15:10 Southwell
Tuesday 21 February 2017
All14:1014:4015:1015:4016:1016:40
sunbets.co.uk Handicap
- 4YO plus | Class 5 | 7f | Standard | 13 Runners | Fibresand | Weighed In
- Off time: 15:11 | Winning time: 1m 28.81s
Settings
Selected odds by:
Course winner earlier in the season but not been in that kind of form since and appears better over shorter than this trip. His effort in a claimer was disappointing last time and hard to fancy from an inconvenient draw.
Has won and placed here on two outings to date. Doesn't appear to have much in hand of her official rating of 76 but ought to remain competitive.
A dual winner on turf (five and six furlongs), but yet to score in nine starts on the AW, largely campaigned here. Has shown he handles the course to some extent but others look better handicapped and wide draw will be difficult to overcome.
Three wins from three starts over C&D and handicapper has been more than fair with a 4lb rise. No reason why he won't go well again and his running style means the handicapper may struggle to get a hold of him.
Runs consistently well here and holds ten wins from 61 starts at the course. Not won off a mark this high since 2013 though and looks vulnerable for win purposes.
Been running well of late at this course and scored last time after drifting markedly in the betting. Still appears to be progressing and he can be a tough nut to crack when getting his fractions right from the front.
Two wins from 10 starts here and been running okay of late without troubling the judge. However, well-backed last time and failed to score and this is possibly a stronger contest so he looks vulnerable for win purposes.
Four of his five career wins have come around here but he's better over shorter than this trip and remains above his last winning mark. Can also break slowly so may be best avoided for now.
Won two handicaps within a short space of time in January showing improved form on each occasion over 7f on the fibresand. Disappointing last time but went off too hard in front and may be able to gain compensation if he can negate his wide draw.
Unplaced on last ten starts but undoubtedly chucked in old form, particularly his last win at Goodwood in 2015. His breeding suggests he'll go on this surface but the switch of yard will undoubtedly need to have freshened him up.
Has run well on all his four starts on fibresand (3222) and remains in good form but he's hard to fancy for win purposes considering he's still a maiden after 25 starts.
Looks a better horse on AW than on turf but still a relatively modest performer. Four-time winner on fibresand and generally runs well here. Getting back down towards his last winning mark and latest run was a little better than it looks on paper having raced wide throughout, but may have a similar issue here from a wide draw.
Sole win came in a Goodwood maiden but shown nothing in recent starts and looks like a reluctant individual. Has issues leaving the stalls and doesn't look like one to trust.
Forecasts
Custard The Dragon (5/2), Vroom (11/2), Unnoticed (7/1), Dusky Dawn (10/1), Pullman Brown (10/1), Boots And Spurs (10/1), Essenaitch (10/1), Alpha Tauri (16/1), Among Angels (20/1), Stun Gun (20/1), Harwoods Star (25/1), Ticks The Boxes (25/1), Showing Off (100/1)
CUSTARD THE DRAGON arrives here attempting to defend his 100% record at the course and there may be enough improvement left in him to take this. Vroom usually runs well here and defied a market drift last time out to win while Dusky Dawn is a consistent type who gets the services of Ben Curtis who has a good record at this course.
1. Custard The Dragon
2. Vroom
3. Dusky Dawn
Prize Money
1st: £3,234.002nd: £962.003rd: £481.004th: £240.00
MOST READ RACING
Follow & Track
Your favourite horses, jockeys and trainers with My StableLog in
Discover Sporting Life Plus benefits
