20:10 Kempton

Wednesday 27 June 2018

All17:4018:1018:4019:1019:4020:1020:40

32Red On The App Store Handicap

Off time: 20:12 | Winning time: 2m 20.96s

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Selected odds by:

(9)

Medrano^h²¹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-7| J: T P Queally| T: D & C Kubler| OR: 85| D

6/1

High-class as a two/three-year-old, but hasn't been anything like that level on three starts since returning from a long absence, even when performing slightly better here last time out.

Form: 231/083

(13)

Karawaan³²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: Dane O'Neill| T: Sir Michael Stoute| OR: 83| BF

9/2

Two starts so far this campaign have shown promise in handicaps, and with further improvement possible in the care of a top trainer, he's one of the leading contenders here.

Form: 2316-32

(4)

Tom's Rock¹²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-5| J: A Kirby| T: J Butler| OR: 83

7/1

Some good recent form and 4lb higher mark than his last win shouldn't rule him out, with return to the AW also likely to suit.

Form: 123346

(7)

Rydan^p¹⁹

Age: 7| Weight: 9-4| J: Hector Crouch| T: G & J Moore| OR: 82| CD

25/1

C&D winner at his best, but has shown little in three starts so far this year and generally seen to better effect over further.

Form: 522-448

(3)

Nordic Combined⁵³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-3| J: L P Keniry| T: W S Kittow| OR: 81

50/1

Makes his AW debut here having finished last at Doncaster last time. Not one to rely on and on the same mark as that recent poor effort.

Form: 0128-10

(8)

Sporting Times⁴¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-3| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: E A L Dunlop| OR: 81

8/1

Never a factor on seasonal debut at Newbury last time out, and down just 1lb in the weights he's tough to build a case for.

Form: 63625-7

(6)

Dawn Choir²⁸¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: Adam J McNamara⁽³⁾| T: H & R Charlton| OR: 80

7/1

Off the mark in a Galway maiden last September and has now joined this yard from Ellmarie Holden. This opening mark should give her a chance on handicap debut.

Form: 22231-

(1)

New Agenda²⁹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-1| J: Fran Berry| T: P R Webber| OR: 79

16/1

Took a step in the right direction at Leicester last time out, though overall form decidedly mixed even if this trip does seem likely to suit.

Form: 323-963

(12)

Star Gypsy³⁵⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: P Cosgrave| T: H J L Dunlop| OR: 78

66/1

Last of the five runners on handicap debut at Yarmouth last July. Off since, so the lay-off is a concern, as is his performance that day given he's down just 2lb here.

Form: 0415-

(5)

Rake's Progress²⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: David Egan| T: H Main| OR: 77| C

13/2

Far from disgraced at Lingfield last time out, but that was over 2f shorter and this step up in trip doesn't seem likely to suit.

Form: 148-873

(11)

Eskendash³⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 8-12| J: P J Dobbs| T: Mrs P Sly| OR: 76| CD

8/1

Has been running well over hurdles recently and now returns to the AW. Previous C&D winner and looks on a fair mark, so has to be of some interest.

Form: 126356-

(2)

Villette³⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 8-11| J: Rob Hornby| T: D K Ivory| OR: 75| C

33/1

Dead-heated off this mark at Leicester in October last year, bur only poor efforts on his three starts since and best watched here.

Form: 7168-57

(10)

Fire Tree^t³²

Age: 5| Weight: 8-10| J: S Donohoe| T: C Fellowes| OR: 74

16/1

Won a much weaker race than this at Wetherby last year, but most form since then has left him with plenty to find against some more in-form types.

Form: 900-054

(14)

Rubensian^t²²

Age: 5| Weight: 8-10| J: Jason Watson⁽⁵⁾| T: D M Simcock| OR: 74| C

33/1

AW form much stronger than on turf, and only 3lb higher in this sphere. That mark has remained the same from his second at Newcastle last time.

Form: 67-3302

Forecasts

Karawaan (9/2), Medrano (6/1), Rake's Progress (13/2), Dawn Choir (7/1), Tom's Rock (7/1), Sporting Times (8/1), Eskendash (8/1), New Agenda (16/1), Fire Tree (16/1), Rydan (25/1), Villette (33/1), Rubensian (33/1), Nordic Combined (50/1), Star Gypsy (66/1)

This can go to KARAWAAN, who has shown promise on his two starts in handicap company so far, and though he was beaten favourite last time, it wouldn't be unusual for runners from this yard to improve at this age and he shouldn't have an issue with his current handicap mark. He is taken to get off the mark here, with the likeliest dangers handicap newcomer Dawn Choir, as well as AW specialist Rubensian.