19:15 Nottingham

Saturday 17 April 2021

All16:4017:1517:4518:1518:4519:15

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Off time: 19:16 | Winning time: 59.28s

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(5)

Good Earth¹⁷⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Saffie Osborne⁽⁷⁾| T: J A Osborne| OR: 58

3/1

Remains a maiden after 16 Flat runs. Blinkered for 1st time, below form fifth of 11 in handicap at Southwell (6.1f, 17/2) on final start of 2020. Headgear discarded and he'll be a threat if on-song.

Form: 643775-

(8)

Refuge^p,t¹⁸⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Joanna Mason⁽³⁾| T: M & D Easterby| OR: 58| D

4/1

Winner at Musselburgh in October. 5/2, respectable third of 11 in handicap at Windsor (5.1f, good to soft) when last seen in October. Every chance here, providing conditions don't pose a problem.

Form: 505313-

(4)

It Must Be Faith^v¹⁸

Age: 11| Weight: 9-5| J: Erika Parkinson⁽⁷⁾| T: M Appleby| OR: 56| CD

11/1

C&D winner. 12/1 and blinkered for 1st time, fourth of 5 in seller at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 18 days ago. Visor back on. This veteran is opposable on balance.

Form: 527794

(10)

Island Memory⁴⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: Laura Pearson⁽³⁾| T: G Harris| OR: 50

10/1

Lightly-raced maiden. 16/1, last of 10 in handicap at Southwell (5f) 44 days ago. Improvement needed now switched to turf.

Form: 57450

(6)

Aguerooo^b¹³

Age: 8| Weight: 8-10| J: William Carver⁽³⁾| T: C Wallis| OR: 47| D

9/2

Latest win at Southwell in February. Below form fifth of 9 in handicap at Southwell (5f, 3/1) 13 days ago. The fact that he's 0-15 on turf is off-putting.

Form: 615325

(1)

Mansfield⁵⁰

Age: 8| Weight: 8-8| J: Faye McManoman| T: Mrs Stella Barclay| OR: 45| D

8/1

18/1, creditable third of 13 in handicap at Wolverhampton (6.1f) 50 days ago. 1 lb below last winning mak and it'd be no surprise to see him involved in the finish.

Form: 555333

(9)

Suwaan¹⁰

Age: 7| Weight: 8-8| J: Dylan Hogan| T: Mrs R Carr| OR: 45| D

7/2

Ungenuine type. Two wins from 48 Flat runs. Bit below form third of 8 in handicap (11/2) at Catterick (5f, good) 10 days ago, and he's likely to find one or two too good once more.

Form: 037363

(7)

Celerity^p¹⁸

Age: 7| Weight: 8-8| J: Zak Wheatley⁽⁵⁾| T: L Williamson| OR: 45

80/1

Remains a maiden after 96 Flat runs. 150/1, last of 5 in seller at Wolverhampton (5.1f) 18 days ago and it's very difficult to make a case for this 7-y-o. Cheekpieces back on.

Form: 00590-5

(3)

The Kyllachy Touch^v⁶⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-8| J: Ray Dawson| T: D Shaw| OR: 45

66/1

100/1, ninth of 11 in handicap at Southwell (5f) 69 days ago and, unless the switch to turf sparks masses of improvement, a similar outcome is likely here.

Form: 60/6-089

Non-Runners

(2)

Oh So Nice⁷

Weight: 8-9| Age: 5

T: A W Carroll J: Mollie Phillips

Forecasts

Good Earth (3/1), Suwaan (7/2), Refuge (4/1), Aguerooo (9/2), Mansfield (8/1), Island Memory (10/1), It Must Be Faith (11/1), Oh So Nice (12/1), The Kyllachy Touch (66/1), Celerity (80/1)

Perhaps this will be the day when GOOD EARTH finally gets his head in front. He wasn't at his best towards the end of last year, but he clearly goes well fresh (went close on seasonal reappearance in 2020) and resumes here on a career-low mark. In contrast, Refuge progressed in the latter stages of last season, but he's unproven on ground this fast and Oh So Nice may prove a bigger threat.