12:25 Lingfield

Saturday 18 November 2017

All11:5512:2513:0013:3514:1014:4515:1515:45

32Red.com/EBF Novice Stakes (Div 2)

Off time: 12:28 | Winning time: 1m 40.09s

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Selected odds by:

(8)

Barnay¹⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Tyler Saunders⁽⁷⁾| T: M P Tregoning

25/1

Finished down the field on debut over 7f at this course last time out under the same jockey. Difficult to see him showing the requisite improvement to go close here.

Form: 9

(11)

Daddy Tyrrell

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: L P Keniry| T: J S Moore

33/1

Scat Daddy colt who cost $65,000 as a yearling. A half-brother to a Grade 3 winner in the US and interesting to see how he fares on this racecourse debut.

Form:

(1)

Goodwood Showman¹⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: M Harley| T: W J Knight

66/1

Beaten 26L into 13th on debut at Newmarket last time out. Ran so green that there is surely more to come, but needs to have grown up quickly especially now stepping up in trip.

Form: 0

(6)

Highcastle²⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Harry Burns⁽⁷⁾| T: E A L Dunlop

66/1

Well-beaten in two starts so far and steps back down in trip from 1m2f here. Difficult to build a case for based on what he has shown so far, with a 7lb claimer taking the ride for the first time.

Form: 09

(5)

Masaarr²⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: J Mitchell| T: R Varian

1/3

Ran a fine race to finish third in a Newmarket novice event last month when not enjoying a perfect passage and looking like he should improve for this extra furlong. A key player for a top trainer.

Form: 3

(7)

Seasearch¹¹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: William Cox⁽⁷⁾| T: A M Balding

66/1

Beaten 41L at odds of 66/1 on debut at Kempton last time out, and looks set for another minor role here based on that evidence.

Form: 0

(3)

True Destiny¹⁰

Age: 2| Weight: 9-2| J: Tom Marquand| T: H & R Charlton

16/1

Did himself no favours by the way he started on debut but was probably set for a poor showing either way. May not have liked the soft ground at Nottingham so may do better now switched to the AW for the first time.

Form: 0

(2)

Cross My Mind

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: G Lee| T: R M Beckett

8/1

Cape Cross filly who is a sister to a winner of a minor maiden over a similar trip to this. Well drawn but other newcomers make more appeal.

Form:

(10)

Fire Orchid¹⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: S M Levey| T: R Hannon

25/1

Failed to show any progression from her first to second starts when beaten 10L at Newmarket last time out. Difficult to see her stepping up in trip by a furlong here making the difference.

Form: 57

(4)

Poetic Imagination¹⁴

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: W Buick| T: J & T Gosden

6/1

Never really figured on debut at Newmarket last time out. Her odds that day suggest there should be more to come though, and stepping up in trip here it would be no surprise to see her hit the frame.

Form: 8

(9)

Winged Spur

Age: 2| Weight: 8-11| J: S De Sousa| T: C & M Johnston

10/1

Motivator filly who cost €16,000 as a yearling and is a half-sister to Group 3 winner Queen Blossom. Looks an interesting prospect on debut for a respected trainer.

Form:

Forecasts

Masaarr (1/3), Poetic Imagination (6/1), Cross My Mind (8/1), Winged Spur (10/1), True Destiny (16/1), Fire Orchid (25/1), Barnay (25/1), Daddy Tyrrell (33/1), Goodwood Showman (66/1), Highcastle (66/1), Seasearch (66/1)

Unlike the first division of this we do have a clear leading contender here in the form of MASAARR. Roger Varian's charge ran very well on debut to finish third at Newmarket. Few of his rivals from that day have run again since but the early signs regarding the form of the race are encouraging and he should be able to beat an ordinary-looking group of maidens here. If he fails to get off the mark then Poetic Imagination and True Destiny could be the ones to pick up the pieces.