16:15 Leopardstown

Sunday 13 May 2018

All14:0514:3515:1015:4016:1516:4517:15

John R Fitzpatrick Agricultural Contractor Handicap

Off time: 16:16 | Winning time: 1m 28.04s

Settings

Selected odds by:

(8)

Settle For Bay¹⁰⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: D W O'Connor⁽³⁾| T: D Marnane| OR: 99| CD

16/1

In cracking form on the AW over the winter, racking up a four-timer over mile trip. Returns to turf rated 23lb higher this season as a consequence and must prove as effective now.

Form: 05111-1

(11)

Surrounding¹⁹⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-10| J: C P Hoban| T: M Halford| OR: 95

20/1

Lilbourne Lad filly was a good second in Listed company on the AW over a mile in October. Just as effective on turf but needs a career-best to defy this mark on return to action.

Form: 114234-

(10)

Master Speaker²⁰

Age: 8| Weight: 9-8| J: R P Downey⁽³⁾| T: A McGuinness| OR: 93

10/1

All win have come over 6f, with two of the four coming this year at Dundalk on the AW. Ran well over 5½f at Naas on turf return, opposable at this distance.

Form: 58-1144

(2)

Zorion⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: K J Manning| T: J S Bolger| OR: 91| D

13/2

Lightly-raced colt, ran well in 1m Naas handicap six day ago on soft ground, beaten just over 4L. Eased 2lb and should be competitive.

Form: 1/3-37

(6)

Tresorier¹⁹³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: S Foley| T: J Feane| OR: 90

20/1

Winner in native France, makes stable debut after 193-days off and hard to assess form. Market may steer expectations today.

Form: 526366-

(5)

Not A Bad Oul Day²⁹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-4| J: Dylan Hogan⁽⁵⁾| T: J Feane| OR: 89| D

9/1

One of the stories of last season, winning seven of 13 starts. Not at his best last month over C&D on return but entitled to have needed the run and quickly dipped 3lb below last winning mark. Chance.

Form: 41120-5

(9)

Jon Ess⁵⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: W J Lee| T: C O'Dwyer| OR: 87| D

11/2

Has done all his winning on the AW thus far and, as such, looks to have enough on his plate from this rating on turf return. Two wins from three at Dundalk earlier in the year.

Form: 823-121

(12)

Have A Nice Day^p³⁷

Age: 8| Weight: 8-13| J: D E Sheehy⁽⁵⁾| T: J Feane| OR: 84| D

16/1

Winner from 5lb lower mark over 7f on the AW at Dundalk last month. This is tougher, and while still potentially well-handicapped on his best work, has yet to find the target in four runs here.

Form: 46475-1

(15)

Atlas¹⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 8-11| J: Nathan Crosse⁽⁷⁾| T: D Hogan| OR: 82| BF| C

9/1

Clear winner over a mile here in August (rated 70), his only success from 13 attempts on turf previously. Looks to be in the handicapper's grasp at the moment.

Form: 4715-46

(14)

Casimiro²⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-11| J: Colin Keane| T: G M Lyons| OR: 82| D

8/1

AW maiden winner for Roger Charlton, looked in need of the run when eased home over C&D last month having gone off favourite on first start for this team. Not written off.

Form: 1464-6

(13)

Geological⁵¹

Age: 6| Weight: 8-10| J: Rory Cleary| T: D English| OR: 81| CD

16/1

Won this race last year, rated 85, and scored again off 4lb higher at Limerick (1m, good to firm) in June. Gone 25 races without a win since, has been competitive on the AW early in the year and could run well.

Form: 735394

(7)

Captain Power^h²⁶⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 8-8| J: Wayne Lordan| T: E Lynam| OR: 79| BF| C

12/1

Course winner over 6f in 2016, scored last summer at Fairyhouse (6f, good) from a mark 4lb higher than this. Capable of a decent effort first time out.

Form: 026163-

(4)

Honor Oak³³

Age: 6| Weight: 8-7| J: Chris Hayes| T: T Hogan| OR: 78| D

8/1

Career-best to win at Dundalk last time out, rated 8lb higher returned to turf and just 1-24 on this surface. Others looks to hold stronger claims, though could threaten minor money.

Form: 92265-1

(3)

Ishebayorgrey¹⁰⁰

Age: 6| Weight: 8-6| J: K J Leonard⁽³⁾| T: P Martin| OR: 77| C| D

17/2

Consistent performer, has won around here in the past and scored on the AW over 7f in January at Dundalk. Behind the likes of Settle For Bay and Jon Ess in further runs there but should be competitive on revised terms.

Form: 62-4134

(1)

Silk Cravat³⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 8-5| J: L F Roche| T: J Geoghegan| OR: 76| D

25/1

Winner on the AW earlier in the year over 6f (rated 70) though since well held behind Have A Nice Day over 7f. Yet to open account on turf and opposable on these terms in a decent field.

Form: 31-4519

(17)

The Phantom Punch¹⁰⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-5| J: N G McCullagh| T: A Oliver| OR: 76| D

20/1

Improved effort when running out cosy winner of 7f AW maiden at Dundalk in January on fourth start. Could have plenty more to come now sent handicapping and a big danger if handling turf.

Form: 3-431

Non-Runners

(16)

Fuwairt¹⁴²

Weight: 8-13| Age: 6

T: G P Cromwell J: Ronan Whelan

Forecasts

Jon Ess (11/2), Zorion (13/2), Honor Oak (8/1), Casimiro (8/1), Ishebayorgrey (17/2), Atlas (9/1), Not A Bad Oul Day (9/1), Master Speaker (10/1), Captain Power (12/1), Fuwairt (14/1), Settle For Bay (16/1), Geological (16/1), Have A Nice Day (16/1), Surrounding (20/1), Tresorier (20/1), The Phantom Punch (20/1), Silk Cravat (25/1)

NOT A BAD OUL DAY was one of the success of last season and though he was well held on his reappearance, there's every chance that run was going to be needed. As such, it appears folly to discount him having dropped below his last winning mark. The Phantom Punch improved to win a maiden on the AW when dropped to this trip last time and could be a big threat if taking to the turf now sent handicapping. Surrounding should run his race while Casimiro is likely to improve on what he did on debut for Ger Lyons. Settle For Bay may struggle to continue his winning sequence from this rating back on turf.