19:15 Newcastle

Saturday 4 February 2017

All17:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:1520:45

Sun Bets Maiden Stakes

Off time: 19:15 | Winning time: 1m 39.78s

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Selected odds by:

(1)

Billys Connoisseur³³

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: D Fentiman| T: T D Easterby

100/1

Finished fifth of seven on debut in a recent C&D maiden, but life will again be tough off 10 stone in this company.

Form: 50

(4)

Diamond Eagle³⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 10-0| J: Charlie Bennett⁽⁵⁾| T: S A Harris

200/1

Bargain basement purchase who has shown precious little in three starts over a wide range of trips. Out of his depth again tonight.

Form: 0

(7)

Dibloam¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: P Makin| T: P D Evans

100/1

£800 purchase at Doncaster in August 2016 who finished best of the older horses when sixth of 12 to Mystique Moon on debut at Wolverhampton recently. This trip will help, but surely bought with a handicap career in mind.

Form: 665

(10)

Psychology¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: D C Costello| T: Kenny Johnson

80/1

Has started at massive odds in three course runs in maidens, and prior to those runs, a similar story in a pair of bumpers. Drops back to a mile, but out of his depth again.

Form: 5

(3)

Roundabout Time⁴⁷⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: G Lee| T: Mrs A Duffield

100/1

Not seen a racecourse since his juvenile debut at Catterick in October 2015 (always rear), and likely to need this race on very unfavourable terms with the younger horses.

Form: 7/

(12)

Costa Percy¹⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: Joey Haynes| T: K R Burke

50/1

€42,000 Yearling with stamina in his pedigree (by Derby winner Sir Percy), and probably found Wolverhampton too sharp the last twice. Should be suited by this galloping track, but needs to step up nevertheless.

Form: 8-750

(6)

Crindle Carr²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: Connor Beasley| T: T D Barron

16/1

Appeared to have learned plenty for his debut over C&D early last month, when turned out in a similar contest just over a week later to fill the runner up spot behind the well backed Moamar (ran well since in defeat). Time will tell whether that effort flattered him a shade, but this is an obvious next race.

Form: 8243

(9)

Garrick

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: N Mackay| T: J & T Gosden

1/1

Unraced Galileo colt out of a classy Oasis Dream mare (Rimth). Starts off life in the weakest of maidens with trainer sporting a 33% strike rate here on the AW (6 from 18).

Form:

(8)

River Warrior¹³

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: T Hamilton| T: R A Fahey

100/1

Finished behind Dibloam when tenth of 12 on his recent debut at Wolverhampton (7f), and stable also saddles Touch Of Paradise with Paul Hanagan booked.

Form: 0975

(11)

War At Sea¹⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: Oisin Murphy| T: D M Simcock

11/4

105,000 Guineas Yearling by Mastercrafstman out of Swirling, who looked very inexperienced on his debut over this trip at Wolverhampton in November (finished eighth of 11). Given a short break, and whilst this stiffer track will play to his strengths, will probably need further.

Form: 8-2

(2)

Naupaka²²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-4| J: B A Curtis| T: B Ellison| OR: 71

16/1

Her best run came over this C&D on her second start in December when finishing third to Bizzarria (a stablemate of Garrick), but she folded tamely after leading last time at Lingfield and needs to bounce back.

Form: 935608

(5)

Touch Of Paradise³¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-4| J: P Hanagan| T: R A Fahey

3/1

Beautifully bred (daughter of Frankel out of Oaks winner Ramruma) who was a fair third on debut over C&D to Dubaitwentytwenty early last month. Visually, her paddock appearance didn't quite shape upto her pedigree, but she's entitled to have learnt plenty from her debut and is respected with Paul Hanagan aboard.

Form: 3

Forecasts

Garrick (1/1), War At Sea (11/4), Touch Of Paradise (3/1), Naupaka (16/1), Crindle Carr (16/1), Costa Percy (50/1), Psychology (80/1), Dibloam (100/1), River Warrior (100/1), Roundabout Time (100/1), Billys Connoisseur (100/1), Diamond Eagle (200/1)

This race can immediately be narrowed down to the three-year-old's, and even then, can quickly be further reduced to a small pool of likely winners. Whilst it's early days, there is already some doubt that Touch Of Paradise can match her stunning pedigree, whilst War At Sea needs to take a huge step forward from what can only be described as a moderate debut. Both Crindle Carr and Naupaka have already shown some ability at this track, but the vote goes to the John Gosden trained debutant GARRICK. He looks a very nice type on pedigree, and can enhance his trainers fine 33% strike rate here since the introduction to racing on Tapeta in May 2016. 1. Garrick 2. War At Sea 3. Touch Of Paradise