17:40 Kempton

Wednesday 8 November 2017

All16:4017:1017:4018:1018:4019:1019:4020:10

British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10)

Off time: 17:41 | Winning time: 1m 24.97s

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Selected odds by:

(7)

Dotted Swiss¹³

Age: 2| Weight: 9-7| J: Rossa Ryan⁽⁷⁾| T: R Hannon| BF

9/2

Better than her finishing position on return from a five month break at Chelmsford last month (7f), but still has a penalty to carry for her Lingfield success in May, and needs to prove herself definitively over 7f.

Form: 17

(8)

American Endeavour²⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: M Botti

11/2

Bred to do well on dirt, her sales price increased to $125,000 earlier this year. Showed a glimmer on debut (C&D) last month when a keeping on seventh to Cavatina, and should better that effort with the experience gained.

Form: 7

(14)

Apache Blaze

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: K T O'Neill| T: M Appleby

100/1

Unraced fourth living foal by Champs Elysees out of the 5f and 6f (Listed) winning juvenile Polar Circle. Cost 27,000 gns as a yearling.

Form:

(2)

Briscola⁷⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: R Havlin| T: J & T Gosden

15/2

Third foal out of a fairly moderate 1m4f AW winning dam (La Concorde). Dwelt, and looked as green as the grass on debut at Newmarket in August when a distant last of nine to Vitamin (7f good).

Form: 9

(1)

Catoca

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: L P Keniry| T: E Walker

25/1

Unraced first foal by Lemon Drop Kid out of a fairly useful US stakes winning miler (Catrageous). Cost $120,000 as a yearling, and ticks many of the boxes for racing on Polytrack at Kempton.

Form:

(12)

Fondest²¹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: George Wood⁽³⁾| T: J R Fanshawe

7/2

Sixth foal by Mayson, and a half-sister to three winners; Keystroke (7f to 1m+), Cosseted (1m to 1m2f) and Indulged (1m2f). Only plugged on to finish seventh of ten to Revalue over C&D last month, but should better that effort tonight.

Form: 7

(6)

Light Relief²¹

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: L Morris| T: J Tate

5/2

First foal by Medicean who cost 45,000 gns as a yearling. Improved on her Newmarket debut sixth (August) when beaten 1¼L by Fille De Reve over C&D last month. Every chance if slightly stronger in the finish.

Form: 62

(5)

Lush Life

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: D C Costello| T: J A Osborne

16/1

Unraced seventh foal by Mastercraftsman out of Break Of Day. Cost 110,000 gns as a yearling, and is a sister to 7f German juvenile winner Rakete. Closely related to the dam of Winter (Laddies Poker Two) and 6f scorer Chooseday.

Form:

(3)

Mystique¹²⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: David Probert| T: C Hills

20/1

Fourth foal by Oasis Dream out of Hidden Brief. Cost 55,000 gns as a yearling and is closely related to 7f AW/1m turf winner Mushaireb. Showed nothing on debut at Newbury in July (6f), but could return stronger for the break. AW bow.

Form: 0

(9)

Ocean Spray¹⁵

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: S M Levey| T: R Hannon

66/1

Second foal by Showcasing who finished a tailed off last of nine to Perfect Hustler on debut here last month (6f), and couldn't be entertained on that effort.

Form: 9

(4)

Secret Eye^p1²⁶

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: P J McDonald| T: P & O Cole

40/1

Fifth foal by Street Cry out of What A Treasure. Cost 90,000 gns as a yearling, and is a sister to 7f winner Strada Facendo. Raced far too keenly when posting a low key debut here last month (1m) and now sports cheek-pieces.

Form: 0

(13)

Supermoss⁵⁰

Age: 2| Weight: 9-0| J: Ryan Tate| T: H Main

100/1

Second foal by Cacique who finished tailed off on debut when last of eleven to Zoraya at Chepstow in September (7f good to soft).

Form: 0

Non-Runners

(11)

Crazie Maisie

Weight: 9-0| Age: 2

T: B Barr J: S Donohoe

(10)

Racehorse

Weight: 9-0| Age: 2

T: H Morrison J: S Donohoe

Forecasts

Light Relief (5/2), Fondest (7/2), Dotted Swiss (9/2), American Endeavour (11/2), Briscola (15/2), Lush Life (16/1), Mystique (20/1), Racehorse (20/1), Catoca (25/1), Crazie Maisie (25/1), Secret Eye (40/1), Ocean Spray (66/1), Apache Blaze (100/1), Supermoss (100/1)

A difficult puzzle to solve, and a race where it would be no real surprise to see any number of the horses step forward markedly from their debut efforts. American Endeavour is the type to be well suited by racing at Kempton, and she showed that there was plenty to work upon in finishing seventh to Cavatina over C&D in October, whilst Fondest also appears the type to be stronger with the benefit of more experience. Light Relief should be on the premises, and is certain to race towards the fore, but could ideally do with seeing out this trip just a fraction more strongly, whilst Dotted Swiss possibly needed her return to action last month following a lengthy break since her debut Lingfield success in May. However, in the absence of a strong opinion as to the likely winner, we'll take a chance on the Lemon Drop Kid newcomer CATOCA. She is out of a US graded winning mare (Catrageous), and although possibly better over slightly further, she ticks the main boxes for racing on the Polytrack at Kempton.