14:30 Naas

Sunday 25 March 2018

All13:5514:3015:0515:4016:1516:5017:25

Kildare Post & Kildare Now Maiden (Plus 10)

Off time: 14:30 | Winning time: 1m 18.6s

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Selected odds by:

(6)

Safaruk³⁵⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 10-4| J: A M Glynn⁽¹⁰⁾| T: D Hogan

66/1

Down the field on only start for Dermot Weld last year over 1m2f. Markedly drops in trip here but nothing to suggest that this trip will see him to better effect.

Form: 6-

(20)

Stormy Air³⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 10-4| J: K K Hennessy⁽⁵⁾| T: D Hogan

100/1

Beaten over 10L in two starts so far, both at Dundalk and both over further than this. Drop in trip seems unlikely to help and draw is a negative.

Form: 99

(17)

Danville Girl¹⁵²

Age: 5| Weight: 9-13| J: D E Sheehy⁽⁵⁾| T: Nigel Johnston

100/1

Well-beaten in two maidens last season, including over C&D and once in testing conditions. Tough to see her leaving those tame efforts behind.

Form: 00-

(19)

Strange Notions^h⁵⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-13| J: D P McDonogh| T: C O'Brien

50/1

Easily the best of her runs so far came over hurdles last time when finishing fourth at this course, but difficult to get excited about her returning to the Flat.

Form: 0-0

(9)

Case Stated¹⁴⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: W J Lee| T: W McCreery

14/1

Needed the full trip to finish fifth on debut at Dundalk (over 1m) back in October. Could be done for speed by a few of these.

Form: 5-

(13)

Castletownshend¹⁶¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: W M Lordan| T: T M Walsh

9/2

Beaten only by a head on debut over C&D last year. That was his only start to date but it came on soft ground and if building on that he should be thereabouts in this more competitive affair.

Form: 2-

(15)

Kyoodle^t1

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: G F Carroll| T: A Keatley

33/1

Dark Angel colt who cost £50,000 as a yearling. Not the worst pedigree but draw not exactly idea. Tongue strap on for debut.

Form:

(10)

Pretty Boy Floyd^v¹⁷⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: C P Hoban| T: Mrs S Dawson| OR: 84

9/1

Ran to a fair level in a number of races last year, including a fine second in a valuable sales race. Since held in a maiden again and may be more of a handicapping prospect.

Form: 065626-

(11)

Scorpion Black¹⁴⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: R P Whelan| T: D K Weld

16/1

Showed marked improvement on his second start to finish fifth at this course over 1m. Encouraging to see him back in trip after that effort, but certainly needs to improve.

Form: 05-

(8)

Ajmera⁵⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: S Foley| T: J P Murtagh

20/1

Steps back in trip having raced keenly on debut at Dundalk in January. Questions to answer down in trip here, however.

Form: 6

(18)

Come At Dawn

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: K J Manning| T: J S Bolger

10/1

Dawn Approach filly who cost €50,000 as a foal. Half-sister to a dual-Listed winner, and represents a yard who does well in maidens at this time of year. Her draw isn't ideal, though.

Form:

(5)

Crown Leah²²⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: L F Roche| T: M O'Callaghan| BF

16/1

Disappointing as odds-on favourite on the second of her two starts last year, and steps up in trip here. Should run well but the forecast ground is a mild concern.

Form: 27-

(1)

Daliyah¹⁶¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: C T Keane| T: G M Lyons| OR: 79| BF

6/1

Has had much more racing than the rest of these but can be considered somewhat unlucky to have yet gotten off the mark. This looks to be her trip and she handles softer conditions.

Form: 532246-

(7)

Hence¹⁴⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: J A Heffernan| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 82

7/2

Showed promise on three starts last year for her top connections, even if she wasn't particularly progressive. Drops in trip but a chance that could see her to better effect.

Form: 523-

(2)

Katie Cruel¹⁴⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: C D Hayes| T: A Fleming

7/1

Beaten only a head on debut over C&D in November. Shaped as if there should be improvement to come there and she had an appealing draw.

Form: 2-

(12)

Lake Moraine

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: R P Downey⁽³⁾| T: D W O'Sullivan

100/1

Choisir filly who cost €1,300 as a foal. Most winning form in her pedigree is over sprint trips but this trainer is only 3/69 with his runners under rules (both codes) in the past five seasons.

Form:

(3)

Redhawk

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: C O'Donoghue| T: J M Oxx

17/2

Mastercraftsman filly who cost €100,000 as a yearling. Half-sister to a couple of classy individuals, and therefore needs considering in this; the market may be the best guide.

Form:

(14)

Rego Park Lady¹¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: G P Halpin⁽³⁾| T: A Murray

25/1

Only very slightly outran her 66/1 price on debut at Dundalk last time, and though this slightly longer trip could encourage some improvement she'll probably still only play a minor role.

Form: 9-

(16)

Suzy's Company⁴⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: K J Leonard⁽³⁾| T: A Oliver

33/1

Hasn't been able to land a blow on two starts so far, both at Dundalk, and needs to show plenty of improvement for the switch to turf.

Form: 9-9

(4)

Swing Till Dawn²⁶²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: D P Davis⁽¹⁰⁾| T: J S Bolger

25/1

Ran a fair race in second at Tipperary when last seen in July. This is much tougher and he has a longer break to overcome than most of these. Also the stable's second string based on jockey bookings.

Form: 72-

Non-Runners

Impossibility³⁰²

Weight: 9-0| Age: 3

T: J M Oxx J: Reserve 1

Forecasts

Hence (7/2), Castletownshend (9/2), Daliyah (6/1), Katie Cruel (7/1), Redhawk (17/2), Pretty Boy Floyd (9/1), Come At Dawn (10/1), Case Stated (14/1), Crown Leah (16/1), Scorpion Black (16/1), Ajmera (20/1), Rego Park Lady (25/1), Swing Till Dawn (25/1), Impossibility (25/1), Kyoodle (33/1), Suzy's Company (33/1), Strange Notions (50/1), Safaruk (66/1), Stormy Air (100/1), Danville Girl (100/1), Lake Moraine (100/1)

Hence is of some interest due to her connections and the standard she ran up to in three maidens last year (though obviously without winning), but preference is for DALIYAH. Ger Lyons may be less unexposed than some of these, but she can put that experience to good use and ran very well in a number of maidens last year. She's somewhat unlucky to still not have won, and the inside draw is another positive. Redhawk and Come At Dawn are newcomers of interest.