Matchbook Casino Handicap Chase

Off time: 16:45 | Winning time: 5m 16.2s

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Twenty Eight Guns^p⁵¹

Age: 7| Weight: 11-12| J: T Scudamore| T: M Scudamore| OR: 130

9/2

Won three of his last four starts and only narrowly defeated amongst those wins, going down by a short head. No sign of her improvement relenting last time and she'll be hard to beat if she turns up in the same form. Trainer has a good record with last time out winners (30.19%)

Form:

Alcala^h,t³⁸

Age: 7| Weight: 11-11| J: Sam Twiston-Davies| T: P F Nicholls| OR: 129

4/1

Ran well on chase debut in a handicap at Uttoxeter but well beaten when fell last time out. Doesn't usually make jumping errors though and he can be forgiven one poor run.

Form:

Gores Island¹⁴

Age: 11| Weight: 11-3| J: William Clarke⁽¹⁰⁾| T: G & J Moore| OR: 121

5/1

Hasn't won since January 2015 and jumping was particularly poor last time out, eventually falling. Still in with a chance at that point so not one to put a line through but he has to jump better here as he's unlikely to get away with any errors. Jockey has looked capable in a limited number of starts so his 10lb claim could be useful

Form:

Aerlite Supreme^t³¹

Age: 10| Weight: 11-1| J: Adam Wedge| T: Evan Williams| OR: 119

13/2

Not won since 2014 and better over hurdles than fences but arguably well-handicapped at least. Conditions also shouldn't be a problem but he no doubt needs to bounce back.

Form:

Dance Floor King²¹

Age: 10| Weight: 11-0| J: D A Jacob| T: Nick Mitchell| OR: 118

4/1

Been in fine form in recent starts and still feasibly treated on the form he showed at the start of 2015 so very much respected with a jockey on board who has a 40% (14-35) strike-rate on the chase course around here.

Form:

Turban⁷

Age: 10| Weight: 11-0| J: Nick Scholfield| T: P Henderson| OR: 118

16/1

Not placed in the last two years and pulled up or tailed off in five starts this year so hard to fancy despite a very low handicap mark.

Form:

Morning Reggie^b1⁶³

Age: 8| Weight: 10-12| J: L P Aspell| T: O Sherwood| OR: 116

5/1

Generally disappointing since winning a small-field chase over 2m4f here (soft) 11 months ago, running particularly poorly back here behind Mercian Prince in January. Has dropped to a feasible mark, however, and interesting to see if the introduction of first-time blinkers have a galvanising effect.

Form:

Forecasts

Dance Floor King (4/1), Alcala (4/1), Twenty Eight Guns (9/2), Morning Reggie (5/1), Gores Island (5/1), Aerlite Supreme (13/2), Turban (16/1)

TWENTY EIGHT GUNS has been in fine form recently and she may still be on an upward curve so she may be able to get the better of her male counterparts. Daryl Jacob has a remarkable 40% strike rate on the chase course here and he should get a good spin round off Dance Floor King. Alcala made a promising chase debut and he looks capable of recovering from a rare blip last time out.