15:00 Stratford

Monday 2 October 2017

All14:0014:3015:0015:3016:0016:3017:00

Stratford Oaks Golf Club Handicap Hurdle

Off time: 15:00 | Winning time: 4m 6.4s

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Selected odds by:

Astrum^p,t²³

Age: 7| Weight: 12-5| J: Harry Stock⁽⁷⁾| T: P W Middleton| OR: 102| C

7/2

Two of his three hurdles wins have come here (both in sellers) and made the most of a good opportunity to score over 2f further last time. Raised 4lb for that effort this moody individual would still have a chance here based on his old form of this mark.

Form: 379621

A L'asseau^t¹⁸⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 11-12| J: Conor Ring⁽³⁾| T: Evan Williams| OR: 95

33/1

One of a plethora of handicap debutantes here he looks to have been brought along with this sphere in mind. He's not been unduly punished in any of his hurdles outings and it won't be a surprise to see him step forward here. Worth watching in the market.

Form: 8088-

Derrynane^t¹⁵⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 11-10| J: W T Kennedy| T: D McCain Jnr| OR: 93

9/2

Bumper form was useful but so far hasn't lived up to that billing over hurdles proving very disappointing. Now given a break he returns to take in a handicap for the first time and that could see him improve although more evidence probably needed.

Form: 3/347F6-

Timely Gift¹⁶⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 11-9| J: Alan Johns| T: Tim Vaughan| OR: 92

20/1

Given three quick runs in maiden/novice hurdles in the spring he finished well held in all of those runs (started at big prices last two). May do better off a break and in a handicap for the first time but the evidence is rather thin.

Form: 405-

Monar Lad^t¹⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 11-8| J: R T Dunne| T: D Burchell| OR: 91

16/1

Has shown some reasonable form in Flat maidens over the summer but remains a poor hurdler and a maiden in that sphere to boot. Gets a 4lb drop from his initial mark but that doesn't look enough and best watched here.

Form: 7-65655

Global Thrill^t¹⁰

Age: 8| Weight: 11-3| J: George Blackwell⁽⁷⁾| T: B J Llewellyn| OR: 86

8/1

Always looks an easy one to oppose as he doesn't impress with his attitude and looked rusty last time out without his usual headgear (blinkers). Again goes without the headgear but looks one to treat with caution overall.

Form: 56034-0

Suffice^t1³⁶⁵

Age: 8| Weight: 11-3| J: T Dowling⁽⁷⁾| T: Mrs L J Young| OR: 86| D

20/1

Not seen for quite some while now but did look progressive when last seen (won at Huntingdon) helped by the strong pace and an irresolute opponent. 6lb higher here and off a long break if he's in the same form he will go close here.

Form: 7P/7161-

Kahaleesi¹⁷⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 11-3| J: R Johnson| T: O Murphy| OR: 86

4/1

Really hasn't shown much so far in bumpers or over hurdles but given the change of trainer it won't be a surprise to see her take a step forward here with the consequent market support. One to keep a close eye on in the market.

Form: 68/5P47-

Not At All²³

Age: 4| Weight: 11-3| J: Aidan Coleman| T: J & A O'Neill| OR: 86

16/1

Given his form so far in novice hurdles it's hard to construct a case for him here (looks to be going the wrong way). Dangerous to write off anything from these connections prior to a start in handicaps though.

Form: 2-56956

Western Dream⁸⁴

Age: 9| Weight: 10-11| J: S Bowen| T: A Phillips| OR: 80

50/1

Was showing his first form when falling on his penultimate start at Worcester in a novice but looked of little account on his one subsequent start. Now makes his handicap debut but stretching a point to see him score here.

Form: PPP6F5

Water Willow¹⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 10-10| J: James Davies| T: W G M Turner| OR: 79

33/1

Could be given a chance on her penultimate outing when upped in trip but given too much to do when taking third at Newton Abbot. She might have needed the run last time but dropped 5lb now and given a small chance.

Form: 8-2F930

Alottarain^p²²

Age: 7| Weight: 10-6| J: Kevin Jones⁽⁵⁾| T: J W Mullins| OR: 75| D

20/1

Back over hurdles after looking to lose her way over fences recently (jumps poorly) and despite the lowly mark she makes little appeal here.

Form: 344596

The Kvilleken^t,v²⁰

Age: 9| Weight: 10-5| J: Andrew Tinkler| T: M Keighley| OR: 74| C

7/1

An ungenuine individual who always looks less than compliant in his races and although he ran one of his better races last time he's still not one to trust. Has won here (over further) but was in better form then.

Form: 6P5373

Non-Runners

Hit And Run¹⁴²

Weight: 12-5| Age: 5

T: D McCain Jnr J: Lorcan Murtagh

Rob Robin⁸

Weight: 11-11| Age: 7

T: C Gordon J: Tom Cannon

Trendy Nurse¹⁹

Weight: 10-11| Age: 9

T: K G Wingrove J: Charlie Hammond

Forecasts

Astrum (7/2), Rob Robin (7/2), Kahaleesi (4/1), Derrynane (9/2), The Kvilleken (7/1), Global Thrill (8/1), Hit And Run (12/1), Not At All (16/1), Monar Lad (16/1), Timely Gift (20/1), Suffice (20/1), Alottarain (20/1), Water Willow (33/1), A L'asseau (33/1), Western Dream (50/1), Trendy Nurse (50/1)

A difficult punting puzzle made all the more difficult by some less than straightforward customers and seven that are making their handicap debuts. The market is sure to pick up on Kahaleesi given her stable switch but on form she really wouldn’t have much chance making her first start in handicaps. Of the others making their handicap debuts Not At All and Hit And Run are probably the most interesting with A L’Asseau another who is worth noting in the market. Suffice returns after a break and would be in the equation if he was fit enough having been off for nearly a year. Overall though and despite the penalty ROB ROBIN has shaped as though she he has more to come and doesn’t have the quirks that some of the others have displayed.