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18:45 Kempton
Friday 13 October 2017
All17:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:1520:4521:15
32Red On The App Store Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10)
- 2YO only | Class 5 | 7f | Standard / Slow | 12 Runners | Polytrack | Weighed In
- Off time: 18:46 | Winning time: 1m 25.49s
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Nicely bred and plenty of sprint/mile winners in the family. Showed bright speed to make all at Salisbury latest and will no doubt improve again if handling this different surface. However, penalty to carry and stall 10 both make life harder.
Half-sister to useful French performer Alumna, but like so many from the yard, breeding suggests middle distances will be her thing next year and she's likely to find this too sharp a test on debut.
Price increased as she went through the ring, and she's bred to do well on dirt. Yard have a 12& strike rate with their 2-y-o's here and this one is at least worth a glance in the market.
Mixed messages as to what best trip will be on pedigree, but is related to some black-type winners and yard normally have them ready to go first time up, so has to be worth of consideration.
Ran nicely on debut here, staying on to finish fourth, and heavy ground a possible excuse for defeat at Haydock (when made favourite) last time. Does need improvement, however, and qualifies for nurseries after tonight, so best watched.
Ran well on the figures to finish within shouting distance of winner Juliet Capulet in the Group 2 Rockfel Stakes on latest start, and has taken a step forward with each run. Handles track but does need to cheat a poor draw here.
Nicely bred and yard know the family well, but both her half-brothers needed a few runs to find their feet. Yard's normally come on for a run anyway and probably best watched unless strong in the market.
Ran on late to finish midfield last time out but that form a long way short of what's required here. Needs this for a handicap mark and will do better once getting a longer trip.
Dirt winners in the pedigree offer hope that she'll take to the surface at the first time of asking, and as the yard have a 17% strike rate with their 2-y-o's first time up this year, she must be taken seriously.
Penny was dropping late on on her debut here at the end of September, and she'll clearly know more tonight, but she needs a big step forward on that form if she's to challenge for top spot here.
Looks ready for this step up in trip, both on pedigree and what we've seen so far. Not unbacked last time but couldn't land a blow on winner, and could be we will see her in a better light once tackling even longer trips.
Green on debut at Goodwood but not disgraced in finishing fourth, and will have learnt from that. Pedigree looks more that of a sprinter though, and others hold stronger claims here anyway.
Non-Runners
9
(13)
Light Relief49
Weight: 9-0| Age: 2
T: J Tate J: David Probert
NR
Forecasts
Clairette (6/4), Cavatina (4/1), Scandaleuse (9/2), Club Tropicana (8/1), Ruffina (12/1), Ghanimah (14/1), Zahraa (20/1), American Endeavour (25/1), Brexitmeansbrexit (25/1), Light Relief (33/1), Saffah (40/1), Altra Vita (66/1), Grace's Secret (100/1)
The market may well be the best guide here, with plenty of big yards represented. Preference at this stage is for CLUB TROPICANA, not well drawn but has the experience to negate that, and her Rockfel form reads well here. Ruffina makes plenty of appeal on paper and if strong in the market, could prove the biggest threat. Scandaleuse should do better for this extra furlong too.
- Club Tropicana
- Ruffina
- Scandaleuse
Prize Money
1st: £3,234.002nd: £962.003rd: £481.004th: £240.00
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