17:10 Yarmouth

Tuesday 22 August 2017

All16:4017:1017:4018:1018:4019:1019:40

Follow totepoolracing On Twitter Maiden Handicap

Off time: 17:12 | Winning time: 2m 25.94s

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Selected odds by:

(8)

The Salmon Man⁴⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 9-12| J: Ted Durcan| T: B G Powell| OR: 67

28/1

Maiden after 15 starts and very best efforts have come on the AW. Given some relief from the handicapper but yard have had just three winners from their last 116 Flat runners on turf so probably not one to have a lot of faith in.

Form: 6622-65

(1)

Orin Swift¹³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-8| J: Mitch Godwin⁽⁵⁾| T: J G Portman| OR: 71

20/1

Well beaten last time out at this course when he shaped like a non-stayer but encouraging on his final start n maiden company at Lingfield in June. Each-way claims if he returns to that form on ground he should enjoy.

Form: 0433

(12)

Astute Boy¹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: Martin Lane| T: E F Vaughan| OR: 69| BF

6/1

Largely disappointing in a trio of maiden efforts but has improved since switching to handicaps upped in trip. Has the potential to improve for the switch to faster ground here and not without market support at Lingfield last time.

Form: 668-22

(9)

Mambo Dancer¹¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: S De Sousa| T: C & M Johnston| OR: 68

5/2

Showed very little in maiden company but improved for the switch to handicaps and smart effort behind a well-handicapped rival at Musselburgh last time. Up 3lb here but more improvement likely and trainer/jockey have a near 29% strike-rate here.

Form: 00-52

(6)

Sakurajima^t⁴⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: T P Queally| T: C Hills| OR: 64

14/1

Beaten under a length at Haydock last time out and gives the impression he could be even better over this longer trip. Goes off the same mark here and yard in good form in recent weeks.

Form: 9-37854

(5)

Broughtons Knight¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: S Donohoe| T: H Spiller| OR: 63

8/1

Unplaced on all nine starts including seven outings for this yard. Slipping down the handicap as a result but hard to fancy on all known form.

Form: 3-58665

(11)

Glassalt⁸⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: James Doyle| T: M L W Bell| OR: 63

22/1

Some promise at Kempton but poor runs either side of that. Given a chance by the assessor for handicap debut and yard are in good form so may run well on her switch to turf. Jockey has a 21.88% strike-rate around here.

Form: 03-0

(2)

Perla Blanca²⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: George Wood⁽³⁾| T: M P Tregoning| OR: 62| BF

5/2

Improved with a couple placed efforts in July and shaped particularly well at Ffos Las on penultimate run. Has been hiked up in the weights as a result though and needs to improve again to land this contest.

Form: 865-423

(3)

Two Dollars^t1²⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: R Winston| T: W Jarvis| OR: 62

10/1

Well beaten on all six starts and tailed off at Lingfield last time. Hard to fancy on current form and he looks largely reliant on a first-time tongue-tie working the oracle.

Form: 0-48746

(10)

Tayaar^p1¹³

Age: 4| Weight: 8-12| J: Danny Brock| T: J Ryan| OR: 53

66/1

Very little promise on six starts to date and his better efforts have come on the AW. Tries headgear for the first time here and that will have to have a big effect for him to have any chance in this company.

Form: 648-054

(7)

Mr Davies²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: Josephine Gordon| T: D H Brown| OR: 61

66/1

Bits of promise earlier in the season but largely disappointing since and well beaten on two starts since returning from a break. Dropping to a workable mark but with the yard out of form in recent weeks, others are preferred.

Form: 4-74877

(4)

Alternate Route¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: Ryan Powell| T: Sir Mark Prescott| OR: 58

14/1

Tailed off on all three starts but yard's runners often improve markedly for a step up in trip on handicap debut and may appreciate the switch to turf. Yard in excellent form currently and betting market likely to be the best guide to his chance.

Form: 087

Forecasts

Mambo Dancer (5/2), Perla Blanca (5/2), Astute Boy (6/1), Broughtons Knight (8/1), Two Dollars (10/1), Sakurajima (14/1), Alternate Route (14/1), Orin Swift (20/1), Glassalt (22/1), The Salmon Man (28/1), Mr Davies (66/1), Tayaar (66/1)

MAMBO DANCER may be the one to side with after an improved effort last time out. Astute Boy has been running well since the switch to handicaps and ought to give another good account while Glassalt may do better now tackling handicaps for the first time.