

50/1

By Poet's Voice who cost 8,000 gns as a yearling and 11,000 gns as a juvenile. Stable not noted for debut winners and likely to need further in time.

Form:

(6)

Federal Law

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Oisin Murphy| T: A Watson

3/1

By the late Scat Daddy who cost $220,000 as a yearling. Stable in good form and looks a likely type on debut. Market support would be significant.

Form:

(12)

Kolossus

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: P Mulrennan| T: M Dods

16/1

Plenty of speed in pedigree and stable both in good form and capable of readying a newcomer. One to note in the betting.

Form:

(10)

Mayfair Spirit²²

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: S Donohoe| T: C Fellowes

11/1

Charm Spirit colt that cost 42,000 gns as a yearling. Showed promise on debut but failed to improve on that on his second start. Others preferred.

Form: 54

(8)

Top Cat

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: D Allan| T: T D Easterby

50/1

Son of Footstepsinthesand cost 30,000 gns as a yearling. Stable also run Se Green but looks first string on jockey bookings. Worth a check in the betting on debut.

Form:

(1)

Amber Spark⁴⁸

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: T Hamilton| T: R A Fahey| BF

33/1

Cost 35,000 guineas as a yearling and was fancied on debut when slowly away before making late progress. Likely to be much more forward for debut experience.

Form: 6

(7)

Juals Spirit⁴¹

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: Ben Robinson⁽³⁾| T: B Ellison

100/1

Only beat one horse home in both starts to date. Hard to make a case for and best watched at present.

Form: 87

(11)

Se Green

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: Rachel Richardson⁽³⁾| T: T D Easterby

66/1

Sepoy filly, stable starting to hit form but runners tend to improve for their debut. Market should prove best guide.

Form:

Non-Runners

(3)

Garsbay

Weight: 9-2| Age: 2

T: J G Given J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Almufti (6/4), Daafr (2/1), Federal Law (3/1), Mayfair Spirit (11/1), Kolossus (16/1), Garsbay (20/1), Amber Spark (33/1), Top Cat (50/1), Dream Poet (50/1), Champagne Clouds (50/1), Se Green (66/1), Juals Spirit (100/1)

Hugo Palmer has won both previous renewals of this and looks to have a strong hope of completing a hat-trick in ALMUFTI who looked only likely to improve for the run in a hot contest on debut. Amber Spark clearly needed the experience on debut and should have learnt a lot while Federal Law should be noted in the betting on debut.