12:40 Southwell

Thursday 16 November 2017

All12:4013:1513:4514:1514:4515:2015:50

sunbets.co.uk Handicap

Off time: 12:40 | Winning time: 1m 42.4s

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(11)

Appleberry^p²⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 9-8| J: Alistair Rawlinson| T: M Appleby| OR: 66

33/1

Form taken a downward spiral lately and hard to fancy on first attempt at this trip despite dropping in the weights. Others more appealing.

Form: 474400

(4)

Monsieur Jimmy²⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: G C O'Neill⁽⁷⁾| T: D Carroll| OR: 65| C

6/1

Goes well here and close second over C&D latest was encouraging. Worthy of consideration - especially given his burden at the weights is significantly eased by the rider's claim.

Form: 288182

(13)

Mach One^p¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: A Mullen| T: A Watson| OR: 66| D

9/4

In good form and won well last time out. Up 4lb for that effort but the trip is no problem and possible he has a good bit more to offer. Shortlist material for sure.

Form: 7-05321

(5)

Wardy¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Fran Berry| T: P W Chapple-Hyam| OR: 65

16/1

Course debut and up in trip are significant enough doubts to consider looking elsewhere. First try in a handicap too.

Form: 566

(2)

Anastazia⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: Joey Haynes| T: P W D'Arcy| OR: 62| D

22/1

Fair effort when third at Kempton latest and is adaptable regarding ground preference, so feasible she'll act on the track. Well handicapped and can go close if doing so.

Form: 345973

(12)

Luna Magic^h³¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: Simon Pearce⁽³⁾| T: Mrs L Pearce| OR: 63

33/1

Getting some slack from the he handicapper and latest effort suggest dropping in trip could be the key to her. Worth a betting check but does still have a bit to prove.

Form: 444495

(10)

True Colors²⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: T Hamilton| T: R A Fahey| OR: 62

16/1

Mixed form of late over 1m2f and needs to find a bit more now dropped back in distance. Untried on the surface so also a bit to prove on that score.

Form: 367399

(6)

Break The Silence^p⁹^{(ex 6)}

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: K T O'Neill| T: S Dixon| OR: 56| D

13/2

Handles this course we'll and arrives in good heart after winning over 7f at Redcar last week. 7lb extra and another furlong to contend with but entitled to go well on the pick of his efforts. Place claims at least.

Form: 323121

(3)

Noble Ballad^b²³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: G Lee| T: R M Beckett| OR: 61| C

14/1

Best when coming off a solid pace and has won here before. Needs to better his latest effort at Yarmouth considerably though.

Form: 69-8810

(8)

Luath²⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: N Mackay| T: Suzzanne France| OR: 57| CD

11/1

Previous C&D winner but has a bit to prove with the likes of Monsieur Jimmy, so needs to find a bit extra and will need everything to go his way.

Form: 306460

(14)

Secret Glance⁶⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 8-10| J: T Eaves| T: A Wintle| OR: 54

22/1

Acts ell on the course but is 0-19 on the AW and recent is uninspiring. Others look stronger candidates.

Form: 263000

(7)

Quiet Moment²⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: J Fanning| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 53| BF| D

9/2

Won on heavy ground at Ayr last month and posted a respectable effort over C&D latest. Unexposed at the trip so possible there is more to come. The betting can guide.

Form: 562312

(1)

Scent Of Power¹⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 8-7| J: Jane Elliott⁽⁵⁾| T: B Leavy| OR: 45

100/1

Very stiff test on these terms and lacks consistence. Would be a surprising winner from out of the handicap.

Form: 364504

(9)

Tilly Devine^v1¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-5| J: F Norton| T: S Dixon| OR: 45

100/1

Very little worthwhile form posted so far and dramatic improvement required now switched to this surface. Not hard to overlook this time.

Form: 00-7000

Forecasts

Mach One (9/4), Quiet Moment (9/2), Monsieur Jimmy (6/1), Break The Silence (13/2), Luath (11/1), Noble Ballad (14/1), True Colors (16/1), Wardy (16/1), Anastazia (22/1), Secret Glance (22/1), Appleberry (33/1), Luna Magic (33/1), Scent Of Power (100/1), Tilly Devine (100/1)

MONSIEUR JIMMY has hit form at the right time for a race like this and his connections may have found ideal opportunity to utilise his rider's 7lb claim to best effect. Mach One is an obvious threat but has 4lb more on his back time, while Break The SIlence also has more on his plate under revised terms but also ensure the selection doesn't get things all his own way. Anastazia and Luna Magic are others that could go close to a share of the prize-money available for a place if they run to their best.