20:15 Kempton

Friday 5 January 2018

All17:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:1520:45

32Red Handicap

Off time: 20:16 | Winning time: 1m 12.4s

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Selected odds by:

(2)

Eljaddaaf^h²³

Age: 7| Weight: 9-7| J: R Winston| T: D K Ivory| OR: 85| CD

9/2

Takes a step down the grading ladder after midfield finish at Lingfield last time, but may have needed that after an absence and with such an excellent record over C&D, chance must be taken seriously here.

Form: 380590-

(7)

Kadrizzi^p²³

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: Jack Duern⁽³⁾| T: D K Ivory| OR: 85| D

12/1

Starting to look dangerously well handicapped on the best of his form, and although well beaten last time out, wasn't disgraced and may be about to bounce back to form again. Hard to rule out despite some mediocre form figures.

Form: 600408-

(1)

Kodiline^v⁴⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: A Kirby| T: C G Cox| OR: 85| D

7/2

Looks to be on the way back to form based on last couple of efforts, finishing well from off the pace to take fourth at Lingfield last time and this track may suit better, Another with chances in a tricky contest to solve.

Form: 4/60554-

(4)

Clear Water^p1³⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 9-6| J: F Norton| T: M Wigham| OR: 84

16/1

Probably better at this trip than further these days, especially if there's a decent pace on, but going days becoming increasingly difficult to predict. Chance if finding best form again, but others make more convincing cases.

Form: 020406-

(6)

Rely On Me^p⁹⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: Oisin Murphy| T: A M Balding| OR: 84| D

14/1

Winner of a better class contest than this at Newmarket in the summer, and still looks on a fair enough mark, but may need this after a short break and lacks a bit of all-weather experience. Should win again, but maybe not today.

Form: 625130-

(9)

Super Julius^p⁴⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: Charles Bishop| T: Eve Johnson Houghton| OR: 84

20/1

Ran pretty much to form when stepped up to this trip at Lingfield last time out, so may have a bit more to come, but he will need to improve as the handicapper just about looks in charge at present.

Form: 115296-

(5)

Shamsaya²⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: R Havlin| T: S & E Crisford| OR: 82| D

7/1

Did probably as well as could have been expected against a well-handicapped one at Lingfield last time, finishing off nicely to grab second late. Well enough handicapped to win one soon and not ruled out here.

Form: 734652-

(8)

Sparkalot²⁰⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: L Morris| T: S Dow| OR: 80| CD

7/1

Unexposed and a winner of two of his four starts to date, both over C&D. Thought good enough to hold a Commonwealth Cup entry at one stage, so this probably within his compass, but absence since June a concern. May need this.

Form: 4161-

(3)

Excellent George^t¹⁹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-1| J: Aaron Jones⁽³⁾| T: S C Williams| OR: 79| D

9/1

Bounced back to form after a break when a ready winner at Chelmsford last time out, that coming off the back of a break. Can be inconsistent, so no good thing to follow up, but yard going very well and must be considered.

Form: 724571-

(11)

Temeraire³⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: J Mitchell| T: H Palmer| OR: 78| BF| D

12/1

Had two starts for this yard, winning at the first attempt and then showing a similar level of form when runner up on latest start. Trip and surface fine, and every chance of an easy lead here, so looks one to take seriously.

Form: 304212-

(10)

Born To Finish^p²¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-0| J: D C Costello| T: J A Osborne| OR: 78| CD

12/1

Running well at present, and a C&D winner in this grade in November (4lb higher here). Drawn not ideal for one that likes to come late, and lacks the scope for improvement of one or two of these, but likely to run his race all the same.

Form: 732123-

Forecasts

Kodiline (7/2), Eljaddaaf (9/2), Shamsaya (7/1), Sparkalot (7/1), Excellent George (9/1), Born To Finish (12/1), Temeraire (12/1), Kadrizzi (12/1), Rely On Me (14/1), Clear Water (16/1), Super Julius (20/1)

Plenty of these look ready to bounce back to form, but with so many hold-up horses in the field it might give TEMERAIRE a chance to get loose on the front and if that's the case, she might take a bit of pegging back. The draw isn't ideal for her but she faces little competition early and should be able to get across without using up too much petrol. Eljadaaf finds himself in calmer waters here and can make that class drop tell by proving main danger. Kodiline and Shamsaya may fight out minor money.