16:10 Southwell

Monday 8 May 2017

All14:1014:4015:1015:4016:1016:4017:10

Hilltop Equestrian Centre Available To Rent Handicap

Off time: 16:10 | Winning time: 1m 33.46s

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Selected odds by:

(3)

Cryptonite⁵^{(ex 6)}

Age: 3| Weight: 9-11| J: Alistair Rawlinson⁽³⁾| T: M Appleby| OR: 58

5/4

Looked a very different proposition switched to the AW after running in three turf maidens on his handicap debut (well supported). Now makes his Fibresand debut (by a sire with a modest record on the surface) under a penalty but looks as though he could make an impression.

Form: 65-01

(6)

Eponina⁵⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-9| J: Cam Hardie| T: B Haslam| OR: 62

20/1

Despite the promise that she showed on her debut she has looked rather limited in two starts since and tries her hand handicapping now on a new surface. Probably needed the run last timeout back from a break but her opening mark doesn't look too lenient.

Form: 63-52

(4)

Nellie's Dancer¹⁷⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-8| J: D Allan| T: S Dixon| OR: 61

16/1

First two runs in maidens showed some promise as a juvenile but failed to repeat those efforts and now goes handicapping. Her mark looks about right with no great scope in it at the moment and she has already run poorly on Fibresand at the end of last year.

Form: 3398-

(2)

Treagus¹⁷⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: Josephine Gordon| T: C Fellowes| OR: 60

9/4

Shown very little in three maidens (the last two on Polytrack) but may show a little more now that he goes handicapping after a break. His sire (Mayson) has already had a couple of winners on the surface and that gives hope that he may well be able to act on this unique surface.

Form: 009-

(5)

Mimic's Memory⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: S A Gray| T: Mrs A Duffield| OR: 57

10/1

Seen in more handicaps than most of these she looks as though she needs her mark to ease further on the recent evidence. Her one previous run here didn't offer much hope that she would act on this surface and overall her best form is on turf.

Form: 437541

(8)

Smiley Riley²⁵²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: D Fentiman| T: T Coyle & K Wood| OR: 56

25/1

Not seen for quite some while now and makes his handicap debut here although the fact that he's already been beaten in three sellers hardly give cause for optimism.

Form: 246444-

(7)

Tea El Tee²⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: David Egan⁽⁷⁾| T: Miss Gay Kelleway| OR: 52

7/1

Best form so far has come over 6f (stiff task on only try over 7f) and it was rather a surprise to see him over 5f last time out. Now gives 7f another go making his second start here but the first was modest and it will need some improvement for him to figure here even off a career low mark.

Form: 486-375

(9)

Born To Boogie⁵⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: A Mullen| T: C Grant| OR: 45

20/1

Form as a two-year-old was modest at best (beaten in a seller final start) and she didn't look any better returning after a break last time out. Best form very much over 5f and this trip on a tough surface will surely stretch her stamina.

Form: 30766-8

(1)

Red Shanghai¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: Noel Garbutt⁽³⁾| T: C Smith| OR: 45

100/1

The draw in stall 1 will make life even tougher for one who has looked of only very limited ability so far having started at big prices in all her starts.

Form: 6-68008

Forecasts

Cryptonite (5/4), Treagus (9/4), Tea El Tee (7/1), Mimic's Memory (10/1), Nellie's Dancer (16/1), Eponina (20/1), Born To Boogie (20/1), Smiley Riley (25/1), Red Shanghai (100/1)

Not many of these have shown much form on this surface and as a betting contest it looks a rather daunting one. CRYPTONITE comes from a stable with a good record here and although there could be a doubt about him acting on this surface he does bring the best (and winning) form into this. Most of the others that have run on this surface have struggled to show any form that would see them winning here and it may be that Treagus can step forward on what he has shown so far how he goes handicapping. Eponina is just about the only other one that looks to have any progression in her in a race that really does not appeal.