Betway Novice Stakes

Off time: 20:16 | Winning time: 1m 1.6s

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(5)

Desert Doctor²⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: Adam J McNamara⁽³⁾| T: E Walker| OR: 85

4/6

Has improved with very run and only just failed to concede 12lb to the winner last time. Drops to 5f and that could be a good move given the fractions he posted last time.

Form: 312-

(2)

Cool Spirit¹³⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: Barry McHugh| T: J G Given| OR: 85| D

11/8

Hardly convincing when justifying his short odds last time. That form suggests his current rating overestimates him and a four month absence, during which he has been a self-certified withdrawal twice, raises further concern.

Form: 331-

(4)

Eyes of Fire¹⁰⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: A Mullen| T: J R Norton| OR: 52

66/1

Has got progressively worse with each run and has a mountain to climb if he is to make a winning debut for this yard.

Form: 8500-

(6)

Swissie⁵⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: T Eaves| T: I Furtado

66/1

Has looked green on both starts to date and will be more of a force in time when sent handicapping.

Form: 00-

(3)

Ingleby Molly¹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: S A Gray| T: D O'Meara

25/1

Has pulled hard on both starts and faces stronger opposition than when a well-beaten fourth last time. Drop to 5f will help.

Form: 44-

(1)

Working Together⁸⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: William Cox⁽⁵⁾| T: A Brittain

66/1

Has shown little at triple digit odds in two runs to date and hard to see her having improved sufficiently to trouble the principals.

Form: 80-

Forecasts

Desert Doctor (4/6), Cool Spirit (11/8), Ingleby Molly (25/1), Working Together (66/1), Eyes of Fire (66/1), Swissie (66/1)

The two previous winners DESERT DOCTOR and Cool Spirit look the most likely pair in this. The latter was unconvincing last time at Catterick in August and a half-length defeat of a 71-rated rival (in recipt of 5lb) implies he has more to do than the official ratings suggest. DESERT DOCTOR flew from the stalls and had the field strung out at Kempton only to be overhauled in the closing stages by a rival in receipt of 12lb from him. That sort of pace, given his rate of improvement, makes him the one to beat. Ingleby Molly should do better back at this trip and looks best of the rest.