19:15 Kempton

Wednesday 21 March 2018

All17:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:1520:4521:15

Commission Free Racing At Matchbook Median Auction Maiden Fillies' Stakes

Off time: 19:17 | Winning time: 2m 20.04s

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Selected odds by:

(8)

Catherinethegrace⁸¹

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: Tom Marquand| T: J C Fox

100/1

Has beaten just one horse home in each of her two starts so far (both on Polytrack including at this course). Tough to see her improving on those efforts.

Form: 00-

(12)

Champagne Reef¹⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: T E Whelan| T: Miss J Feilden

66/1

Literato filly who ran in two bumpers, not really having an impact on either but at least improving between the two runs. Could lack the tactical pace for this trip.

Form:

(1)

I'm A Believer^h¹¹

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: Charles Bishop| T: M R Channon

12/1

Beaten 15L into third last time but that was a slightly oddly run race due to a runaway odds-on winner. Interesting to see if she can follow up that placing in a more open affair here.

Form: 5-3

(4)

Uptown Girl⁸³

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: Joey Haynes| T: Mrs L Pearce

100/1

Last of all and beaten 20L on her first run at Lingfield last time out. Up in trip here but much better is needed, including at the start.

Form: 9-

(5)

Annie Mae³⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: Rob Hornby| T: A M Balding

16/1

Showed signs of greenness on debut at Wolverhampton last time, so for all that that was a poor run there's every chance she can improve on it.

Form: 5

(2)

Barbara Villiers⁴⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: J Fanning| T: C & M Johnston| OR: 69

3/1

Usually runs her race even though she is yet to really seriously threaten to get off the mark. No obvious improvement stepped up in trip last time but this may be a weaker race.

Form: 33-234

(9)

Deadly Reel^b1¹³⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: Edward Greatrex| T: A Watson| OR: 70

11/4

0-7 in her career but has run to a fair level, including in handicaps, and should be able to give a good account in what looks a fairly weak maiden. Blinkers on.

Form: 345353-

(6)

Folies Bergeres¹⁵³

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: Nicola Currie⁽⁵⁾| T: J G Portman

20/1

Much better on debut on Polytrack than on her most recent start on turf, so it's encouraging to see switched back to this surface. Considerable improvement is still needed, however.

Form: 70-

(3)

India¹⁵⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: David Probert| T: M L W Bell

4/1

Showed a fair amount of improvement on her second start last time, which was her first at this course. Up in trip now and may be able to progress again to challenge.

Form: 66-

(7)

Polar Light^p¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: David Egan⁽³⁾| T: D R C Elsworth| OR: 66

6/1

Runner-up in a Lingfield handicap two starts ago, early signs over intermediate trip last time weren't good, so interesting that connections step her slightly up in trip again.

Form: 7969-27

(10)

Storm Jazz¹⁴²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: Noel Garbutt⁽³⁾| T: R Brisland| OR: 66

16/1

Poorest effort to date when last seen at Leicester in October, and steps up markedly in trip for AW debut. Needs to arrest the decline in her form she's shown so far.

Form: 3490-

(11)

Strictly Magic²⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: M Dwyer| T: D M Simcock

33/1

Last of all and beaten 16L on debut at Newcastle in February. Plenty more is obviously required here so others make much more appeal.

Form: 7

Forecasts

Deadly Reel (11/4), Barbara Villiers (3/1), India (4/1), Polar Light (6/1), I'm A Believer (12/1), Storm Jazz (16/1), Annie Mae (16/1), Folies Bergeres (20/1), Strictly Magic (33/1), Champagne Reef (66/1), Catherinethegrace (100/1), Uptown Girl (100/1)

This is a weak enough maiden that probably won't take too much winning. India is of interest if continuing with the improvement she showed on her second start last time out, but preference is for BARBARA VILLIERS. She may not be the most progressive of fillies but she has run well on just about all of her starts so far, and this looks a much more realistic assignment as she looks to get off the mark at the sixth attempt. Deadly Reel is another danger, especially if first-time blinkers work as intended.