21:00 Chelmsford City

Thursday 7 December 2017

All17:2517:5518:3019:0019:3020:0020:3021:00

Go Homes Land Handicap

Off time: 21:02 | Winning time: 1m 12.5s

Settings

Selected odds by:

(8)

Spitfire Limited^h²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: Hector Crouch⁽³⁾| T: George Baker| OR: 50

7/2

On the premises in stronger races (Class 6) over 5f and 6f of late, including when keeping on best of all when just over 1L fourth to Mistry at Lingfield (6f) latest. Competes off the same mark.

Form:

(13)

La Fortuna⁴¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: C Wallis| OR: 50

14/1

Showed up relatively well in AW maidens around this time in 2016, but hasn't achieved much in 2017 since switched to handicaps. Drawn wide, and not overly convincing.

Form:

(5)

Quintus Cerialis^p,t¹²⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 9-6| J: L Morris| T: Karen George| OR: 49

10/1

A runner up in a 6f apprentices handicap at Leicester in July, but poor back there the following month and hasn't been seen in action since. Won just once in 33 career starts (7f, Kempton), so hardly the most prolific.

Form:

(9)

Emilysbutterscotch⁴⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: David Probert| T: Rae Guest| OR: 48

14/1

Kyllachy filly who is a five race maiden. Hasn't achieved much so far between 5f to 6f, but couldn't tackle much weaker rivals than these without dropping into a seller/claimer.

Form:

(4)

Pulsating^p³⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Edward Greatrex| T: A Watson| OR: 48| D

14/1

Has moved stables with regularity, but essentially competed in stronger contests than this during 2016 (with a degree of credit). Badly out of sorts since winning a 6f Wolverhampton seller in February, but a switch to this stable is a positive step.

Form:

(11)

Whaleweigh Station^v⁵¹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-5| J: D C Costello| T: J R Jenkins| OR: 48| D

8/1

Made the frame at Kempton on his penultimate start (7f), but his back-to-back January successes seem a long time ago now. Feasibly treated in a weak race, but strongest over further.

Form:

(2)

Olaudah⁷²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Fran Berry| T: H Candy| OR: 47

10/1

A 13 race maiden who finished a runner up at Bellewstown (5f good) for Adrian Keatley in August. Moved onto pastures new, and tackles the AW for just the second time in his career.

Form:

(12)

Joshlee⁵⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Nicola Currie⁽⁷⁾| T: Emma Owen| OR: 47

12/1

Nine race maiden who has fallen 15lb in the weights since switched to handicaps in October 2016. Difficult to fathom a logical argument in order to support her tonight.

Form:

(1)

Louis Vee^b⁴⁶

Age: 9| Weight: 9-3| J: Rossa Ryan⁽⁷⁾| T: J G M O'Shea| OR: 46| CD

16/1

His last success was over 6f here in January 2016, which ended a rather productive spell from mid December 2015. Offered little of any note since, bar a shock second at Windsor in early October. 13lb below last winning mark.

Form:

(6)

Silver Penny^p³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: Paddy Bradley⁽⁵⁾| T: J R Boyle| OR: 46| D

4/1

Hasn't won since September 2016 (second start), but has found the frame with a degree of regularity since mid October. Beaten 2½L when third to Archie Stevens on the Fibresand at Southwell on Monday (5f).

Form:

(10)

Mercury^b,t³⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-3| J: M Harley| T: A B Joyce| OR: 46| C

7/1

Hasn't won since June 2016 (for Kevin Ryan), but looking further back, he was a course winner over 7f in his prime. Not shown much on synthetics at Dundalk for this trainer, but market a guide given his lowly, falling mark.

Form:

(3)

Noneedtotellme^v⁴⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: William Cox⁽⁵⁾| T: J W Unett| OR: 45

25/1

A ten race maiden who wouldn't make all that much appeal, but was noted staying on well, when beaten 2½L by Ahundrednotout in a 5f Wolverhampton maiden in mid October.

Form:

(7)

Aegean Boy^t²⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: Mitch Godwin⁽³⁾| T: J J Bridger| OR: 45

33/1

Eight race maiden who has finished tailed off on both starts back from a 12 month absence. No conceivable chance.

Form:

Non-Runners

(14)

Silver Springs⁶³

Weight: 9-4| Age: 4

T: R Ingram J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Spitfire Limited (7/2), Silver Penny (4/1), Mercury (7/1), Whaleweigh Station (8/1), Olaudah (10/1), Quintus Cerialis (10/1), Joshlee (12/1), Pulsating (14/1), La Fortuna (14/1), Emilysbutterscotch (14/1), Louis Vee (16/1), Noneedtotellme (25/1), Silver Springs (25/1), Aegean Boy (33/1)

A desperate 6f Class 7 handicap to conclude the Chelmsford action. Such is the unpredictability of horses racing at this lowly level, it's challenging to speak confidently about any of the field. Spitfire Limited appears to be the horse most likely to run a solid race given the improvement shown on each of her last two starts. She has time on her side unlike the majority of these, and looks a definite player. However, this race also looks tailor-made for a 'bit of a touch' and a couple of proven, but now lowly rated runners catch the eye. Pulsating is essentially a better horse than this level of racing, and the switch to Archie Watson should coincide with an overall improvement in her form, but a more speculative selection is the Irish raider MERCURY. Martin Harley is booked for this five-year-old, and whilst he hasn't shown much at Dundalk of late, he is very well treated nowadays, and was a winner over 7f here for Kevin Ryan in January 2016.