18:20 Southwell

Monday 30 April 2018

All17:2017:5018:2018:5019:2019:5020:20

Compare Bookies At freebetting.co.uk Novice Stakes

Off time: 18:21 | Winning time: 1m 41.02s

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Selected odds by:

(1)

Betancourt¹⁸

Age: 8| Weight: 10-0| J: D Nolan| T: J Ewart

100/1

Winning hurdler who has shown little in two starts on the AW. Hard to see him making an impact conceding weight to some unexposed younger rivals.

Form: 49

(4)

Dreamliner^h⁴⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 10-0| J: Rob J Fitzpatrick⁽⁵⁾| T: C N Kellett

250/1

Has shown little in bumpers and over hurdles. Switches to the Flat and AW with plenty to prove and is hard to recommend.

Form:

(6)

La Trog²⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: S De Sousa| T: Andi Brown

22/1

Vale Of York filly who is half-sister to 1m winner Sensible Way. Never on terms when seventh of 11 at Kempton on racecourse bow and needs much more to figure this time.

Form: 7

(5)

Battle Lines^h²⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: L Morris| T: J Tate| OR: 77

7/2

Frustrating colt who has finished second on his last four starts. Nevertheless, he sets the standard on form and has to enter calculations despite being unproven on Fibresand.

Form: 3-32222

(9)

Compliance¹⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: P J McDonald| T: J Tate| OR: 73

11/4

Stable companion of Battle Lines who shaped well on his return to action when second of 13 at Wolverhampton earlier this month. Would not need to show much improvement to go close.

Form: 0256-2

(10)

Convinced¹⁷⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Edward Greatrex| T: A WatsonWS

11/1

Son of Invincible Spirit who cost €80,000 as a foal and whose dam was a winner over 7f. Only ninth of 14 on debut for Richard Hannon at Kempton in November, but has changed stables and this is his first run since wind surgery and being gelded.

Form: 9-

(7)

Face Like Thunder²⁰²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: L P Keniry| T: A M Balding

6/1

Improved on debut run at Newbury when third of eight at Leicester in October. Likely to take another step forward on AW debut and seasonal reappearance.

Form: 83-

(3)

Theydon Spirit⁴⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: M M Monaghan⁽³⁾| T: H Spiller

33/1

Piccolo gelding whose dam won over 1m. Not without promise when seventh of 12 on debut over 1m at Kempton and should come on for the experience.

Form: 7

(8)

Zarjaz²⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: T Eaves| T: K A Ryan

16/1

Fair degree of promise on both starts at Newcastle and Wolverhampton. His level of form falls a little shy of that of some of his rivals, however, and he may do better when handicapping.

Form: 42

(2)

Raaqyah¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: J Mitchell| T: R Varian

11/4

Good deal of promise on both outings, latterly when third to a nice sort over C&D. Can improve for respected stable and is likely to be on the premises.

Form: 33

Forecasts

Compliance (11/4), Raaqyah (11/4), Battle Lines (7/2), Face Like Thunder (6/1), Convinced (11/1), Zarjaz (16/1), La Trog (22/1), Theydon Spirit (33/1), Betancourt (100/1), Dreamliner (250/1)

Stable companions Battle Lines and Compliance look quite evenly matched, but both may have to give way to RAAQYAH, who ran well over C&D last time and can get off the mark at the third attempt. Theydon Spirit shaped with promise on debut and is worth a second glance, while Face Like Thunder, Convinced and Zarjaz are others to consider.