15:45 Exeter

Friday 8 December 2017

All12:3013:0013:3514:0514:4015:1515:45

Read Noel Fehily At 188Bet Standard Open NH Flat Race

Off time: 15:45 | Winning time: 4m 22.4s

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Selected odds by:

Caribert²⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 11-5| J: N D Fehily| T: H Fry

1/1

Made all for an impressive success on debut and represents a yard with a 40% strike rate here. Will be hard to beat despite a penalty.

Form: 1

Densfirth

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: S Bowen| T: P F Nicholls

7/1

Flemensfirth gelding fetched €34,000 and is out of a dam who is a half-sister to Denman. Stable runners have to be respected here and the market will tell us more.

Form:

Eur Gone West^t1²⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: T Scudamore| T: D Pipe

18/1

Sent of favourite for point-to-point debut when showing a willing attitude and a fair amount of pace in front. Joined current yard for £65,000 but they are not the force they once were in this type of event and only mid-division on debut.

Form: 3-6

Grand Rigel

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: Michael Heard⁽⁵⁾| T: D Pipe

66/1

€6,000 yearling by Grandera and the first foal of a moderate dam. Stable's second string and easy to oppose.

Form:

Lapford Lad²¹³

Age: 5| Weight: 10-12| J: Lucy Gardner⁽³⁾| T: Mrs S Gardner

14/1

Showed promise on bumper debut and stuck to his task well but not enough to be fancied for win purposes and trainer has a low-strike rate in this sphere

Form: 4

Maratt⁴⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: Kevin Jones⁽⁵⁾| T: J W Mullins

50/1

Bought for £32,000 his dam was placed on the Flat in France and is a half-sister to a French hurdle/chase winner. No show on Worcester debut and this could be a better race.

Form: 0

Powerstown Park^p1²⁷⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: Charlie Deutsch⁽³⁾| T: S Thomas

28/1

Led out unsold at £9,500 at Ascot in March having beaten one other finisher in a Garnons point-to-point. Would be surprising if he proved good enough.

Form: 31-

Snuff Box⁵⁸⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 10-12| J: L Treadwell| T: Miss V Williams

14/1

Bought for £9,000 after winning an Eyton-On Severn point-to-point 19 months ago. A five year record in bumpers of 8-38 shows the yard can get one ready for these races, so worthy of a market check.

Form: 1-

Stoney Mountain

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: Andrew Tinkler| T: H D Daly

40/1

Half-brother to an AW bumper winner for a stable with an 8-91 record in this type of race. The yard's horses are improving for a run and he may be one for the long term.

Form:

Time To Move On

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: B J Geraghty| T: F O'Brien

3/1

Bought for £52,000 as a three-year-old. Full-brother to a bumper winner and half-brother to three other winners including Barney Dwan. Yard 7-25 in bumpers this season and jockey booking looks positive.

Form:

Willie Mclovin

Age: 5| Weight: 10-12| J: M G Nolan| T: C J Gray

200/1

Apple Tree gelding, and a half-brother to two winning point-to-pointers, represents a yard without a winner since the 2015-16 season.

Form:

Willies Dream

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: Alice Mills⁽³⁾| T: J Westwood

150/1

Makes little appeal on pedigree and yard are without a winner over the past two seasons. Hard to see him mixing it with this company.

Form:

Annie Probus^h1³⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 10-5| J: C Gethings⁽³⁾| T: C J Down

200/1

Yard not renowned for success in this sphere. Tailed off on debut and hard to see him playing more than a supporting role.

Form: 0

Audora⁶⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 10-5| J: James Best| T: M Hill

100/1

Soon struggling on debut when sent off at 100/1. This is a much stronger race and she makes no appeal.

Form: 8

Save The Pennies³⁹⁰

Age: 6| Weight: 10-5| J: Nick Scholfield| T: J G Cann

66/1

Bought for £18,500 after going down in a photo finish for a point-to-point. Sister to useful chaser Carriganog and also related to a bumper winner. Dam also won a bumper so she may have the tools to produce an upset.

Form: U/2-

Tikk Tock Boom²⁵⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 10-5| J: T J O'Brien| T: Ian Williams

25/1

Picked up at Cheltenham in April for £20,000 after landing a Ballynoe point-to-point. The form looks solid but her pedigree would have her needing further and stable are just 5-69 in this type of race.

Form: 71-

Forecasts

Caribert (1/1), Time To Move On (3/1), Densfirth (7/1), Snuff Box (14/1), Lapford Lad (14/1), Eur Gone West (18/1), Tikk Tock Boom (25/1), Powerstown Park (28/1), Stoney Mountain (40/1), Maratt (50/1), Save The Pennies (66/1), Grand Rigel (66/1), Audora (100/1), Willies Dream (150/1), Willie Mclovin (200/1), Annie Probus (200/1)

CARIBERT has the benefit of previous experience and sets a high standard having been so impressive on his debut. His stable have an outstanding record with their runners here and it will take something useful to beat him. Densfirth and Time To Move On are nicely bred newcomers from top yards, whilst Snuff Box and Save The Pennies are two of the more interesting recruits from the point-to-point field.