14:50 Chepstow

Saturday 8 April 2017

All13:4014:1514:5015:3016:0516:4017:3518:05

totescoop6 The Millionaire Maker Novices' Handicap Hurdle

Off time: 14:50 | Winning time: 4m 52.66s

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Selected odds by:

Bletchley Castle^t⁸

Age: 8| Weight: 12-8| J: Mr Zac Baker⁽⁷⁾| T: S Durack| OR: 110

6/5

Made all at Fontwell to see off the handicap good thing Flanagan's Field, and had given notice that run was coming after a good second at Doncaster the time before. Monster weight to carry but this is not a strong race, and must be a major player.

Form: 3F/212-P

Cougar Kid²³

Age: 6| Weight: 11-12| J: Miss Brodie Hampson⁽⁵⁾| T: J G M O'Shea| OR: 100

12/1

Inconsistency only highlighted by the fact his win at Catterick in February is surrounded by moderate efforts, and wouldn't be one to rely on. Handicapper probably has him now anyway and has plenty on here.

Form: 391P82-

Robin Why Not^p1²⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 11-11| J: C Gethings⁽³⁾| T: N J Hawke| OR: 99

14/1

Stopped very quickly after travelling okay at Market Rasen last time (handicap debut) so possibly something amiss. Only a 10-1 shot that day after showing little previously, so better may have expected. Cheekpieces go on today, and advice is to watch the market for clues.

Form: 846

Quarryman^b1²⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 11-11| J: Matt Griffiths| T: R J Hodges| OR: 99

25/1

Regressing already and third to Shimba Hills at Plumpton three starts ago has already been long forgotten after two poor efforts since then. Needs a major turnaround in form, or for first time blinkers to have an effect.

Form: 2-26P53

Majingilane²⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 11-7| J: Andrew Tinkler| T: W Greatrex| OR: 95

16/1

From a good yard and handicap debut today, but hasn't shown anything in four starts and hard to see where the handicapper gets a mark of 95 from. May improve, and market will give a clue in that regard, but hard to fancy otherwise.

Form: U079U-

Jaunty Clementine¹⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 11-6| J: T E Whelan| T: B Eckley| OR: 94

25/1

Hinted at ability behind Shantou Rock at Ludlow in February and has clearly had handicaps on the agenda, but looks to need further than this already and unless the market is speaking strongly for her, is best watched today.

Form: 60

Buy Me Out^h,t¹¹³

Age: 7| Weight: 11-6| J: M G Nolan| T: Tim Vaughan| OR: 94

8/1

Yet to win in 16 starts, but has shown ability (off higher marks than today) and has joined a yard that knows the time of day. Conditions look ideal and any money for her should be taken note of.

Form: 3P50P4

Lizzie Langton^t¹⁰³

Age: 6| Weight: 11-5| J: James Best| T: R Walford| OR: 93

20/1

Showed ability on her debut in a Warwick bumper that's worked out well, but only a bit of ability in three starts over hurdles and starts her handicapping career on a low mark. Again, another that needs a market check.

Form: 7-78

Tara Well³⁸¹

Age: 7| Weight: 11-5| J: C Poste| T: R Dickin| OR: 93

20/1

Has a couple of placings to her name but didn't show enough on handicap debut at Warwick (over a year ago) to make her look an attractive proposition here. Can only be watched.

Form: 827439-

Oskar Denarius^h,t1¹⁹

Age: 6| Weight: 11-4| J: James Davies| T: J Mason| OR: 92

20/1

Winner on the flat for Marcus Tregoning (off a mark of 70) so ought to be up to winning something from current mark over hurdles. Has shown ability a couple of times and travelled well at Southwell last time, but stopped quickly. Tongue tie on today may help, and one of the interesting ones.

Form: /-054

Fearsome Fred⁹⁰

Age: 8| Weight: 11-4| J: Dave Crosse| T: Dr J R J Naylor| OR: 92

20/1

Has looked a weak finisher whatever trip he's been tried over, and although going handicapping today, can't really be entertained.

Form: 2P/5-7

Legendara¹⁶³

Age: 5| Weight: 11-3| J: G B Watters⁽³⁾| T: C E Longsdon| OR: 91

20/1

Not seen out since October (outclassed at Stratford) and hadn't really shown enough before that to make her of interest here, but another that may well improve for going handicapping and needs a look in the market for a yard that tend to come good in the spring.

Form: 0-0054

Act Four^p,t²⁰

Age: 9| Weight: 11-2| J: Mr Ed Bailey⁽⁷⁾| T: M Sheppard| OR: 90

12/1

Won a handicap on soft ground at Warwick in March but couldn't follow up under a penalty a week later. New mark has kicked in and that, plus likely quicker conditions here, are enough to look elsewhere for the winner.

Form: 586161

Cry Fury^t1²⁰⁸

Age: 9| Weight: 11-2| J: Brendan Powell| T: M Sheppard| OR: 90

10/1

Regressing quickly and no win since 2011, and although he wasn't running badly when last seen (which was last September) can only be watched on first start for new yard today.

Form: 363777-

Part And Parcel⁴¹

Age: 9| Weight: 11-2| J: Thomas Bellamy| T: H James| OR: 90

66/1

Has looked regressive for a while and handicapper has dropped him another chunk after another poor effort at Southwell. No realistic chance of winning.

Form: 3P0P3P

Non-Runners

Coopers Square¹⁴

Weight: 11-2| Age: 6

T: T H Weston J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Bletchley Castle (6/5), Buy Me Out (8/1), Cry Fury (10/1), Act Four (12/1), Cougar Kid (12/1), Robin Why Not (14/1), Majingilane (16/1), Fearsome Fred (20/1), Oskar Denarius (20/1), Lizzie Langton (20/1), Legendara (20/1), Tara Well (20/1), Quarryman (25/1), Jaunty Clementine (25/1), Coopers Square (50/1), Part And Parcel (66/1)

There's plenty in here that need a look in the market - it's the sort of race that something will improve plenty for going into handicaps - but the safest option at this stage looks to be BLETCHLEY CASTLE, who never really looked in any danger of defeat at Fontwell and stays this longer trip. Expect another bold show from the front. Oskar Denarius has run better than his form figures suggest and if the tongue tie has the desired effect, may go close. Money for Buy Me Out would be significant.