20:10 Galway

Tuesday 1 August 2017

All17:2017:5518:2519:0519:4020:1020:40

Caulfield Industrial Handicap (50-70)

Off time: 20:11 | Winning time: 1m 51.09s

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Selected odds by:

(1)

Guanabara Bay⁴^{(ex 6)}

Age: 4| Weight: 10-1| J: Declan McDonogh| T: A McGuinness| OR: 65

12/1

Gained first turf success at the 21st attempt over 7f at Down Royal last time out, keeping on well to lead close home. 6lb penalty makes this much tougher.

Form: 000241

(15)

California Lad^v⁴⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: C J McGovern⁽⁵⁾| T: F Birrane| OR: 70

50/1

Landed a Lingfield maiden for Harry Dunlop and lost his way subsequently. Has plenty to find and trainer still looking for his first winner on the Flat.

Form: 2156-49

(16)

So Sensible²⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 10-0| J: P J Smullen| T: T Collins| OR: 70| C

10/1

Losing streak goes back to November 2014 but posted solid effort 1m at the Curragh on good ground in May, much less encouraging in two runs since however.

Form: 2-70260

(13)

Storm Ranger¹⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 10-0| J: Chris Hayes| T: P J Flynn| OR: 70| BF| D

8/1

Maiden winner at Tipperary in June and since twice gone close in Gowran Park handicaps over 1m1½f, crept up in the weights but likely to give his running again.

Form: 705122

(10)

Military Hill^b³³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-13| J: Ronan Whelan| T: A McGuinness| OR: 69

16/1

No match for Storm Ranger at Tipperary on last outing and has plenty work to do to turn that form around, blinkers go back on now.

Form: 451837

(5)

Mountain Fox¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-13| J: N G McCullagh| T: F Oakes| OR: 69

16/1

Hit and miss performer who remains a maiden after ten starts, has offered some encouraging signs this summer but this is fiercely competitive and others make more appeal.

Form: 270928

(12)

Prove The Point^h,t⁴⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-13| J: Gary Carroll| T: M Mulvany| OR: 69

20/1

Two wins from 31 starts, including over a mile at Leopardstown in April from just 1lb lower mark. Has been busy since without threatening another win but not ruled out entirely.

Form: 503306

(7)

Essenaitch³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-12| J: D O'Brien| T: P D Evans| OR: 68

14/1

British raider whose efforts on turf this year have been more tame than anything. Needs to bounce back to have a chance here.

Form: 223677

(4)

Il Piccolo Grande^h¹⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-12| J: Colin Keane| T: G M Lyons| OR: 68

10/1

Hit the frame last time at Gowran Park over slightly longer trip, no match for the front two on that occasion, yard continue to be in superb form and can have a say in this.

Form: 8-07053

(6)

Rosenborg Rider⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-12| J: O J Orr⁽⁵⁾| T: A McGuinness| OR: 68

25/1

Without a win in 14 runs, the nine most recent of which have come since switching to this trainer and turnaround hasn't exactly looked likely of late including when beaten 5½L over 1m2f at Ballinrobe last week.

Form: 000074

(3)

Serefeli^t²⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-12| J: W J Lee| T: Peter Fahey| OR: 68

4/1

Two wins on the AW at Dundalk this year and went very close over 1m2f at Naas last month on turf, just 1lb higher for this and looks a lively contender.

Form: 43-1102

(14)

Atlas^b1⁴⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-11| J: L F Roche| T: D Hogan| OR: 67| BF

8/1

Now a 12-race maiden, has been running over hurdles of late but returns to the Flat on a workable mark with first-time blinkers tried and is worth a market check to gauge confidence.

Form: 530-762

(11)

Colonel Maximus^t¹⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-11| J: G P Halpin⁽³⁾| T: G Elliott| OR: 67

12/1

Maiden winner on the Flat for Kevin Prendergast, showing only limited ability. Suffered a heavy defeat over 1m4f at the Curragh last month and up against it here seemingly for top yard.

Form: 180-079

(9)

Usa⁸

Age: 10| Weight: 9-10| J: D M Redmond⁽⁵⁾| T: S J Mahon| OR: 66

12/1

Winner of an apprentice handicap at Ballinrobe last time out over much longer trip, this demands more but should have no problem with the drop in distance and could run well.

Form: 5-22521

(8)

Zippy²⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-10| J: D W O'Connor⁽⁵⁾| T: J F Levins| OR: 66

9/1

Chasing a hat-trick here after wins at Tipperary (7½f) and on the AW at Dundalk over 1m, has climbed another 8lb in the ratings but retains scope for better things on just seventh turf start.

Form: 1-00011

(2)

Miss Ballygally^t²²

Age: 7| Weight: 9-9| J: C P Hoban| T: M M McNiff| OR: 65| D

20/1

Two recent efforts make the mare impossible to fancy, though had previously run well on reappearance over this sort of trip at Gowran Park in June.

Form: 24-5200

(18)

Paved With Gold¹⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-8| J: S Foley| T: J J Murphy| OR: 64

33/1

Unplaced in six starts on turf and looks very much up against things here, limited hopes.

Form: 60127-8

County Show^t1¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-8| J: K J Leonard⁽⁵⁾| T: J G Murphy| OR: 64

25/1

Five-race maiden, well held on handicap bow at Killarney (1m) last month, set to wear first-time tongue strap if getting in here and has to improve (First Reserve).

Form: 6-0500

Non-Runners

(17)

Waitaki³¹

Weight: 9-13| Age: 4

T: D K Weld J: Unknown Jockey

Looking Good¹⁰

Weight: 9-8| Age: 5

T: S Curling J: Reserve 2

Lomi's Law²⁸

Weight: 9-8| Age: 5

T: A McNamara J: Reserve 3

Forecasts

Serefeli (4/1), Atlas (8/1), Storm Ranger (8/1), Waitaki (8/1), Zippy (9/1), Il Piccolo Grande (10/1), So Sensible (10/1), Usa (12/1), Guanabara Bay (12/1), Colonel Maximus (12/1), Essenaitch (14/1), Military Hill (16/1), Mountain Fox (16/1), Prove The Point (20/1), Miss Ballygally (20/1), Rosenborg Rider (25/1), County Show (25/1), Paved With Gold (33/1), Lomi's Law (33/1), California Lad (50/1), Looking Good (66/1)

Storm Ranger has been running well lately and despite continuing to creep up in the weights, should continue to have a say in the closing stages of this. Zippy bids for a hat-trick after scoring over 1m on the AW last time out but may find another 8lb is too much to burden in this competitive field. Usa scored at Ballinrobe over further but should hand the drop in trip but the nod goes to IL PICCOLO GRANDE for the in-form Lyons team. He ran on well for third at Gowran Park last time and should be able to grab a good position from an ideal draw in this line-up. Serefeli, just denied at Naas last time, rates as one of the likely dangers.